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Refactor(Training): new outcome types, representative pipeline steps, bet-sizing (#187)
* refactor(Training): added InferenceResult & TrainedModel types * refactor(Pipeline): introduced TrainingOutcome, BetSizingWithMetaOutcome, etc. * fix(Pipeline): getting it to compile * refactor(WalkForward): separate preprocessing step * feat(Pipeline): separate out transformations processing step * refactor(Pipeline): use the Directional model terminology, put bet_sizing into pipeline instead of hiding it in a step * refactor(WalkForward): moved functions to separate folder * fix(WalkForward): use sparse array to store models, process transformations in parallel (lot faster) * fix(Tests): and evaluation * fix(Tests): for realz * fix(Inference): preloading everything now, renamed primary models to directional models * fix(BetSizing): was running transformations on the wrong data, oops * fix(BetSizing): concatenated on the wrong axis accidentally * fix(Reporting): able to use the new Stats type * fix(BetSizing): renamed int column names * fix(Portfolio): name the column properly * fix(Reporting): rename the correct Series, lol * fix(Inference): walk_forwad_inference() can deal with models not being aligned with the starting index * fix(WalkForward): accidentally using the wrong index * fix(WalkForward): use the correct indicies to fetch last model/transformations * fix(CI): changed the name of the results
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3eb3ea94e3
@@ -28,11 +28,9 @@ def __preprocess_feature_extractors_config(data_dict: dict) -> dict:
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return data_dict
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def __preprocess_model_config(model_config:dict) -> dict:
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model_config['primary_models'] = [(model_name, get_model(model_name)) for model_name in model_config['primary_models']]
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if len(model_config['meta_labeling_models']) > 0:
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model_config['meta_labeling_models'] = [(model_name, get_model(model_name)) for model_name in model_config['meta_labeling_models']]
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if model_config['ensemble_model'] is not None:
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model_config['ensemble_model'] = (model_config['ensemble_model'], get_model(model_config['ensemble_model']))
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model_config['directional_models'] = [get_model(model_name) for model_name in model_config['directional_models']]
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if len(model_config['meta_models']) > 0:
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model_config['meta_models'] = [get_model(model_name) for model_name in model_config['meta_models']]
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return model_config
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@@ -57,9 +55,9 @@ def __preprocess_event_labeller_config(data_dict: dict) -> dict:
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def validate_config(config: Config):
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# We need to make sure there's only one output from the pipeline
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# If level-2 model is there, we need more than one level-1 models to train
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if len(config.meta_labeling_models) > 1: assert len(config.primary_models) > 0
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# If meta model is there, we need more than one directional models to train
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if len(config.meta_models) > 1: assert len(config.directional_models) > 0
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# If there's no level-2 model, we need to have only one level-1 model
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if len(config.meta_labeling_models) == 0: assert len(config.primary_models) == 1
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if len(config.meta_models) == 0: assert len(config.directional_models) == 1
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+17
-22
@@ -6,13 +6,13 @@ def get_dev_config() -> RawConfig:
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classification_models = ["LogisticRegression_two_class"]
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return RawConfig(
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primary_models_meta_labeling = False,
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directional_models_meta = False,
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dimensionality_reduction = False,
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n_features_to_select = 30,
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expanding_window_base = False,
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expanding_window_meta_labeling = False,
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expanding_window_meta = False,
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sliding_window_size_base = 380,
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling = 1,
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sliding_window_size_meta = 1,
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retrain_every = 20,
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scaler = 'minmax', # 'normalize' 'minmax' 'standardize'
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@@ -25,9 +25,8 @@ def get_dev_config() -> RawConfig:
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other_features = ['single_mom'],
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exogenous_features = ['z_score'],
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primary_models = classification_models,
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meta_labeling_models = [],
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ensemble_model = None,
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directional_models = classification_models,
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meta_models = [],
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event_filter = 'none',
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labeling = 'two_class'
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@@ -38,17 +37,16 @@ def get_default_ensemble_config() -> RawConfig:
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regression_models = ["Lasso", "KNN", "RFR"]
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classification_models = ["LogisticRegression_two_class", "LDA", "NB", "RFC", "XGB_two_class", "LGBM", "StaticMom"]
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meta_labeling_models = ['LogisticRegression_two_class', 'LGBM']
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ensemble_model = 'Average'
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meta_models = ['LogisticRegression_two_class', 'LGBM']
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return RawConfig(
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primary_models_meta_labeling = True,
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directional_models_meta = True,
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dimensionality_reduction = False,
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n_features_to_select = 30,
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expanding_window_base = False,
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expanding_window_meta_labeling = True,
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expanding_window_meta = True,
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sliding_window_size_base = 380,
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling = 240,
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sliding_window_size_meta = 240,
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retrain_every = 10,
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scaler = 'minmax', # 'normalize' 'minmax' 'standardize'
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@@ -61,9 +59,8 @@ def get_default_ensemble_config() -> RawConfig:
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other_features = ['level_2', 'lags_up_to_5'],
