using System.Runtime.CompilerServices; namespace QuanTAlib; /// /// RSE: Relative Squared Error /// A normalized error metric that compares the squared error of predictions to /// the variance of actual values. RSE provides a scale-independent measure of /// prediction accuracy relative to the inherent variability in the data. /// /// /// The RSE calculation process: /// 1. Calculates sum of squared prediction errors /// 2. Calculates sum of squared deviations from mean (variance) /// 3. Divides squared error by variance and takes square root /// /// Key characteristics: /// - Scale-independent (normalized by data variance) /// - Range typically between 0 and 1 /// - Easy interpretation relative to data variance /// - Penalizes large errors more than small ones /// - Accounts for data variability /// /// Formula: /// RSE = √(Σ(actual - predicted)² / Σ(actual - mean(actual))²) /// /// Sources: /// https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_squared_error /// https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/relative-squared-error /// /// Note: Values less than 1 indicate predictions better than using mean /// [SkipLocalsInit] public sealed class Rse : AbstractBase { private readonly CircularBuffer _actualBuffer; private readonly CircularBuffer _predictedBuffer; /// The number of points over which to calculate the RSE. /// Thrown when period is less than 1. [MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)] public Rse(int period) { if (period < 1) { throw new ArgumentOutOfRangeException(nameof(period), "Period must be greater than or equal to 1."); } WarmupPeriod = period; _actualBuffer = new CircularBuffer(period); _predictedBuffer = new CircularBuffer(period); Name = $"Rse(period={period})"; Init(); } /// The data source object that publishes updates. /// The number of points over which to calculate the RSE. [MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)] public Rse(object source, int period) : this(period) { var pubEvent = source.GetType().GetEvent("Pub"); pubEvent?.AddEventHandler(source, new ValueSignal(Sub)); } [MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)] public override void Init() { base.Init(); _actualBuffer.Clear(); _predictedBuffer.Clear(); } [MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)] protected override void ManageState(bool isNew) { if (isNew) { _lastValidValue = Input.Value; _index++; } } [MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining | MethodImplOptions.AggressiveOptimization)] private static (double squaredError, double squaredDeviation) CalculateErrors(double actual, double predicted, double meanActual) { double error = actual - predicted; double deviation = actual - meanActual; return (error * error, deviation * deviation); } [MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining | MethodImplOptions.AggressiveOptimization)] protected override double Calculation() { ManageState(Input.IsNew); double actual = Input.Value; _actualBuffer.Add(actual, Input.IsNew); // If no predicted value provided, use mean of actual values double predicted = double.IsNaN(Input2.Value) ? _actualBuffer.Average() : Input2.Value; _predictedBuffer.Add(predicted, Input.IsNew); double rse = 0; if (_actualBuffer.Count > 0) { ReadOnlySpan actualValues = _actualBuffer.GetSpan(); ReadOnlySpan predictedValues = _predictedBuffer.GetSpan(); double sumSquaredError = 0; double sumSquaredActual = 0; double meanActual = _actualBuffer.Average(); for (int i = 0; i < actualValues.Length; i++) { var (squaredError, squaredDeviation) = CalculateErrors(actualValues[i], predictedValues[i], meanActual); sumSquaredError += squaredError; sumSquaredActual += squaredDeviation; } rse = sumSquaredActual > 0 ? Math.Sqrt(sumSquaredError / sumSquaredActual) : 0; } IsHot = _index >= WarmupPeriod; return rse; } }