mirror of
https://github.com/mihakralj/QuanTAlib.git
synced 2026-08-23 04:58:08 +00:00
Add R² and SMAPE error metrics with comprehensive tests and documentation
- Introduced R² (Coefficient of Determination) metric with detailed mathematical foundation, performance profile, and usage examples. - Implemented SMAPE (Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error) metric, addressing asymmetry in MAPE with symmetric error calculations. - Added unit tests for SMAPE covering various scenarios including edge cases and input validation. - Enhanced Dema class to correctly handle event publishing with isNew parameter. - Updated Quantower test project to include coverage configuration for better test reporting.
This commit is contained in:
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namespace QuanTAlib.Tests;
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public class MaeTests
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{
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[Fact]
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public void Constructor_ValidatesInput()
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{
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => new Mae(0));
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => new Mae(-1));
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var mae = new Mae(10);
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Assert.NotNull(mae);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Properties_Accessible()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(10);
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Assert.Equal(0, mae.Last.Value);
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Assert.False(mae.IsHot);
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Assert.Contains("Mae", mae.Name, StringComparison.Ordinal);
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mae.Update(100, 105);
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Assert.NotEqual(0, mae.Last.Time);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void IsHot_BecomesTrueWhenBufferFull()
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{
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int period = 5;
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var mae = new Mae(period);
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for (int i = 0; i < period - 1; i++)
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{
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Assert.False(mae.IsHot, $"IsHot should be false at index {i}");
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mae.Update(i * 10, i * 10 + 5);
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}
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mae.Update((period - 1) * 10, (period - 1) * 10 + 5);
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Assert.True(mae.IsHot, "IsHot should be true after period updates");
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Mae_CalculatesCorrectly()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(3);
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// |10 - 15| = 5
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var res1 = mae.Update(10, 15);
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Assert.Equal(5.0, res1.Value, 10);
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// |20 - 30| = 10, Mean = (5 + 10) / 2 = 7.5
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var res2 = mae.Update(20, 30);
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Assert.Equal(7.5, res2.Value, 10);
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// |30 - 25| = 5, Mean = (5 + 10 + 5) / 3 = 6.666...
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var res3 = mae.Update(30, 25);
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Assert.Equal(20.0 / 3.0, res3.Value, 10);
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// |40 - 35| = 5, Window slides: (10 + 5 + 5) / 3 = 6.666...
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var res4 = mae.Update(40, 35);
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Assert.Equal(20.0 / 3.0, res4.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Mae_PerfectPrediction_ReturnsZero()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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mae.Update(i * 10, i * 10); // Perfect prediction
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}
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Assert.Equal(0.0, mae.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Mae_ConstantError_ReturnsConstant()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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mae.Update(100, 110); // Constant error of 10
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}
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Assert.Equal(10.0, mae.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Mae_NegativeError_TakesAbsoluteValue()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(3);
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// Error = |15 - 10| = 5 (predicted > actual)
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mae.Update(10, 15);
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// Error = |20 - 30| = 10 (predicted > actual)
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mae.Update(20, 30);
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// Error = |50 - 25| = 25 (predicted < actual)
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mae.Update(50, 25);
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// Mean = (5 + 10 + 25) / 3 = 40 / 3
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Assert.Equal(40.0 / 3.0, mae.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calc_IsNew_AcceptsParameter()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(10);
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mae.Update(100, 110, isNew: true);
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double value1 = mae.Last.Value;
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mae.Update(100, 120, isNew: true);
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double value2 = mae.Last.Value;
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Assert.NotEqual(value1, value2);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calc_IsNew_False_UpdatesValue()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(10);
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mae.Update(100, 110);
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mae.Update(100, 120, isNew: true);
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double beforeUpdate = mae.Last.Value;
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mae.Update(100, 130, isNew: false);
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double afterUpdate = mae.Last.Value;
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Assert.NotEqual(beforeUpdate, afterUpdate);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void IterativeCorrections_RestoreToOriginalState()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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double tenthActual = 0;
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double tenthPredicted = 0;
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// Feed 10 updates
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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tenthActual = i * 10;
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tenthPredicted = i * 10 + 5;
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mae.Update(tenthActual, tenthPredicted);
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}
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double stateAfterTen = mae.Last.Value;
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// Apply 5 corrections with isNew=false
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for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
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{
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mae.Update(100 + i, 200 + i, isNew: false);
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}
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// Restore to original values
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mae.Update(tenthActual, tenthPredicted, isNew: false);
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Assert.Equal(stateAfterTen, mae.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Reset_ClearsState()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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mae.Update(i * 10, i * 10 + 5);
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}
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Assert.True(mae.IsHot);
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mae.Reset();
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Assert.False(mae.IsHot);
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Assert.Equal(0, mae.Last.Value);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void NaN_Input_UsesLastValidValue()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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mae.Update(100, 110);
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mae.Update(110, 120);
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mae.Update(120, 130);
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var result = mae.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(result.Value));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Infinity_Input_UsesLastValidValue()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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mae.Update(100, 110);
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mae.Update(110, 120);
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var result = mae.Update(double.PositiveInfinity, double.NegativeInfinity);