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exogenous_features = ['z_score'],
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primary_models = classification_models,
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meta_labeling_models = meta_labeling_models,
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ensemble_model = ensemble_model,
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directional_models = classification_models,
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meta_models = meta_models,
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event_filter = 'cusum_vol',
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labeling = 'two_class'
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@@ -75,17 +72,16 @@ def get_lightweight_ensemble_config() -> RawConfig:
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regression_models = ["Lasso", "KNN"]
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classification_models = ['LogisticRegression_two_class', 'SVC']
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meta_labeling_models = ['LogisticRegression_two_class', 'LGBM']
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ensemble_model = 'Average'
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meta_models = ['LogisticRegression_two_class', 'LGBM']
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return RawConfig(
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primary_models_meta_labeling = True,
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directional_models_meta = True,
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dimensionality_reduction = True,
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n_features_to_select = 30,
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expanding_window_base = False,
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expanding_window_meta_labeling = True,
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expanding_window_meta = True,
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sliding_window_size_base = 380,
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling = 240,
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sliding_window_size_meta = 240,
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retrain_every = 40,
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scaler = 'minmax', # 'normalize' 'minmax' 'standardize'
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@@ -98,9 +94,8 @@ def get_lightweight_ensemble_config() -> RawConfig:
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other_features = ['level_2'],
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exogenous_features = ['z_score'],
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primary_models = classification_models,
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meta_labeling_models = meta_labeling_models,
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ensemble_model = ensemble_model,
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directional_models = classification_models,
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meta_models = meta_models,
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event_filter = 'none',
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labeling = 'two_class'
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@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ metric:
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goal: maximize
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name: sharpe
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parameters:
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primary_models_meta_labeling:
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directional_models_meta:
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value: True
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assets:
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value: ['daily_crypto']
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@@ -16,11 +16,11 @@ parameters:
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value: ['daily_glassnode']
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expanding_window_base:
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value: True
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expanding_window_meta_labeling:
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expanding_window_meta:
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value: True
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sliding_window_size_base:
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value: 380
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling:
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sliding_window_size_meta:
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values: [250, 300, 380]
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distribution: categorical
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n_features_to_select:
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@@ -36,13 +36,13 @@ parameters:
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value: 'two'
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load_non_target_asset:
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value: True
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primary_models:
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directional_models:
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distribution: categorical
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values:
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- ["LDA", "LogisticRegression_two_class", "KNN", "SVC", "CART", "NB", "AB", "RFC", "XGB_two_class", "LGBM", "StaticMom"]
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- ["LogisticRegression_two_class", "LDA", "NB", "RFC", "XGB_two_class", "LGBM", "StaticMom"]
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- ["LogisticRegression_two_class", "LDA", "LGBM", "RFC", "XGB_two_class"]
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meta_labeling_models:
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meta_models:
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value: ["LGBM", "LogisticRegression_two_class"]
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own_features:
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value: ['date_days', 'level_2', 'lags_up_to_5']
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@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ metric:
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goal: maximize
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name: sharpe
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parameters:
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primary_models_meta_labeling:
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directional_models_meta:
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value: True
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assets:
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value: ['daily_crypto']
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@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ parameters:
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expanding_window_base:
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values: [True, False]
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distribution: categorical
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expanding_window_meta_labeling:
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expanding_window_meta:
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values: [True, False]
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distribution: categorical
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n_features_to_select:
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@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ parameters:
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sliding_window_size_base:
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values: [180, 280, 380]
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distribution: categorical
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling:
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sliding_window_size_meta:
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values: [180, 280, 380]
