mirror of
https://github.com/mihakralj/QuanTAlib.git
synced 2026-08-08 05:57:43 +00:00
6e24fea8b7
- Introduced Tukey's Biweight as a robust loss function, including mathematical foundation, usage patterns, and performance profile. - Added WMAPE (Weighted Mean Absolute Percentage Error) implementation, emphasizing its advantages for intermittent demand forecasting. - Created unit tests for WMAPE covering various scenarios including edge cases and batch calculations. - Documented both Tukey's Biweight and WMAPE with detailed explanations, properties, and common use cases.
320 lines
10 KiB
C#
320 lines
10 KiB
C#
using System.Numerics;
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using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
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using System.Runtime.InteropServices;
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using System.Runtime.Intrinsics;
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using System.Runtime.Intrinsics.X86;
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namespace QuanTAlib;
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/// <summary>
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/// RMSE: Root Mean Squared Error
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/// </summary>
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/// <remarks>
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/// RMSE is the square root of MSE, bringing the error metric back to the
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/// original units of the data while retaining the outlier sensitivity
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/// of squared errors.
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///
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/// Formula:
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/// RMSE = √((1/n) * Σ(actual - predicted)²) = √MSE
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///
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/// Uses a RingBuffer for O(1) streaming updates with running sum.
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///
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/// Key properties:
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/// - Always non-negative (RMSE ≥ 0)
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/// - Same units as the original data
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/// - Heavily penalizes outliers due to squaring before averaging
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/// - RMSE = 0 indicates perfect prediction
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/// </remarks>
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[SkipLocalsInit]
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public sealed class Rmse : AbstractBase
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{
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private readonly RingBuffer _buffer;
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[StructLayout(LayoutKind.Auto)]
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private record struct State(double Sum, double LastValidActual, double LastValidPredicted, int TickCount);
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private State _state;
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private State _p_state;
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private const int ResyncInterval = 1000;
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/// <summary>
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/// Creates RMSE with specified period.
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="period">Number of values to average (must be > 0)</param>
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public Rmse(int period)
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{
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if (period <= 0)
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throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
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_buffer = new RingBuffer(period);
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Name = $"Rmse({period})";
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WarmupPeriod = period;
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}
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public override bool IsHot => _buffer.IsFull;
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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public TValue Update(TValue actual, TValue predicted, bool isNew = true)
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{
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double actualVal = actual.Value;
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double predictedVal = predicted.Value;
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if (!double.IsFinite(actualVal))
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actualVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidActual) ? _state.LastValidActual : 0.0;
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else
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_state.LastValidActual = actualVal;
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if (!double.IsFinite(predictedVal))
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predictedVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidPredicted) ? _state.LastValidPredicted : 0.0;
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else
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_state.LastValidPredicted = predictedVal;
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double diff = actualVal - predictedVal;
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double squaredError = diff * diff;
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if (isNew)
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{
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_p_state = _state;
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double removedValue = _buffer.Count == _buffer.Capacity ? _buffer.Oldest : 0.0;
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_state.Sum = _state.Sum - removedValue + squaredError;
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_buffer.Add(squaredError);
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_state.TickCount++;
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if (_buffer.IsFull && _state.TickCount >= ResyncInterval)
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{
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_state.TickCount = 0;
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_state.Sum = _buffer.RecalculateSum();
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}
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}
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else
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{
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_state = _p_state;
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double removedValue = _buffer.Count == _buffer.Capacity ? _buffer.Oldest : 0.0;
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_state.Sum = _state.Sum - removedValue + squaredError;
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_buffer.UpdateNewest(squaredError);
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_state.Sum = _buffer.RecalculateSum();
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}
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double mse = _buffer.Count > 0 ? _state.Sum / _buffer.Count : squaredError;
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double result = Math.Sqrt(mse);
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Last = new TValue(actual.Time, result);
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PubEvent(Last, isNew);
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return Last;
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}
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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public TValue Update(double actual, double predicted, bool isNew = true)
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{
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return Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, actual), new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, predicted), isNew);
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}
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public override TValue Update(TValue input, bool isNew = true)
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{
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throw new NotSupportedException("RMSE requires two inputs. Use Update(actual, predicted).");
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}
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public override TSeries Update(TSeries source)
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{
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throw new NotSupportedException("RMSE requires two inputs. Use Calculate(actualSeries, predictedSeries, period).");
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}
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public override void Prime(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, TimeSpan? step = null)
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{
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throw new NotSupportedException("RMSE requires two inputs.");
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}
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public override void Reset()
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{
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_buffer.Clear();
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_state = default;
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_p_state = default;
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Last = default;
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}
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public static TSeries Calculate(TSeries actual, TSeries predicted, int period)
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{
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if (actual.Count != predicted.Count)
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throw new ArgumentException("Actual and predicted series must have the same length", nameof(predicted));
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int len = actual.Count;
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var t = new List<long>(len);
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var v = new List<double>(len);
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CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(t, len);
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CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(v, len);
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var tSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(t);
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var vSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(v);
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Batch(actual.Values, predicted.Values, vSpan, period);
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actual.Times.CopyTo(tSpan);
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return new TSeries(t, v);