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(result.Value));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void MultipleNaN_ContinuesWithLastValid()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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mae.Update(100, 110);
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mae.Update(110, 120);
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mae.Update(120, 130);
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var r1 = mae.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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var r2 = mae.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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var r3 = mae.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(r1.Value));
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(r2.Value));
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(r3.Value));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Mae_Throws_On_Single_Input()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(10);
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Assert.Throws<NotSupportedException>(() => mae.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 1)));
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Assert.Throws<NotSupportedException>(() => mae.Update(new TSeries()));
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Assert.Throws<NotSupportedException>(() => mae.Prime(new double[] { 1, 2, 3 }));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void BatchSpan_MatchesStreaming()
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{
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int period = 5;
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int count = 100;
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var gbm = new GBM(startPrice: 100, mu: 0.05, sigma: 0.2, seed: 123);
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double[] actual = new double[count];
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double[] predicted = new double[count];
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for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
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{
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var bar = gbm.Next();
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actual[i] = bar.Close;
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predicted[i] = bar.Close * 1.05 + 2; // Offset prediction
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}
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// Streaming
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var mae = new Mae(period);
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var streamingResults = new double[count];
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for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
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{
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streamingResults[i] = mae.Update(actual[i], predicted[i]).Value;
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}
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// Batch
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double[] batchResults = new double[count];
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Mae.Batch(actual, predicted, batchResults, period);
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// Compare
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for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
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{
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Assert.Equal(streamingResults[i], batchResults[i], 9);
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}
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}
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[Fact]
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public void BatchSpan_ValidatesInput()
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{
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double[] actual = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5];
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double[] predicted = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5];
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double[] output = new double[5];
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double[] wrongSizeOutput = new double[3];
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double[] wrongSizePredicted = new double[3];
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// Period must be > 0
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Mae.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), predicted.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), 0));
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Mae.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), predicted.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), -1));
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// Output must be same length as source
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Mae.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), predicted.AsSpan(), wrongSizeOutput.AsSpan(), 3));
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// Predicted must be same length as actual
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Mae.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), wrongSizePredicted.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), 3));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calculate_Works()
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{
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var actual = new TSeries();
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var predicted = new TSeries();
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var now = DateTime.UtcNow;
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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actual.Add(now.AddMinutes(i), i * 10);
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predicted.Add(now.AddMinutes(i), i * 10 + 5);
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}
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var results = Mae.Calculate(actual, predicted, 3);
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Assert.Equal(10, results.Count);
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// All errors are 5, so MAE should be 5
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Assert.Equal(5.0, results.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calculate_ValidatesMismatchedLengths()
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{
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var actual = new TSeries();
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var predicted = new TSeries();
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++) actual.Add(DateTime.UtcNow, i);
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for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++) predicted.Add(DateTime.UtcNow, i);
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => Mae.Calculate(actual, predicted, 3));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void BatchSpan_HandlesNaN()
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{
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double[] actual = [100, 110, double.NaN, 130, 140];
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double[] predicted = [105, 115, 125, double.NaN, 145];
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double[] output = new double[5];
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Mae.Batch(actual, predicted, output, 3);
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foreach (var val in output)
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{
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(val), $"Expected finite value but got {val}");
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}
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Mae_Resync_Works()
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{
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var mae = new Mae(5);
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// Force many updates to trigger resync (ResyncInterval = 1000)
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for (int i = 0; i < 1100; i++)
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{
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mae.Update(i, i + 10); // Constant error of 10
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}
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// After resync, result should still be correct
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Assert.Equal(10.0, mae.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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}
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@@ -0,0 +1,287 @@
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using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
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using System.Runtime.InteropServices;
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namespace QuanTAlib;
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/// <summary>
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/// MAE: Mean Absolute Error
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/// </summary>
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/// <remarks>
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/// MAE measures the average magnitude of errors between paired observations,
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/// without considering their direction. It is the mean of the absolute differences
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/// between actual and predicted values.