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distribution: categorical
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retrain_every:
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@@ -42,9 +42,9 @@ parameters:
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load_non_target_asset:
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values: [True, False]
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distribution: categorical
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primary_models:
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directional_models:
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value: ["LogisticRegression_two_class", "LDA", "KNN", "CART", "NB", "AB", "RFC", "StaticMom"]
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meta_labeling_models:
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meta_models:
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values: ["LogisticRegression_two_class", "LDA", "KNN", "CART", "NB", "AB", "RFC"]
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distribution: categorical
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own_features:
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@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ metric:
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goal: maximize
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name: sharpe
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parameters:
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primary_models_meta_labeling:
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directional_models_meta:
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value: True
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assets:
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value: ['daily_crypto']
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@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ parameters:
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expanding_window_base:
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values: [True, False]
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distribution: categorical
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expanding_window_meta_labeling:
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expanding_window_meta:
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value: False
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n_features_to_select:
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value: 50
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@@ -25,7 +25,7 @@ parameters:
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value: True
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sliding_window_size_base:
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value: 380
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling:
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sliding_window_size_meta:
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value: 380
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retrain_every:
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values: [10, 20, 30]
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@@ -36,10 +36,10 @@ parameters:
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value: 'two'
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load_non_target_asset:
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value: True
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primary_models:
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directional_models:
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values: [['LogisticRegression_two_class'], ['SVC'], ['LDA'], ['KNN'], ['CART'], ['MNB'], ['NB'], ['AB'], ['RFC'], ['XGB_two_class'], ['LGBM']]
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distribution: categorical
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meta_labeling_models:
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meta_models:
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value: ["LGBM", "LogisticRegression_two_class"]
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own_features:
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value: ['date_days', 'level_2', 'lags_up_to_5']
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+10
-12
@@ -9,13 +9,13 @@ from labeling.types import EventFilter, EventLabeller
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# RawConfig is needed to ensure we can declare config presets here with static typing, we then convert it to Config
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class RawConfig(BaseModel):
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primary_models_meta_labeling: bool
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directional_models_meta: bool
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dimensionality_reduction: bool
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n_features_to_select: int
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expanding_window_base: bool
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expanding_window_meta_labeling: bool
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expanding_window_meta: bool
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sliding_window_size_base: int
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling: int
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sliding_window_size_meta: int
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retrain_every: int
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scaler: Literal['normalize', 'minmax', 'standardize']
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@@ -30,19 +30,18 @@ class RawConfig(BaseModel):
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event_filter: Literal['none', 'cusum_vol', 'cusum_fixed']
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labeling: Literal['two_class', 'three_class_balanced', 'three_class_imbalanced']
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primary_models: list[str]
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meta_labeling_models: list[str]
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ensemble_model: Optional[str]
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directional_models: list[str]
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meta_models: list[str]
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class Config(BaseModel):
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primary_models_meta_labeling: bool
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directional_models_meta: bool
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dimensionality_reduction: bool
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n_features_to_select: int
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expanding_window_base: bool
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expanding_window_meta_labeling: bool
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expanding_window_meta: bool
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sliding_window_size_base: int
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sliding_window_size_meta_labeling: int
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sliding_window_size_meta: int
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retrain_every: int
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scaler: Literal['normalize', 'minmax', 'standardize']
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@@ -58,9 +57,8 @@ class Config(BaseModel):
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labeling: EventLabeller
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no_of_classes: Literal['two', 'three-balanced', 'three-imbalanced']
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primary_models: list[tuple[str, Model]]
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meta_labeling_models: list[tuple[str, Model]]
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ensemble_model: Optional[tuple[str, Model]]
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directional_models: list[Model]
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meta_models: list[Model]
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class Config:
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arbitrary_types_allowed = True
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