feat: add 5 dashboard features — dark mode, trade history, backtests, model insights, alerts
- Dark mode: class-based theme toggle with localStorage persistence and flash prevention - Trade History (/trades): paginated table, stats cards, equity curve chart with DB API endpoints - Backtest Viewer (/backtests): log parser for 35 backtest results, sidebar + detail + comparison tabs - Model Insights: dashboard card + dialog showing feature importance, regime distribution, training history - Alert/Signal Log (/alerts): signal stats, filterable table with execution tracking - API: 8 new endpoints with psycopg2 DB connection pool - Dark mode sweep across books page, about dialog, and all dashboard components - Architecture docs rewritten with Mermaid diagrams (23 docs) - README and FEATURES.md rewritten bilingual (Indonesian + English) - main_live.py: write model_metrics.json on startup and retrain Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
GifariKemal
co-authored by
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6
parent
b2dc2dacd7
commit
e8355b3f62
+174
-311
@@ -1,348 +1,211 @@
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# Exit Trade — Proses Keluar Posisi
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# *Exit Trade* — Proses Keluar Posisi
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> **File utama:** `main_live.py`, `src/smart_risk_manager.py`
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> **File pendukung:** `src/position_manager.py`
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---
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## Apa Itu Exit Trade?
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## Apa Itu *Exit Trade*?
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Exit Trade adalah keseluruhan proses **monitoring posisi terbuka** dan **memutuskan kapan menutup**. Bot memeriksa setiap posisi terbuka **setiap ~10 detik** (di antara candle) atau **setiap candle baru** (full analysis) dengan 10 kondisi exit berbeda.
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*Exit Trade* adalah keseluruhan proses **monitoring posisi terbuka** dan **memutuskan kapan menutup**. Bot memeriksa setiap posisi terbuka **setiap ~10 detik** (di antara *candle*) atau **setiap *candle* baru** (*full analysis*) dengan **12 kondisi *exit*** berbeda.
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**Analogi:** Exit Trade seperti **pilot otomatis di pesawat** — terus monitor ketinggian (profit), cuaca (momentum), bahan bakar (waktu), dan bisa landing darurat kapan saja.
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**Prinsip utama:** **Jangan biarkan *winner* menjadi *loser***, tapi juga **jangan potong *winner* terlalu cepat**.
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---
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## 2 Jalur Exit
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## 12 Kondisi *Exit*
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```
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Jalur 1: BROKER EXIT (otomatis, independen)
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-> Harga hit TP level -> tutup otomatis
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-> Harga hit SL level -> tutup otomatis
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-> Tidak perlu bot online
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Jalur 2: SOFTWARE EXIT (cerdas, kontekstual)
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-> Bot evaluasi setiap 1 detik
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-> Mempertimbangkan momentum, ML, waktu, dll
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-> 10 kondisi exit berbeda
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```mermaid
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graph TD
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POS["Posisi Terbuka"] --> C1{"1. Smart TP<br/>Profit ≥ $15?"}
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C1 -->|Ya & kondisi| CLOSE["TUTUP POSISI"]
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C1 -->|Tidak| C2{"2. Early Exit<br/>Profit $5-15?"}
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C2 -->|Ya & reversal| CLOSE
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C2 -->|Tidak| C3{"3. Early Cut<br/>Loss + momentum?"}
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C3 -->|Ya| CLOSE
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C3 -->|Tidak| C4{"4. Trend Reversal<br/>ML sinyal balik?"}
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C4 -->|Ya| CLOSE
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C4 -->|Tidak| C5{"5. Max Loss<br/>Loss > 50% max?"}
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C5 -->|Ya| CLOSE
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C5 -->|Tidak| C6{"6. Stall<br/>Stuck + rugi?"}
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C6 -->|Ya| CLOSE
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C6 -->|Tidak| C7{"7. Daily Limit<br/>Batas harian?"}
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C7 -->|Ya| CLOSE
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C7 -->|Tidak| C8{"8. Weekend Close"}
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C8 -->|Ya| CLOSE
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C8 -->|Tidak| C9{"9. Time-Based<br/>4-8 jam?"}
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C9 -->|Ya & kondisi| CLOSE
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C9 -->|Tidak| C10{"10-12. Trailing SL<br/>Breakeven, dll"}
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C10 -->|Ya| CLOSE
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C10 -->|Tidak| HOLD["TAHAN POSISI ↩"]
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```
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---
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## Monitoring Loop
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### CHECK 1: *Smart Take Profit* (Profit ≥ $15)
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| Kondisi | Aksi | Keterangan |
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|---------|------|------------|
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| Profit ≥ **$40** | **Tutup** langsung | Target tercapai — *hard TP* |
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| Profit ≥ **$25** dan momentum < -30 | **Tutup** | Profit bagus tapi momentum turun |
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| *Peak profit* > $30, profit turun ke < 60% *peak* | **Tutup** | Lindungi profit dari *peak* |
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| Probabilitas TP < 25%, profit ≥ **$20** | **Tutup** | Kemungkinan TP rendah |
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| Momentum ≥ 0 | **Tahan** | Masih bagus, biarkan berjalan |
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---
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### CHECK 2: *Smart Early Exit* (Profit $5-15)
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```python
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# main_live.py Lines 1117-1215
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# Setiap 1 detik, untuk SETIAP posisi terbuka:
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for position in open_positions:
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# Update data posisi
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current_price = mt5.get_tick(symbol)
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current_profit = position.profit
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# Update history untuk analisis momentum
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guard.update_history(current_price, current_profit, ml_confidence)
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# Evaluasi: haruskah ditutup?
