Refactor(Training): new outcome types, representative pipeline steps, bet-sizing (#187)

* refactor(Training): added InferenceResult & TrainedModel types

* refactor(Pipeline): introduced TrainingOutcome, BetSizingWithMetaOutcome, etc.

* fix(Pipeline): getting it to compile

* refactor(WalkForward): separate preprocessing step

* feat(Pipeline): separate out transformations processing step

* refactor(Pipeline): use the Directional model terminology, put bet_sizing into pipeline instead of hiding it in a step

* refactor(WalkForward): moved functions to separate folder

* fix(WalkForward): use sparse array to store models, process transformations in parallel (lot faster)

* fix(Tests): and evaluation

* fix(Tests): for realz

* fix(Inference): preloading everything now, renamed primary models to directional models

* fix(BetSizing): was running transformations on the wrong data, oops

* fix(BetSizing): concatenated on the wrong axis accidentally

* fix(Reporting): able to use the new Stats type

* fix(BetSizing): renamed int column names

* fix(Portfolio): name the column properly

* fix(Reporting): rename the correct Series, lol

* fix(Inference): walk_forwad_inference() can deal with models not being aligned with the starting index

* fix(WalkForward): accidentally using the wrong index

* fix(WalkForward): use the correct indicies to fetch last model/transformations

* fix(CI): changed the name of the results
This commit is contained in:
Mark Aron Szulyovszky
2022-01-29 06:41:40 +01:00
committed by GitHub
parent 42a1bc59cb
commit 3eb3ea94e3
42 changed files with 772 additions and 736 deletions
-32
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@@ -1,32 +0,0 @@
from __future__ import annotations
from models.base import Model
import numpy as np
class StaticAverageModel(Model):
'''
Model that averages .
'''
data_transformation = 'original'
only_column = 'model_'
model_type = 'static'
predict_window_size = 'single_timestamp'
def fit(self, X: np.ndarray, y: np.ndarray) -> None:
# This is a static model, it can' learn anything
pass
def predict(self, X) -> tuple[float, np.ndarray]:
# Make sure there's data to average
assert X.shape[1] > 0
prediction = np.average(X[-1])
return (prediction, np.array([]))
def clone(self) -> StaticAverageModel:
return self
def get_name(self) -> str:
return 'static_average'
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
pass
+1 -4
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@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import numpy as np
class Model(ABC):
name: str = ""
method: Literal["regression", "classification"]
data_transformation: Literal["transformed", "original"]
only_column: Optional[str]
@@ -22,10 +23,6 @@ class Model(ABC):
@abstractmethod
def clone(self) -> Model:
raise NotImplementedError
@abstractmethod
def get_name(self) -> str:
raise NotImplementedError
@abstractmethod
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
+29 -26
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@@ -4,89 +4,92 @@ from sklearnex.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
from .base import Model
default_feature_selector_classification = SKLearnModel(RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification')
default_feature_selector_regression = SKLearnModel(RandomForestRegressor(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'regression')
def get_model(model_name: str) -> Model:
def set_name(model: Model) -> Model:
model.name = model_name
return model
if model_name == 'LinearRegression':
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
return SKLearnModel(LinearRegression(n_jobs=-1), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LinearRegression(n_jobs=-1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'Lasso':
from sklearn.linear_model import Lasso
return SKLearnModel(Lasso(alpha=100, random_state=1), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(Lasso(alpha=100, random_state=1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'Ridge':
from sklearn.linear_model import Ridge
return SKLearnModel(Ridge(alpha=0.1), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(Ridge(alpha=0.1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'BayesianRidge':
from sklearn.linear_model import BayesianRidge
return SKLearnModel(BayesianRidge(), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(BayesianRidge(), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'KNN':
from sklearnex.neighbors import KNeighborsRegressor
return SKLearnModel(KNeighborsRegressor(n_neighbors=25), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(KNeighborsRegressor(n_neighbors=25), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'AB':
from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostRegressor
return SKLearnModel(AdaBoostRegressor(random_state=1), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(AdaBoostRegressor(random_state=1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'MLP':
from sklearn.neural_network import MLPRegressor
return SKLearnModel(MLPRegressor(hidden_layer_sizes=(100,20), max_iter=1000), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(MLPRegressor(hidden_layer_sizes=(100,20), max_iter=1000), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'RFR':
return SKLearnModel(RandomForestRegressor(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(RandomForestRegressor(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'SVR':
from sklearnex.svm import SVR
return SKLearnModel(SVR(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, gamma=0.1), 'regression')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(SVR(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, gamma=0.1), 'regression'))
elif model_name == 'StaticNaive':
from models.naive import StaticNaiveModel
