Files
QuanTAlib/lib/errors/mrae/Mrae.cs
T
Miha Kralj 6e24fea8b7 Add Tukey's Biweight and WMAPE implementations with comprehensive tests and documentation
- Introduced Tukey's Biweight as a robust loss function, including mathematical foundation, usage patterns, and performance profile.
- Added WMAPE (Weighted Mean Absolute Percentage Error) implementation, emphasizing its advantages for intermittent demand forecasting.
- Created unit tests for WMAPE covering various scenarios including edge cases and batch calculations.
- Documented both Tukey's Biweight and WMAPE with detailed explanations, properties, and common use cases.
2025-12-30 09:27:08 -08:00

229 lines
7.6 KiB
C#

using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
using System.Runtime.InteropServices;
namespace QuanTAlib;
/// <summary>
/// MRAE: Mean Relative Absolute Error
/// </summary>
/// <remarks>
/// MRAE measures the average relative absolute error, normalizing each error
/// by the absolute actual value. Similar to MAPE but computes the ratio differently.
///
/// Formula:
/// MRAE = (1/n) * Σ(|actual - predicted| / |actual|)
///
/// Key properties:
/// - Scale-independent through normalization
/// - Handles signs differently than MAPE
/// - Undefined when actual = 0 (uses epsilon protection)
/// - Values typically between 0 and 1 (0 = perfect, 1 = 100% error)
/// </remarks>
[SkipLocalsInit]
public sealed class Mrae : AbstractBase
{
private readonly RingBuffer _buffer;
[StructLayout(LayoutKind.Auto)]
private record struct State(double Sum, double LastValidActual, double LastValidPredicted, int TickCount);
private State _state;
private State _p_state;
private const int ResyncInterval = 1000;
public Mrae(int period)
{
if (period <= 0)
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
_buffer = new RingBuffer(period);
Name = $"Mrae({period})";
WarmupPeriod = period;
}
public override bool IsHot => _buffer.IsFull;
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
public TValue Update(TValue actual, TValue predicted, bool isNew = true)
{
double actualVal = actual.Value;
double predictedVal = predicted.Value;
if (!double.IsFinite(actualVal))
actualVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidActual) ? _state.LastValidActual : 1.0;
else
_state.LastValidActual = actualVal;
if (!double.IsFinite(predictedVal))
predictedVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidPredicted) ? _state.LastValidPredicted : 0.0;
else
_state.LastValidPredicted = predictedVal;
// MRAE: |actual - predicted| / |actual|
double absActual = Math.Abs(actualVal);
double absError = Math.Abs(actualVal - predictedVal);
double relativeError = absActual > 1e-10 ? absError / absActual : 0.0;
if (isNew)
{
_p_state = _state;
double removedValue = _buffer.Count == _buffer.Capacity ? _buffer.Oldest : 0.0;
_state.Sum = _state.Sum - removedValue + relativeError;
_buffer.Add(relativeError);
_state.TickCount++;
if (_buffer.IsFull && _state.TickCount >= ResyncInterval)
{
_state.TickCount = 0;
_state.Sum = _buffer.RecalculateSum();
}
}
else
{
_state = _p_state;
double removedValue = _buffer.Count == _buffer.Capacity ? _buffer.Oldest : 0.0;
_state.Sum = _state.Sum - removedValue + relativeError;
_buffer.UpdateNewest(relativeError);
_state.Sum = _buffer.RecalculateSum();
}
double result = _buffer.Count > 0 ? _state.Sum / _buffer.Count : relativeError;
Last = new TValue(actual.Time, result);
PubEvent(Last, isNew);
return Last;
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
public TValue Update(double actual, double predicted, bool isNew = true)
{
return Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, actual), new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, predicted), isNew);
}
public override TValue Update(TValue input, bool isNew = true)
{
throw new NotSupportedException("MRAE requires two inputs. Use Update(actual, predicted).");
}
public override TSeries Update(TSeries source)
{
throw new NotSupportedException("MRAE requires two inputs. Use Calculate(actualSeries, predictedSeries, period).");
}
public override void Prime(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, TimeSpan? step = null)
{
throw new NotSupportedException("MRAE requires two inputs.");
}
public override void Reset()
{
_buffer.Clear();
_state = default;
_p_state = default;
Last = default;
}
public static TSeries Calculate(TSeries actual, TSeries predicted, int period)
{
if (actual.Count != predicted.Count)
throw new ArgumentException("Actual and predicted series must have the same length", nameof(predicted));
int len = actual.Count;
var t = new List<long>(len);
var v = new List<double>(len);
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(t, len);
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(v, len);
var tSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(t);
var vSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(v);
Batch(actual.Values, predicted.Values, vSpan, period);
actual.Times.CopyTo(tSpan);
return new TSeries(t, v);
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
public static void Batch(ReadOnlySpan<double> actual, ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted, Span<double> output, int period)
{
if (actual.Length != predicted.Length || actual.Length != output.Length)
throw new ArgumentException("All spans must have the same length", nameof(output));
if (period <= 0)
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
int len = actual.Length;
if (len == 0) return;
const int StackAllocThreshold = 256;
Span<double> buffer = period <= StackAllocThreshold
? stackalloc double[period]
: new double[period];
double sum = 0;
double lastValidActual = 1.0;
double lastValidPredicted = 0;
for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
{
if (double.IsFinite(actual[k]) && Math.Abs(actual[k]) >= 1e-10) { lastValidActual = actual[k]; break; }
}
for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
{
if (double.IsFinite(predicted[k])) { lastValidPredicted = predicted[k]; break; }
}
int bufferIndex = 0;
int i = 0;
int warmupEnd = Math.Min(period, len);
for (; i < warmupEnd; i++)
{
double act = actual[i];
double pred = predicted[i];
if (double.IsFinite(act) && Math.Abs(act) >= 1e-10) lastValidActual = act; else act = lastValidActual;
if (double.IsFinite(pred)) lastValidPredicted = pred; else pred = lastValidPredicted;
double absActual = Math.Abs(act);
double absError = Math.Abs(act - pred);
double relativeError = absActual > 1e-10 ? absError / absActual : 0.0;
sum += relativeError;
buffer[i] = relativeError;
output[i] = sum / (i + 1);
}
int tickCount = 0;
for (; i < len; i++)
{
double act = actual[i];
double pred = predicted[i];
if (double.IsFinite(act) && Math.Abs(act) >= 1e-10) lastValidActual = act; else act = lastValidActual;
if (double.IsFinite(pred)) lastValidPredicted = pred; else pred = lastValidPredicted;
double absActual = Math.Abs(act);
double absError = Math.Abs(act - pred);
double relativeError = absActual > 1e-10 ? absError / absActual : 0.0;
sum = sum - buffer[bufferIndex] + relativeError;
buffer[bufferIndex] = relativeError;
bufferIndex++;
if (bufferIndex >= period) bufferIndex = 0;
output[i] = sum / period;
tickCount++;
if (tickCount >= ResyncInterval)
{
tickCount = 0;
double recalcSum = 0;
for (int k = 0; k < period; k++) recalcSum += buffer[k];
sum = recalcSum;
}
}
}
}