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///
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/// Formula:
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/// MAE = (1/n) * Σ|actual - predicted|
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///
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/// Uses a RingBuffer for O(1) streaming updates with running sum.
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///
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/// Key properties:
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/// - Always non-negative (MAE ≥ 0)
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/// - Same units as the original data
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/// - Less sensitive to outliers than MSE/RMSE
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/// - MAE = 0 indicates perfect prediction
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/// </remarks>
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[SkipLocalsInit]
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public sealed class Mae : AbstractBase
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{
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private readonly RingBuffer _buffer;
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[StructLayout(LayoutKind.Auto)]
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private record struct State(double Sum, double LastValidActual, double LastValidPredicted, int TickCount);
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private State _state;
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private State _p_state;
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private const int ResyncInterval = 1000;
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/// <summary>
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/// Creates MAE with specified period.
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="period">Number of values to average (must be > 0)</param>
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public Mae(int period)
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{
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if (period <= 0)
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throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
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_buffer = new RingBuffer(period);
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Name = $"Mae({period})";
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WarmupPeriod = period;
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// True if the MAE has enough data to produce valid results.
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/// </summary>
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public override bool IsHot => _buffer.IsFull;
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/// <summary>
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/// Updates the MAE with new actual and predicted values.
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="actual">Actual value (source1)</param>
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/// <param name="predicted">Predicted value (source2)</param>
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/// <param name="isNew">Whether this is a new bar.</param>
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/// <returns>The calculated MAE value.</returns>
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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public TValue Update(TValue actual, TValue predicted, bool isNew = true)
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{
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double actualVal = actual.Value;
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double predictedVal = predicted.Value;
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// Handle NaN/Infinity with last-valid-value substitution
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if (!double.IsFinite(actualVal))
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actualVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidActual) ? _state.LastValidActual : 0.0;
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else
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_state.LastValidActual = actualVal;
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if (!double.IsFinite(predictedVal))
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predictedVal = double.IsFinite(_state.LastValidPredicted) ? _state.LastValidPredicted : 0.0;
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else
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_state.LastValidPredicted = predictedVal;
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double error = Math.Abs(actualVal - predictedVal);
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if (isNew)
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{
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_p_state = _state;
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double removedValue = _buffer.Count == _buffer.Capacity ? _buffer.Oldest : 0.0;
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_state.Sum = _state.Sum - removedValue + error;
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_buffer.Add(error);
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_state.TickCount++;
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if (_buffer.IsFull && _state.TickCount >= ResyncInterval)
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{
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_state.TickCount = 0;
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_state.Sum = _buffer.RecalculateSum();
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}
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}
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else
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{
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_state = _p_state;
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double removedValue = _buffer.Count == _buffer.Capacity ? _buffer.Oldest : 0.0;
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_state.Sum = _state.Sum - removedValue + error;
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_buffer.UpdateNewest(error);
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_state.Sum = _buffer.RecalculateSum();
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}
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double result = _buffer.Count > 0 ? _state.Sum / _buffer.Count : error;
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Last = new TValue(actual.Time, result);
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PubEvent(Last, isNew);
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return Last;
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Updates the MAE with raw double values.