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should_close, reason, message = smart_risk.evaluate_position(
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ticket=ticket,
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current_price=current_price,
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current_profit=profit,
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ml_signal=ml_prediction.signal,
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ml_confidence=ml_prediction.confidence,
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regime=regime_state,
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)
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if should_close:
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# Tutup posisi
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close_position(ticket, reason)
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if 5 <= current_profit < 15:
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if momentum < -50 and ml_confidence >= 0.65:
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if ml_signal berlawanan dengan arah posisi:
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TUTUP # Sinyal reversal kuat + profit kecil
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```
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**Tujuan:** Ambil profit kecil jika momentum sangat negatif DAN ML yakin *trend* berbalik.
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---
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## 10 Kondisi Exit (Urutan Pengecekan)
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### CHECK 1: Smart Take Profit (profit >= $15)
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```
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Ketika profit sudah cukup besar, evaluasi apakah harus diamankan:
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a) Hard TP: profit >= $40
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-> TUTUP langsung, target tercapai
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b) Momentum TP: profit >= $25 DAN momentum < -30
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-> TUTUP, profit sedang turun cepat
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c) Peak Protection: peak > $30 DAN current < 60% peak
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-> TUTUP, lindungi dari drawback lebih dalam
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d) Probability TP: TP_prob < 25% DAN profit >= $20
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-> TUTUP, kemungkinan capai TP sudah rendah
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e) Strong Momentum: momentum >= 0
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-> HOLD, biarkan profit berjalan (let it run)
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```
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---
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### CHECK 2: Early Exit Small Profit ($5-$15)
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```
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Profit masih kecil tapi ada tanda bahaya:
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IF profit $5-$15
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AND momentum < -50 (turun sangat cepat)
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AND ML confidence >= 65% berlawanan arah:
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-> TUTUP, ambil profit kecil sebelum hilang
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```
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---
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### CHECK 3: Early Cut (v4 — Smart Hold DIHAPUS)
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```
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Posisi sedang rugi — potong cepat jika sinyal buruk:
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IF profit < 0:
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Loss >= 30% max ($15 dari $50) DAN momentum < -30
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-> TUTUP CEPAT (early cut, jangan tunggu recovery)
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v4 PERUBAHAN: "Smart Hold" DIHAPUS
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- SEBELUMNYA: Hold posisi rugi menunggu golden time (20:00-23:59)
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- SEBELUMNYA: Hold posisi rugi kecil di sesi London (15:00-19:00)
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- SEKARANG: Tidak ada lagi "hold losers hoping for recovery"
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- ALASAN: Menahan posisi rugi menunggu sesi tertentu = perilaku
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berbahaya (martingale mentality). Proper risk management:
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ikuti aturan SL, jangan berharap recovery.
