Files

EA-103 — EMA20 + RSI — Baseline Backtest

Test Configuration

Item Value
Expert Advisor EA-103_EMA20_RSI
Symbol XAUUSD.PRO
Timeframe M1
Test Period 2026.01.02 – 2026.03.31
Initial Deposit $1,000
Leverage 1:500
History Quality 100%
Bars 85,161
Ticks 38,264,803
Lot Size 0.01

Baseline Result

Metric Result
Net Profit +$2,636.37
Gross Profit $7,485.09
Gross Loss -$4,848.72
Profit Factor 1.54
Expected Payoff +$0.59
Recovery Factor 35.48
Sharpe Ratio 61.83
Max Balance DD 2.33%
Max Equity DD 2.43%
Relative Equity DD 4.45%
Total Trades 4,460
Total Deals 8,920
Profit Trades 2,617 / 58.68%
Loss Trades 1,843 / 41.32%

Directional Results

Direction Trades Win Rate
BUY 2,241 59.39%
SELL 2,219 57.95%

Both directions produced positive results in the baseline sample.


Trade Quality

Metric Result
Largest Profit Trade $7.09
Largest Loss Trade -$5.68
Average Profit Trade $2.86
Average Loss Trade -$2.63
Maximum Consecutive Wins 18
Maximum Consecutive Losses 10
Average Holding Time 00:01:46

Baseline Assessment

Classification: PASS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH

The baseline produced:

  • Positive net profit
  • Profit Factor above 1
  • Positive expected payoff
  • Positive Sharpe Ratio
  • Low maximum equity drawdown
  • Positive BUY and SELL performance
  • 4,460 trades in the tested sample

These results provide sufficient evidence to continue controlled research.

However, this result is not sufficient for live deployment.


Research Decision

Stage Status
Strategy Code COMPLETE
Baseline Backtest COMPLETE
Baseline Assessment PASS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH
Parameter Research NOT STARTED
Exit Research NOT STARTED
Session Research NOT STARTED
OOS Validation NOT STARTED
Robustness Testing NOT STARTED
Walk-Forward NOT STARTED
Forward Test NOT STARTED
Live Trading NO

Baseline ID: EA103-M1-BASELINE-001

Optimization Status: CONTROLLED RESEARCH ONLY