return StaticNaiveModel()
return set_name(StaticNaiveModel())
elif model_name == 'DNN':
from models.neural import LightningNeuralNetModel
from models.pytorch.neural_nets import MultiLayerPerceptron
import torch.nn.functional as F
return LightningNeuralNetModel(
return set_name(LightningNeuralNetModel(
MultiLayerPerceptron(
hidden_layers_ratio = [1.0],
probabilities = False,
loss_function = F.mse_loss),
max_epochs=15
)
))
elif model_name == 'LogisticRegression_two_class':
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
return SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression(C=10, random_state=1, solver='liblinear', max_iter=1000), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression(C=10, random_state=1, solver='liblinear', max_iter=1000), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'LogisticRegression_three_class':
from sklearnex.linear_model import LogisticRegression as LogisticRegression_EX
return SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression_EX(C=10, random_state=1, max_iter=1000, n_jobs=-1), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LogisticRegression_EX(C=10, random_state=1, max_iter=1000, n_jobs=-1), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'LDA':
from sklearn.discriminant_analysis import LinearDiscriminantAnalysis
return SKLearnModel(LinearDiscriminantAnalysis(), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LinearDiscriminantAnalysis(), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'KNN':
from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsClassifier
return SKLearnModel(KNeighborsClassifier(), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(KNeighborsClassifier(), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'CART':
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier
return SKLearnModel(DecisionTreeClassifier(max_depth=15, random_state=1), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(DecisionTreeClassifier(max_depth=15, random_state=1), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'NB':
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
return SKLearnModel(GaussianNB(), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(GaussianNB(), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'AB':
from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostClassifier
return SKLearnModel(AdaBoostClassifier(n_estimators=15), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(AdaBoostClassifier(n_estimators=15), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'RFC':
return SKLearnModel(RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(RandomForestClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'SVC':
from sklearn.svm import SVC
return SKLearnModel(SVC(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, probability=True, random_state=1), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(SVC(kernel='rbf', C=1e3, probability=True, random_state=1), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'XGB_two_class':
from xgboost import XGBClassifier
from models.xgboost import XGBoostModel
return XGBoostModel(XGBClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth = 20, random_state=1, objective='binary:logistic', use_label_encoder= False, eval_metric='mlogloss'))
return set_name(XGBoostModel(XGBClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth = 20, random_state=1, objective='binary:logistic', use_label_encoder= False, eval_metric='mlogloss')))
elif model_name == 'LGBM':
from lightgbm import LGBMClassifier
return SKLearnModel(LGBMClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification')
return set_name(SKLearnModel(LGBMClassifier(n_jobs=-1, max_depth=20, random_state=1), 'classification'))
elif model_name == 'StaticMom':
from models.momentum import StaticMomentumModel
return StaticMomentumModel(allow_short=True)
return set_name(StaticMomentumModel(allow_short=True))
elif model_name == 'Average':
from models.average import StaticAverageModel
return StaticAverageModel()
return set_name(StaticAverageModel())
else:
raise Exception(f'Model {model_name} not found')
-3
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@@ -28,9 +28,6 @@ class StaticMomentumModel(Model):
def clone(self) -> StaticMomentumModel:
return self
def get_name(self) -> str:
return 'static_mom'
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
pass
-3
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@@ -23,8 +23,5 @@ class StaticNaiveModel(Model):
def clone(self) -> StaticNaiveModel:
return self
def get_name(self) -> str:
return 'static_naive'
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
pass
-4
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@@ -36,7 +36,3 @@ class LightningNeuralNetModel(Model):
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
self.model.initialize_network(input_dim, output_dim)
def get_name(self) -> str:
return self.model.__class__.__name__
-3
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@@ -27,9 +27,6 @@ class SKLearnModel(Model):
def clone(self) -> SKLearnModel:
return SKLearnModel(clone(self.model), self.method)
def get_name(self) -> str:
return self.model.__class__.__name__
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
pass
-3
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@@ -25,9 +25,6 @@ class StatsModel(Model):
def clone(self) -> StatsModel:
return StatsModel(deepcopy(self.model))
def get_name(self) -> str:
return self.model.__class__.__name__
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
pass
-3
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@@ -27,9 +27,6 @@ class XGBoostModel(Model):
def clone(self) -> XGBoostModel:
return XGBoostModel(clone(self.model))
def get_name(self) -> str:
return self.model.__class__.__name__
def initialize_network(self, input_dim:int, output_dim:int):
pass