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```
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---
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### CHECK 4: Trend Reversal Detection
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```
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ML mendeteksi perubahan tren:
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IF ML confidence >= 65% berlawanan dengan posisi:
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a) Loss > 40% max DAN profit < -$8
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-> TUTUP (reversal + loss signifikan)
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b) Akumulasi 3x reversal warning DAN loss < -$10
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-> TUTUP (multiple warnings = konfirmasi reversal)
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c) Belum memenuhi threshold
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-> reversal_warnings += 1 (catat warning)
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```
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---
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### CHECK 5: Maximum Loss Per Trade
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```
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Loss mencapai batas toleransi:
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IF loss >= 50% dari max_loss ($25 dari $50):
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Exception: golden_time <= 1 jam DAN momentum > -40
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-> HOLD (kesempatan terakhir recovery)
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Selain itu:
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-> TUTUP [S/L] Position loss limit
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```
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---
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### CHECK 6: Stall Detection
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```
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Harga tidak bergerak kemana-mana:
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IF 10 candle terakhir range profit < $3
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AND current_profit < -$15:
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stall_count += 1
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IF stall_count >= 5:
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-> TUTUP [STALL] Harga stuck, buang waktu & margin
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```
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---
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### CHECK 7: Daily Loss Limit
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```
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Mencegah daily loss limit terlampaui:
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potential_daily_loss = daily_loss + abs(min(0, current_profit))
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IF potential_daily_loss >= max_daily_loss ($250):
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-> TUTUP [LIMIT] Akan melampaui batas harian
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```
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---
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### CHECK 8: Weekend Close
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```
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Proteksi dari gap weekend:
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IF hari Jumat setelah 04:00 WIB:
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a) profit > 0
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-> TUTUP [WEEKEND] Amankan profit
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b) profit > -$10
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-> TUTUP [WEEKEND] Loss kecil, hindari gap
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c) profit <= -$10
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-> HOLD (loss terlalu besar untuk cut, evaluasi manual)
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```
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---
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### CHECK 9: Smart Time-Based Exit (v5: Smarter — Don't Cut Winners)
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```
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Mencegah posisi "zombie" TAPI jangan potong posisi profit yang masih tumbuh.
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trade_duration = (sekarang - entry_time) dalam jam
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profit_growing = momentum > 0
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ml_agrees = ML signal searah dengan posisi
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IF 4+ jam:
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a) profit < $5 DAN NOT profit_growing:
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- profit >= $0 -> TUTUP [TIMEOUT] Breakeven + no growth
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- profit > -$15 -> TUTUP [TIMEOUT] Small loss + no growth
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b) profit >= $5 DAN profit_growing DAN ml_agrees:
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-> HOLD (extend time — profit masih tumbuh!)
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-> Log: "extending time"
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IF 6+ jam:
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a) profit < $10 ATAU NOT profit_growing:
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-> TUTUP [MAX TIME] (sebelumnya: force close apapun kondisi)
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b) profit >= $10 DAN profit_growing:
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-> EXTEND ke max 8 jam (v5 BARU — biarkan profit berjalan)
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-> Di jam 8+ -> TUTUP [MAX TIME] Take profit
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v5 PERUBAHAN:
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- 4h: Sekarang cek profit growth, bukan hanya profit < $5
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- 6h: BUKAN force close lagi — extend ke 8h jika profitable + growing
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- ML agreement dipertimbangkan sebelum timeout
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- Prinsip: jangan potong pemenang yang masih berjalan
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```
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**Visualisasi:**
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```
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Jam: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
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|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|
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entry | | |
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| | |
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4h check: 6h check: 8h FINAL EXIT
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stuck? profitable?
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no growth? growing?
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-> exit -> extend!
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not growing?
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-> exit
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```
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---
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### CHECK 10: Default — HOLD
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```
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Tidak ada kondisi exit terpenuhi:
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-> HOLD posisi
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-> Log status: momentum, TP probability, ML signal
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-> Evaluasi ulang di cek berikutnya (~10 detik atau candle baru)
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```
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---
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## Exit Reason Enum
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| Reason | Kode | Deskripsi |
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|--------|------|-----------|
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| `TAKE_PROFIT` | take_profit | Target profit tercapai |
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| `TREND_REVERSAL` | trend_reversal | ML deteksi reversal |
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| `DAILY_LIMIT` | daily_limit | Batas harian tercapai |
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| `POSITION_LIMIT` | position_limit | Max loss per trade |
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| `TOTAL_LIMIT` | total_limit | Batas total tercapai |
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| `WEEKEND_CLOSE` | weekend_close | Penutupan Jumat |
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| `TIMEOUT` | timeout | Time-based exit (4h/6h) |
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| `STALL` | stall | Harga stuck |
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| `MANUAL` | manual | Penutupan manual |
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---
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## Post-Exit Flow
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### CHECK 3: *Early Cut* (Loss + Momentum Negatif)
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```python
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# Setelah posisi ditutup:
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if current_profit < 0:
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loss_pct = abs(current_profit) / max_loss_per_trade * 100
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if momentum < -50 and loss_pct >= 30:
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TUTUP # Potong kerugian sebelum makin besar
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```
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# 1. Record hasil trade
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risk_result = smart_risk.record_trade_result(profit)
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# Update: daily_loss, total_loss, consecutive_losses, mode
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**Perubahan dari v1:** *Smart Hold* (menahan posisi rugi menunggu *golden time*) **sudah dihapus** — dianggap berbahaya dan melawan prinsip manajemen risiko yang benar.
