6.3 KiB
AMAT: Archer Moving Averages Trends
Archer's moving average trends compare fast and slow averages, signaling when short-term momentum confirms the longer-term direction.
| Property | Value |
|---|---|
| Category | Dynamic |
| Inputs | OHLCV bar (TBar) |
| Parameters | fastPeriod (default 10), slowPeriod (default 50) |
| Outputs | Multiple series (Strength, FastEma, SlowEma) |
| Output range | Varies (see docs) |
| Warmup | slowPeriod bars |
| PineScript | amat.pine |
- The Archer Moving Averages Trends indicator is a triple-confirmation trend identification system that uses dual EMAs to produce discrete directiona...
- Similar: Alligator, Ichimoku | Complementary: ADX for trend strength | Trading note: Archer Moving Average Trend; uses MA crossover zones to classify trend phases.
- Validated against TA-Lib, Skender, and Tulip reference implementations where available.
The Archer Moving Averages Trends indicator is a triple-confirmation trend identification system that uses dual EMAs to produce discrete directional signals (+1 bullish, -1 bearish, 0 neutral). Unlike simple crossover systems that trigger on any intersection, AMAT requires alignment of three conditions: relative position (fast above/below slow), fast EMA direction (rising/falling), and slow EMA direction (rising/falling). This triple gate filters out the whipsaw endemic to single-condition crossover systems in ranging markets. A secondary output quantifies trend strength as the percentage separation between EMAs, providing a conviction metric for position sizing.
Historical Context
AMAT emerged from concepts attributed to Mark Whistler ("Archer" in trading circles) and was formalized by Tom Joseph in 2009. The indicator addresses a specific failure mode of traditional MA crossover systems: they generate excessive false signals during sideways markets because a crossover only measures relative position, not directional agreement. A fast EMA can cross above a slow EMA while both are falling — technically a "bullish crossover" but practically meaningless. AMAT's innovation is requiring all three conditions to align before committing to a directional call. The neutral state (output = 0) captures market indecision explicitly: when EMAs disagree on direction or their relative position contradicts their momentum, AMAT stays flat. Markets trend roughly 30% of the time. AMAT is designed to identify that 30% with high confidence and stay silent the other 70%.
Architecture & Physics
1. Dual EMA Computation
Two independent EMAs with bias compensation during warmup:
\text{EMA}_t = \alpha \cdot P_t + (1 - \alpha) \cdot \text{EMA}_{t-1}
where \alpha = \frac{2}{N + 1}
Bias compensation removes initialization distortion:
e_t = e_{t-1} \times (1 - \alpha), \quad \text{EMA}_{\text{comp}} = \frac{\text{EMA}_t}{1 - e_t}
2. Direction Detection
\text{Dir}_t = \begin{cases} +1 & \text{if } \text{EMA}_t > \text{EMA}_{t-1} \\ -1 & \text{if } \text{EMA}_t < \text{EMA}_{t-1} \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}
3. Triple-Confirmation Logic
\text{Trend}_t = \begin{cases} +1 & \text{if Fast} > \text{Slow} \;\land\; \text{FastDir} = +1 \;\land\; \text{SlowDir} = +1 \\ -1 & \text{if Fast} < \text{Slow} \;\land\; \text{FastDir} = -1 \;\land\; \text{SlowDir} = -1 \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}
4. Trend Strength
\text{Strength}_t = \frac{|\text{Fast}_t - \text{Slow}_t|}{\text{Slow}_t} \times 100
5. Complexity
- Time:
O(1)per bar — two EMA updates plus comparisons - Space:
O(1)— scalar state only - Warmup: slowPeriod bars
Mathematical Foundation
Parameters
| Symbol | Parameter | Default | Constraint |
|---|---|---|---|
N_f |
fastPeriod | 10 | N_f \geq 1 |
N_s |
slowPeriod | 50 | N_s > N_f |
Period Selection Guidelines
| Use Case | Fast | Slow | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scalping | 5 | 13 | 1:2.6 |
| Swing | 10 | 50 | 1:5 |
| Position | 20 | 100 | 1:5 |
| Investment | 50 | 200 | 1:4 |
Fast periods too close to slow periods produce excessive neutral readings. A ratio of 1:4 to 1:5 provides effective separation.
Discrete Output Properties
- +1: All three conditions align bullish — high-confidence uptrend
- -1: All three conditions align bearish — high-confidence downtrend
- 0: Any disagreement — indeterminate; no position recommended
- Strength: Quantifies EMA separation as percentage of slow EMA; useful for position sizing but not directional signal
Performance Profile
Operation Count (Streaming Mode)
AMAT compares a fast EMA against a slow EMA to determine trend direction.
Post-warmup steady state (per bar):
| Operation | Count | Cost (cycles) | Subtotal |
|---|---|---|---|
| FMA × 2 (fast EMA, slow EMA updates) | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| CMP (fast > slow → trend = 1 else 0) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 3 | — | ~9 cycles |
Two independent EMA streams with a single comparison. One of the cheapest dynamics indicators: ~9 cycles per bar at steady state.
Batch Mode (SIMD Analysis)
| Operation | Vectorizable? | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| EMA (fast) | No | Recursive IIR — sequential |
| EMA (slow) | No | Recursive IIR — sequential |
| Comparison | Yes | VCMPPD after both EMA arrays computed |
Both EMA passes are recursive and sequential. The final comparison step is trivially vectorizable once both arrays exist.
Quality Metrics
| Metric | Score | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 9/10 | Exact EMA arithmetic; binary output eliminates rounding nuance |
| Timeliness | 7/10 | Slow EMA period determines lag; faster than SMA-based versions |
| Smoothness | 10/10 | Binary 0/1 output is maximally smooth by definition |
| Noise Rejection | 7/10 | EMA crossover can whipsaw in sideways markets |
Resources
- Joseph, T. — AMAT trend confirmation methodology (2009)
- PineScript reference:
amat.pinein indicator directory