XAU-mt5-180-EA-Research/Backtest/EA-041_Inside_Pullback_Trend

Backtest — EA-041 Inside Pullback Trend

Overview

This folder contains MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester results for:

EA-041 — Inside Pullback Trend

The purpose of this backtest is to establish a baseline performance result for the current EA implementation on XAUUSD before further optimization or robustness testing.

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Test Configuration

Setting	Value
Expert Advisor	EA-041_Inside_Pullback_Trend
Symbol	XAUUSD.PRO
Timeframe	M1
Test Period	2026-01-02 → 2026-09-03
Initial Deposit	$1,000
Leverage	1:500
History Quality	100% real ticks
Bars	237,438
Ticks	99,256,611
Currency	USD

Broker / test environment:

• ACCMIntl-Real
• MetaTrader 5 Build 6140
• ACCM Intl Limited

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EA Parameters

Parameter	Value
Lot Size	0.01
Stop Loss	300 points
Take Profit	600 points
Magic Number	123456
Slippage	10
Max Spread	35 points
Max Orders	1
Break Even	Disabled
Break Even Trigger	150
Break Even Level	0
Trailing Stop	Disabled
Trailing Start	200
Trailing Step	50

This baseline test therefore evaluates the core Inside Pullback Trend strategy without Break Even or Trailing Stop management.

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Main Results

Metric	Result
Initial Deposit	$1,000.00
Total Net Profit	+$26.78
Gross Profit	$152.66
Gross Loss	-$125.88
Profit Factor	1.21
Expected Payoff	$0.47
Recovery Factor	0.56
Sharpe Ratio	10.17
Total Trades	57
Total Deals	114

Approximate return on initial capital:

+2.68%

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Drawdown

Metric	Result
Balance Drawdown Absolute	$6.48
Balance Drawdown Maximal	$45.37 (4.31%)
Balance Drawdown Relative	4.31%
Equity Drawdown Absolute	$6.69
Equity Drawdown Maximal	$47.52 (4.50%)
Equity Drawdown Relative	4.50%

The baseline produced positive net profit while keeping reported maximum equity drawdown below 5%.

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Trade Statistics

Overall

Metric	Result
Total Trades	57
Winning Trades	18 (31.58%)
Losing Trades	39 (68.42%)
Largest Profit Trade	+$47.71
Largest Loss Trade	-$6.75
Average Profit Trade	+$8.48
Average Loss Trade	-$3.23

The strategy has a relatively low win rate, but its average winning trade is substantially larger than its average losing trade.

Average Winner / Average Loser:

8.48 / 3.23 ≈ 2.63

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Long vs Short

Direction	Trades	Win Rate
Long	23	34.78%
Short	34	29.41%

Both BUY and SELL sides participated in the test.

The BUY side achieved a somewhat higher win rate, but this baseline alone is not sufficient to determine whether directional filtering would improve the strategy.

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Consecutive Results

Metric	Result
Maximum Consecutive Wins	3
Maximum Consecutive Losses	8
Maximal Consecutive Profit	$47.71
Maximal Consecutive Loss	-$24.30
Average Consecutive Wins	2
Average Consecutive Losses	3

The EA experienced a maximum losing sequence of 8 consecutive trades during this test.

This characteristic should be considered in future risk-management and robustness testing.

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Position Holding Time

Metric	Result
Minimum Holding Time	00:00:03
Maximum Holding Time	02:54:30
Average Holding Time	00:16:51

The M1 implementation therefore behaves as a relatively short-duration trading strategy in this test.

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MFE / MAE Statistics

Reported Strategy Tester correlations:

Correlation	Result
Profit vs MFE	0.93
Profit vs MAE	0.63
MFE vs MAE	0.4333

These statistics are retained as baseline diagnostic data for later analysis of exit behavior and trade management.

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Balance Curve

The test started with:

$1,000

and finished with approximately:

$1,026.78

The balance curve was not consistently upward throughout the entire test period.

The strategy generated a strong early increase, subsequently experienced a prolonged drawdown/retracement period, and recovered partially toward the end of the test.

Therefore, positive final net profit should not by itself be interpreted as evidence of a stable production-ready edge.

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Baseline Assessment

Positive observations

• Positive Total Net Profit: +$26.78
• Profit Factor above 1: 1.21
• Maximum Equity Drawdown: 4.50%
• Average winner significantly larger than average loser
• Both BUY and SELL signals generated trades
• Test used 100% real ticks

Weak points

• Only 57 trades across the test period
• Win rate only 31.58%
• Maximum losing streak reached 8 trades
• Profit Factor of 1.21 provides only a modest profitability margin
• Recovery Factor only 0.56
• Balance curve is not consistently increasing
• Result may be sensitive to a small number of large winning trades
• Only one symbol/timeframe/configuration is represented by this baseline test

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Current Status

Status: BASELINE BACKTEST — NOT VALIDATED FOR LIVE TRADING

The current result demonstrates that the EA produced a positive result under this specific Strategy Tester configuration.

It does not establish that the strategy is robust, optimized, or suitable for live trading.

No production approval should be inferred from this baseline result.

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Next Validation

Future testing may evaluate:

• Longer historical periods
• Different market regimes
• Additional XAUUSD timeframes
• Parameter sensitivity
• Spread sensitivity
• Break Even ON/OFF
• Trailing Stop ON/OFF
• Out-of-sample testing
• Walk-forward testing
• Monte Carlo / robustness testing
• Forward testing

These should be stored as separate test runs rather than replacing the baseline result.

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Backtest Files

Recommended structure:

Backtest/ └── EA-041_Inside_Pullback_Trend/ ├── README.md ├── ReportTester-952747.html ├── ReportTester-952747.png ├── ReportTester-952747-hst.png ├── ReportTester-952747-mfemae.png └── ReportTester-952747-holding.png

The original MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester report should be preserved together with its generated charts so that the README summary remains auditable.

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Conclusion

EA-041 Inside Pullback Trend achieved a positive baseline result on XAUUSD.PRO M1 from January to September 2026.

Key baseline figures:

• Net Profit: +$26.78
• Return on $1,000 initial deposit: ~+2.68%
• Profit Factor: 1.21
• Maximum Equity Drawdown: 4.50%
• Total Trades: 57
• Win Rate: 31.58%
• Maximum Consecutive Losses: 8

The result is sufficient to preserve as a baseline research run, but it is not sufficient to classify the EA as robust or production-ready.