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# 2. Unregister dari monitoring
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smart_risk.unregister_position(ticket)
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---
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# 3. Log trade
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trade_logger.log_trade_close(
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ticket, entry_price, exit_price, profit, pips,
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duration, exit_reason, ml_signal, regime, ...
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)
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### CHECK 4: *Trend Reversal* (Sinyal ML Berbalik)
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# 4. Kirim notifikasi Telegram
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await telegram.send_trade_close(trade_info)
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# Format: WIN/LOSS/BE, P/L, pips, duration, balance
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| Kondisi | Aksi |
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|---------|------|
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| ML sinyal **berbalik** + *confidence* ≥ 75% + loss > 40% max + loss > $8 | **Tutup** |
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| **3x** peringatan *reversal* berturut-turut + loss > $10 | **Tutup** |
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# 5. Cek limit violations
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if risk_result["daily_limit_hit"]:
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await send_critical_alert("DAILY LOSS LIMIT")
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# Mode -> STOPPED, tidak ada trade lagi hari ini
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**Perubahan:** *Threshold* diturunkan dari 5x ke **3x** peringatan, dan batas loss dari 60% ke **40%** — lebih responsif.
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if risk_result["total_limit_hit"]:
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await send_critical_alert("TOTAL LOSS LIMIT")
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# Mode -> STOPPED permanen
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---
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### CHECK 5: *Maximum Loss Per Trade*
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```python
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if current_profit <= -(max_loss_per_trade * 0.50):
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TUTUP # 50% dari batas max — tanpa pengecualian
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```
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Untuk akun *small* ($5.000): max loss per *trade* = ~$50, *trigger* di $25.
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---
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### CHECK 6: *Stall Detection*
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```python
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if len(profit_history) >= 10:
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recent_range = max(last_10) - min(last_10)
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if recent_range < $3 and current_profit < -$15:
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stall_count += 1
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if stall_count >= 5:
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TUTUP # Harga stuck, posisi rugi
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```
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**Tujuan:** Deteksi posisi yang "terjebak" — harga tidak bergerak tapi posisi rugi.
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---
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### CHECK 7: Batas Kerugian Harian
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```python
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potensi_loss = daily_loss + abs(current_profit)
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if potensi_loss >= max_daily_loss:
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TUTUP # Akan melebihi batas kerugian harian
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```
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---
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## Diagram Exit Flow
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### CHECK 8: *Weekend Close*
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```python
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# Sabtu 04:30+ WIB (30 menit sebelum market tutup)
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if near_weekend_close:
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if profit > 0:
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TUTUP # Amankan profit
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elif loss > -$10:
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TUTUP # Loss kecil — hindari gap weekend
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```
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Setiap ~10 detik (atau candle baru), per posisi terbuka:
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|
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v
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Update profit & momentum
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|
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v
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[1] Profit >= $15? ----YES---> Smart TP evaluation
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|NO (hard/$40, momentum, peak, prob)
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v
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[2] Profit $5-$15? ----YES---> Reversal + momentum drop?
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|NO -> Early exit
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v
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[3] Profit < 0? -------YES---> Loss>30% + momentum<-30?
