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drift/training/walk_forward/inference_parallel.py
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import pandas as pd
from models.base import Model
from training.types import ModelOverTime, TransformationsOverTime, PredictionsSeries, ProbabilitiesDataFrame
from transformations.base import Transformation
from utils.helpers import get_first_valid_return_index
from tqdm import tqdm
from typing import Optional
from data_loader.types import XDataFrame
import ray
def walk_forward_inference(
model_name: str,
model_over_time: ModelOverTime,
transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime,
X: XDataFrame,
expanding_window: bool,
window_size: int,
retrain_every: int,
from_index: Optional[pd.Timestamp],
) -> tuple[PredictionsSeries, ProbabilitiesDataFrame]:
predictions = pd.Series(index=X.index, dtype='object').rename(model_name)
probabilities = pd.DataFrame(index=X.index)
inference_from = max(get_first_valid_return_index(model_over_time), get_first_valid_return_index(X.iloc[:,0])) if from_index is None else X.index.to_list().index(from_index)
inference_till = X.shape[0]
first_model = model_over_time[inference_from]
if first_model.only_column is not None:
X = X[[column for column in X.columns if first_model.only_column in column]]
if first_model.data_transformation == 'original':
transformations_over_time = []
batch_size = int((inference_till - inference_from) / 10)
batched_results = ray.get([__inference_from_window.remote(index, index + batch_size, inference_from, retrain_every, X, model_over_time, transformations_over_time, expanding_window, window_size) for index in range(inference_from, inference_till)])
for batch in batched_results:
for index, prediction, probs in batch:
predictions[X.index[index]] = prediction
probabilities.loc[X.index[index]] = probs
return predictions, probabilities
@ray.remote
def __inference_from_window(index_start: int, index_end: int, inference_from: int, retrain_every: int, X: XDataFrame, model_over_time: ModelOverTime, transformations_over_time: TransformationsOverTime, expanding_window: bool, window_size: int) -> list[tuple[int, float, pd.Series]]:
results = []
for index in range(index_start, index_end):
last_model_index = index - ((index - inference_from) % retrain_every)
train_window_start = X.index[inference_from] if expanding_window else X.index[index - window_size - 1]
current_model = model_over_time[X.index[last_model_index]]
current_transformations = [transformation_over_time[X.index[last_model_index]] for transformation_over_time in transformations_over_time]
if current_model.predict_window_size == 'window_size':
next_timestep = X.loc[train_window_start:X.index[index]]
else:
# we need to get a Dataframe out of it, since the transformation step always expects a 2D array, but it's equivalent to X.iloc[index]
next_timestep = X.loc[X.index[index]:X.index[index]]
for transformation in current_transformations:
next_timestep = transformation.transform(next_timestep)
next_timestep = next_timestep.to_numpy()
prediction, probs = current_model.predict(next_timestep)
results.append((index, prediction, probs))
return results