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Statistics

"All models are wrong, but some are useful." — George Box

Statistical tools applied to price and returns. These indicators quantify relationships, measure dispersion, test hypotheses. Unlike momentum or trend indicators, statistics describe the data itself.

Indicator Full Name Description
ACF Autocorrelation Function Correlation of time series with lagged copy. For ARMA model identification.
BETA Beta Coefficient Asset volatility relative to market. β=1 means market-matched risk.
CMA Cumulative Moving Average Running average of all values. Welford's algorithm. No window.
COINTEGRATION Cointegration Tests if series share long-term equilibrium. Pairs trading foundation.
CORRELATION Correlation Linear relationship between two variables. Range: -1 to +1.
COVARIANCE Covariance Joint variability of two random variables. Building block for β.
ENTROPY Shannon Entropy Measures uncertainty/randomness. Higher entropy = less predictable.
GEOMEAN Geometric Mean nth root of product. Use for growth rates and ratios.
GRANGER Granger Causality Tests if one series helps predict another. Not true causality.
HARMEAN Harmonic Mean Reciprocal of arithmetic mean of reciprocals. For rates/ratios.
HURST Hurst Exponent Long-term memory. H>0.5: trending. H<0.5: mean-reverting.
IQR Interquartile Range P75 - P25. Robust dispersion measure.
JB Jarque-Bera Test Normality test using skewness and kurtosis.
KENDALL Kendall Rank Correlation Ordinal association. Robust to outliers.
KURTOSIS Kurtosis Tail heaviness. High kurtosis = fat tails = more extreme events.
LINREG Linear Regression Least squares fit. Outputs slope, intercept, R².
MEDIAN Median Middle value in sorted window. Robust to outliers.
MODE Mode Most frequent value. Use for categorical or discrete data.
PACF Partial Autocorrelation Function Direct correlation at lag k after removing intermediate effects. For AR model identification.
PERCENTILE Percentile Value below which given percentage of observations fall.
QUANTILE Quantile Divides distribution into equal probability intervals.
SKEW Skewness Distribution asymmetry. Positive: right tail. Negative: left tail.
SPEARMAN Spearman Rank Correlation Pearson on ranks. Measures monotonic relationship.
STDDEV Standard Deviation Square root of variance. Same units as data.
SUM Rolling Sum Kahan-Babuška summation. Numerically stable.
THEIL Theil Index Inequality measure. Decomposable into within/between group.
VARIANCE Variance Average squared deviation from mean. Units are squared.
ZSCORE Z-Score Standard deviations from mean. Normalizes different scales.
ZTEST Z-Test One-sample t-test statistic against hypothesized mean.
MEANDEV Mean Absolute Deviation Outlier-robust dispersion. Core of CCI. MD ≈ 0.7979σ for normal data.
STDERR Standard Error of Regression OLS residual scatter over rolling window. Quantifies trend fit quality.
POLYFIT Polynomial Fitting Least-squares polynomial regression.
TRIM Trimmed Mean MA Mean after discarding extreme percentiles.
WAVG Weighted Average Generic weighted mean.
WINS Winsorized Mean MA Mean with extreme values clamped to percentile bounds.