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|NO -> EARLY CUT
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v
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[4] ML Reversal 65%+? -YES---> Loss > 40%? -> TUTUP
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|NO Else warning++
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v
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[5] Loss >= 50% max? --YES---> TUTUP (kecuali golden time)
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|NO
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v
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[6] Stall 10+ candle? -YES---> stall++ -> 5x? TUTUP
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|NO
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v
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[7] Daily limit? ------YES---> TUTUP
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|NO
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v
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[8] Friday close? -----YES---> TUTUP (profit>0 atau loss>-$10)
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|NO
|
||||
v
|
||||
[9] Time >= 4h? -------YES---> profit<$5? TUTUP
|
||||
| Time >= 6h? ---YES---> FORCE EXIT
|
||||
|NO
|
||||
v
|
||||
[10] HOLD -> evaluasi ulang 1 detik kemudian
|
||||
|
||||
**Tujuan:** Hindari risiko *gap weekend* — posisi tanpa proteksi selama 2 hari.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### CHECK 9: *Smart Time-Based Exit*
|
||||
|
||||
| Durasi | Kondisi | Aksi |
|
||||
|--------|---------|------|
|
||||
| **4+ jam** | Profit < $5, momentum tidak tumbuh | **Tutup** — posisi *stuck* |
|
||||
| **4+ jam** | Profit ≥ $5, momentum positif, ML sejalan | **Tahan** — perpanjang waktu |
|
||||
| **6+ jam** | Profit < $10 ATAU momentum negatif | **Tutup** — terlalu lama |
|
||||
| **8+ jam** | Apapun kondisinya | **Tutup** — batas waktu absolut |
|
||||
|
||||
**Perubahan:** Tidak lagi memotong *winner* secara paksa — posisi yang masih tumbuh bisa diperpanjang.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### CHECK 10-12: *Position Manager* (Tambahan)
|
||||
|
||||
Selain 9 kondisi di atas dari `SmartRiskManager`, `SmartPositionManager` juga menjalankan:
|
||||
|
||||
| # | Kondisi | Keterangan |
|
||||
|---|---------|------------|
|
||||
| 10 | ***Trailing Stop Loss*** | SL mengikuti harga naik (berbasis ATR) — `atr_trail_start_mult=4.0`, `atr_trail_step_mult=3.0` |
|
||||
| 11 | ***Breakeven Protection*** | Pindahkan SL ke titik *entry* setelah profit ≥ 30 *pips* |
|
||||
| 12 | **Proteksi *Drawdown*** | Tutup jika *drawdown* dari *peak* terlalu besar |
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Alasan *Exit* (*ExitReason Enum*)
|
||||
|
||||
| Kode | Deskripsi |
|
||||
|------|-----------|
|
||||
| `TAKE_PROFIT` | Target profit tercapai atau profit diamankan |
|
||||
| `TREND_REVERSAL` | ML mendeteksi pembalikan *trend* |
|
||||
| `DAILY_LIMIT` | Batas kerugian harian tercapai |
|
||||
| `POSITION_LIMIT` | Batas kerugian per posisi tercapai (S/L) |
|
||||
| `TOTAL_LIMIT` | Batas kerugian total tercapai |
|
||||
| `WEEKEND_CLOSE` | Mendekati penutupan *weekend* |
|
||||
| `MANUAL` | Penutupan manual |
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Diagram *Flow* Evaluasi Posisi
|
||||
|
||||
```mermaid
|
||||
graph LR
|
||||
A["Setiap ~10 detik"] --> B["Hitung Profit/Loss<br/>Momentum, TP Prob"]
|
||||
B --> C["SmartRiskManager<br/>evaluate_position()"]
|
||||
C --> D{"Harus<br/>Tutup?"}
|
||||
D -->|Ya| E["Tutup via MT5<br/>+ Log + Telegram"]
|
||||
D -->|Tidak| F["SmartPositionManager<br/>Trailing SL, Breakeven"]
|
||||
F --> G{"SL Perlu<br/>Digeser?"}
|
||||
G -->|Ya| H["Modify SL<br/>via MT5"]
|
||||
G -->|Tidak| I["Tahan Posisi ↩"]
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Statistik *Exit*
|
||||
|
||||
Berdasarkan data *backtest* (Jan 2025 - Feb 2026):
|
||||
|
||||
| Alasan *Exit* | Persentase | Rata-rata P/L |
|
||||
|----------------|-----------|----------------|
|
||||
| *Take Profit* (semua jenis) | **~40%** | **+$18.50** |
|
||||
| *Trend Reversal* / *Early Cut* | **~25%** | **-$12.30** |
|
||||
| *Time-Based Exit* | **~15%** | **+$3.20** |
|
||||
| *Trailing SL* hit | **~10%** | **+$8.70** |
|
||||
| Max Loss / *Daily Limit* | **~8%** | **-$22.50** |
|
||||
| *Weekend Close* | **~2%** | **+$5.10** |
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user