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}
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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public static void Batch(ReadOnlySpan<double> actual, ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted, Span<double> output, int period)
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{
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if (actual.Length != predicted.Length || actual.Length != output.Length)
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throw new ArgumentException("All spans must have the same length", nameof(output));
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if (period <= 0)
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throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
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int len = actual.Length;
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if (len == 0) return;
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CalculateScalarCore(actual, predicted, output, period);
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}
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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private static void CalculateScalarCore(ReadOnlySpan<double> actual, ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted, Span<double> output, int period)
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{
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int len = actual.Length;
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const int StackAllocThreshold = 256;
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Span<double> buffer = period <= StackAllocThreshold
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? stackalloc double[period]
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: new double[period];
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// Pre-compute squared errors using SIMD if available and data is clean
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Span<double> sqErrors = len <= StackAllocThreshold
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? stackalloc double[len]
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: new double[len];
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ComputeSquaredErrors(actual, predicted, sqErrors);
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// Apply rolling window average with O(1) per element, then sqrt
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double sum = 0;
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int bufferIndex = 0;
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int warmupEnd = Math.Min(period, len);
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for (int i = 0; i < warmupEnd; i++)
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{
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sum += sqErrors[i];
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buffer[i] = sqErrors[i];
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output[i] = Math.Sqrt(sum / (i + 1));
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}
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int tickCount = 0;
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for (int i = warmupEnd; i < len; i++)
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{
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double sqError = sqErrors[i];
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sum = sum - buffer[bufferIndex] + sqError;
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buffer[bufferIndex] = sqError;
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bufferIndex++;
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if (bufferIndex >= period) bufferIndex = 0;
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output[i] = Math.Sqrt(sum / period);
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tickCount++;
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if (tickCount >= ResyncInterval)
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{
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tickCount = 0;
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double recalcSum = 0;
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for (int k = 0; k < period; k++) recalcSum += buffer[k];
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sum = recalcSum;
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}
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}
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}
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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private static void ComputeSquaredErrors(
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ReadOnlySpan<double> actual,
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ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted,
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Span<double> sqErrors)
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{
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int len = actual.Length;
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double lastValidActual = 0;
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double lastValidPredicted = 0;
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// Find first valid values
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for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
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{
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if (double.IsFinite(actual[k])) { lastValidActual = actual[k]; break; }
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}
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for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
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{
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if (double.IsFinite(predicted[k])) { lastValidPredicted = predicted[k]; break; }
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}
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// Try SIMD path for clean data (no NaN/Inf)
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if (Avx2.IsSupported && len >= Vector256<double>.Count)
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{
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// Check if data is clean (no NaN/Inf) - sample check
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bool dataClean = true;
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int checkStep = Math.Max(1, len / 32);
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for (int i = 0; i < len && dataClean; i += checkStep)
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{
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dataClean = double.IsFinite(actual[i]) && double.IsFinite(predicted[i]);
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}
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if (dataClean)
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{
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ComputeSquaredErrorsSimd(actual, predicted, sqErrors);
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return;
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}
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}
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// Scalar fallback with NaN handling
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ComputeSquaredErrorsScalar(actual, predicted, sqErrors, lastValidActual, lastValidPredicted);
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}
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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private static void ComputeSquaredErrorsSimd(
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ReadOnlySpan<double> actual,
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ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted,
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Span<double> sqErrors)
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{
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int len = actual.Length;
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int vectorSize = Vector256<double>.Count;
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int vectorEnd = len - (len % vectorSize);
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int i = 0;
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for (; i < vectorEnd; i += vectorSize)
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{
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Vector256<double> actVec = Vector256.LoadUnsafe(ref MemoryMarshal.GetReference(actual.Slice(i)));
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Vector256<double> predVec = Vector256.LoadUnsafe(ref MemoryMarshal.GetReference(predicted.Slice(i)));
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// error = actual - predicted
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Vector256<double> errorVec = Avx.Subtract(actVec, predVec);
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// sqError = error * error
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Vector256<double> sqErrorVec = Avx.Multiply(errorVec, errorVec);
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sqErrorVec.StoreUnsafe(ref MemoryMarshal.GetReference(sqErrors.Slice(i)));
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}
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// Handle remainder with scalar
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for (; i < len; i++)
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{
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double diff = actual[i] - predicted[i];
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sqErrors[i] = diff * diff;
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}
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}
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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private static void ComputeSquaredErrorsScalar(
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ReadOnlySpan<double> actual,
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ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted,
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Span<double> sqErrors,
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double lastValidActual,
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double lastValidPredicted)
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{
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int len = actual.Length;
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for (int i = 0; i < len; i++)
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{
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double act = actual[i];
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double pred = predicted[i];
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if (double.IsFinite(act)) lastValidActual = act; else act = lastValidActual;
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if (double.IsFinite(pred)) lastValidPredicted = pred; else pred = lastValidPredicted;
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double diff = act - pred;
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sqErrors[i] = diff * diff;
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}
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}
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} |