Files
QuanTAlib/lib/errors/mdae/Mdae.cs
T
Miha Kralj 6e24fea8b7 Add Tukey's Biweight and WMAPE implementations with comprehensive tests and documentation
- Introduced Tukey's Biweight as a robust loss function, including mathematical foundation, usage patterns, and performance profile.
- Added WMAPE (Weighted Mean Absolute Percentage Error) implementation, emphasizing its advantages for intermittent demand forecasting.
- Created unit tests for WMAPE covering various scenarios including edge cases and batch calculations.
- Documented both Tukey's Biweight and WMAPE with detailed explanations, properties, and common use cases.
2025-12-30 09:27:08 -08:00

224 lines
6.8 KiB
C#

using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
using System.Runtime.InteropServices;
namespace QuanTAlib;
/// <summary>
/// MdAE: Median Absolute Error
/// </summary>
/// <remarks>
/// MdAE is the median of absolute errors between actual and predicted values.
/// Unlike MAE which uses the mean, MdAE is robust to outliers.
///
/// Formula:
/// MdAE = Median(|actual - predicted|)
///
/// Key properties:
/// - Robust to outliers (50% breakdown point)
/// - Same units as the original data
/// - Less sensitive to extreme errors than MAE
/// - MdAE = 0 indicates at least half the predictions are perfect
/// </remarks>
[SkipLocalsInit]
public sealed class Mdae : AbstractBase
{
private readonly RingBuffer _buffer;
private readonly double[] _sortBuffer;
[StructLayout(LayoutKind.Auto)]
private record struct State(double LastValidActual, double LastValidPredicted, int TickCount);
private State _state;
private State _p_state;
public Mdae(int period)
{
if (period <= 0)
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
_buffer = new RingBuffer(period);
_sortBuffer = new double[period];
Name = $"Mdae({period})";
WarmupPeriod = period;
}
public override bool IsHot => _buffer.IsFull;
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
public TValue Update(TValue actual, TValue predicted, bool isNew = true)
{
double actualVal = actual.Value;
double predictedVal = predicted.Value;
if (!double.IsFinite(actualVal))
actualVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidActual) ? _state.LastValidActual : 0.0;
else
_state.LastValidActual = actualVal;
if (!double.IsFinite(predictedVal))
predictedVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidPredicted) ? _state.LastValidPredicted : 0.0;
else
_state.LastValidPredicted = predictedVal;
double absError = Math.Abs(actualVal - predictedVal);
if (isNew)
{
_p_state = _state;
_buffer.Add(absError);
_state.TickCount++;
}
else
{
_state = _p_state;
_buffer.UpdateNewest(absError);
}
// Calculate median
double result = CalculateMedian();
Last = new TValue(actual.Time, result);
PubEvent(Last, isNew);
return Last;
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
public TValue Update(double actual, double predicted, bool isNew = true)
{
return Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, actual), new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, predicted), isNew);
}
public override TValue Update(TValue input, bool isNew = true)
{
throw new NotSupportedException("MdAE requires two inputs. Use Update(actual, predicted).");
}
public override TSeries Update(TSeries source)
{
throw new NotSupportedException("MdAE requires two inputs. Use Calculate(actualSeries, predictedSeries, period).");
}
public override void Prime(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, TimeSpan? step = null)
{
throw new NotSupportedException("MdAE requires two inputs.");
}
public override void Reset()
{
_buffer.Clear();
_state = default;
_p_state = default;
Last = default;
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
private double CalculateMedian()
{
int count = _buffer.Count;
if (count == 0) return 0.0;
// Copy to sort buffer
for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
{
_sortBuffer[i] = _buffer[i];
}
// Sort the portion we're using
Array.Sort(_sortBuffer, 0, count);
// Return median
if (count % 2 == 1)
{
return _sortBuffer[count / 2];
}
else
{
return (_sortBuffer[count / 2 - 1] + _sortBuffer[count / 2]) * 0.5;
}
}
public static TSeries Calculate(TSeries actual, TSeries predicted, int period)
{
if (actual.Count != predicted.Count)
throw new ArgumentException("Actual and predicted series must have the same length", nameof(predicted));
int len = actual.Count;
var t = new List<long>(len);
var v = new List<double>(len);
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(t, len);
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(v, len);
var tSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(t);
var vSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(v);
Batch(actual.Values, predicted.Values, vSpan, period);
actual.Times.CopyTo(tSpan);
return new TSeries(t, v);
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
public static void Batch(ReadOnlySpan<double> actual, ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted, Span<double> output, int period)
{
if (actual.Length != predicted.Length || actual.Length != output.Length)
throw new ArgumentException("All spans must have the same length", nameof(output));
if (period <= 0)
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
int len = actual.Length;
if (len == 0) return;
// Use heap allocation for batch - we need sorting per element
double[] buffer = new double[period];
double[] sortBuffer = new double[period];
double lastValidActual = 0;
double lastValidPredicted = 0;
for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
{
if (double.IsFinite(actual[k])) { lastValidActual = actual[k]; break; }
}
for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
{
if (double.IsFinite(predicted[k])) { lastValidPredicted = predicted[k]; break; }
}
int bufferIndex = 0;
int bufferCount = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < len; i++)
{
double act = actual[i];
double pred = predicted[i];
if (double.IsFinite(act)) lastValidActual = act; else act = lastValidActual;
if (double.IsFinite(pred)) lastValidPredicted = pred; else pred = lastValidPredicted;
double absError = Math.Abs(act - pred);
// Add to circular buffer
buffer[bufferIndex] = absError;
bufferIndex++;
if (bufferIndex >= period) bufferIndex = 0;
if (bufferCount < period) bufferCount++;
// Copy and sort for median
for (int j = 0; j < bufferCount; j++)
{
sortBuffer[j] = buffer[j];
}
Array.Sort(sortBuffer, 0, bufferCount);
// Calculate median
if (bufferCount % 2 == 1)
{
output[i] = sortBuffer[bufferCount / 2];
}
else
{
output[i] = (sortBuffer[bufferCount / 2 - 1] + sortBuffer[bufferCount / 2]) * 0.5;
}
}
}
}