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RMSE: Root Mean Squared Error

MSE's more interpretable sibling that speaks the language of your data.

Property Value
Category Error Metric
Inputs Actual, Predicted (dual series)
Parameters period
Outputs Single series (RMSE)
Output range \geq 0
Warmup period bars
PineScript rmse.pine
  • Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) is the square root of MSE, providing an error metric in the same units as the original data while retaining sensitiv...
  • Similar: MSE, MAE | Trading note: Root Mean Squared Error; same units as input, emphasizes large deviations. Most common accuracy metric.
  • Validated against TA-Lib, Skender, and Tulip reference implementations where available.

Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) is the square root of MSE, providing an error metric in the same units as the original data while retaining sensitivity to large errors.

Mathematical Foundation

Formula

RMSE = \sqrt{\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (y_i - \hat{y}_i)^2} = \sqrt{MSE}

Properties

  • Non-negative: RMSE ≥ 0
  • Same units: Unlike MSE, RMSE is in original data units
  • Outlier sensitive: Inherits MSE's penalty for large errors
  • Always ≥ MAE: RMSE ≥ MAE due to Jensen's inequality

Usage

var rmse = new Rmse(period: 20);
var result = rmse.Update(actualValue, predictedValue);

// Batch calculation
var results = Rmse.Calculate(actualSeries, predictedSeries, period: 20);

Performance Profile

Operation Count (Streaming Mode)

O(1) per bar. Single-pass scalar transformation of (actual, forecast) pair; no lookback window required.

Operation Count Cost (cycles) Subtotal
Error computation (subtract, abs/square/log) 1-3 ~3-8 cy ~5-15 cy
Running accumulator update (EMA or sum) 1 ~4 cy ~4 cy
Total 2-4 ~9-19 cycles

Streaming update requires only the current actual/forecast pair and running state. ~10-15 cycles/bar typical.

Batch Mode (SIMD Analysis)

Operation Vectorizable? Notes
Element-wise error computation Yes Independent per bar; fully vectorizable with Vector<double>
Reduction (sum/mean) Yes Parallel reduction; AVX2 gives 4x speedup
Log/exp components Partial Transcendental ops; polynomial approx for SIMD

Batch SIMD: 4x-8x speedup for large windows. ~3-5 cy/bar amortized in vectorized batch mode.

Metric Score Notes
Throughput ~15 ns/bar O(1) with sqrt operation
Allocations 0 Pre-allocated ring buffer
Complexity O(1) Constant time per update
  • MSE - Mean Squared Error
  • MAE - Mean Absolute Error