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/// </summary>
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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public TValue Update(double actual, double predicted, bool isNew = true)
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{
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return Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, actual), new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, predicted), isNew);
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Single-input Update is not supported. Use Update(actual, predicted).
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/// </summary>
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public override TValue Update(TValue input, bool isNew = true)
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{
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throw new NotSupportedException("MAE requires two inputs. Use Update(actual, predicted).");
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Single-series Update is not supported. Use Calculate(actual, predicted, period).
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/// </summary>
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public override TSeries Update(TSeries source)
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{
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throw new NotSupportedException("MAE requires two inputs. Use Calculate(actualSeries, predictedSeries, period).");
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Single-series Prime is not supported.
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/// </summary>
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||||
public override void Prime(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, TimeSpan? step = null)
|
||||
{
|
||||
throw new NotSupportedException("MAE requires two inputs.");
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
/// <summary>
|
||||
/// Resets the MAE state.
|
||||
/// </summary>
|
||||
public override void Reset()
|
||||
{
|
||||
_buffer.Clear();
|
||||
_state = default;
|
||||
_p_state = default;
|
||||
Last = default;
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
/// <summary>
|
||||
/// Calculates MAE for the entire series pair.
|
||||
/// </summary>
|
||||
/// <param name="actual">Actual values series</param>
|
||||
/// <param name="predicted">Predicted values series</param>
|
||||
/// <param name="period">MAE period</param>
|
||||
/// <returns>MAE series</returns>
|
||||
public static TSeries Calculate(TSeries actual, TSeries predicted, int period)
|
||||
{
|
||||
if (actual.Count != predicted.Count)
|
||||
throw new ArgumentException("Actual and predicted series must have the same length", nameof(predicted));
|
||||
|
||||
int len = actual.Count;
|
||||
var t = new List<long>(len);
|
||||
var v = new List<double>(len);
|
||||
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(t, len);
|
||||
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(v, len);
|
||||
|
||||
var tSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(t);
|
||||
var vSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(v);
|
||||
|
||||
Batch(actual.Values, predicted.Values, vSpan, period);
|
||||
actual.Times.CopyTo(tSpan);
|
||||
|
||||
return new TSeries(t, v);
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
/// <summary>
|
||||
/// Calculates MAE in-place using pre-allocated spans.
|
||||
/// </summary>
|
||||
/// <param name="actual">Actual values</param>
|
||||
/// <param name="predicted">Predicted values</param>
|
||||
/// <param name="output">Output span (must be same length as inputs)</param>
|
||||
/// <param name="period">MAE period (must be > 0)</param>
|
||||
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
|
||||
public static void Batch(ReadOnlySpan<double> actual, ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted, Span<double> output, int period)
|
||||
{
|
||||
if (actual.Length != predicted.Length || actual.Length != output.Length)
|
||||
throw new ArgumentException("All spans must have the same length", nameof(output));
|
||||
if (period <= 0)
|
||||
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
|
||||
|
||||
int len = actual.Length;
|
||||
if (len == 0) return;
|
||||
|
||||
CalculateScalarCore(actual, predicted, output, period);
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
|
||||
private static void CalculateScalarCore(ReadOnlySpan<double> actual, ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted, Span<double> output, int period)
|
||||
{
|
||||
int len = actual.Length;
|
||||
|
||||
const int StackAllocThreshold = 256;
|
||||
Span<double> buffer = period <= StackAllocThreshold
|
||||
? stackalloc double[period]
|
||||
: new double[period];
|
||||
|
||||
double sum = 0;
|
||||
double lastValidActual = 0;
|
||||
double lastValidPredicted = 0;
|
||||
|
||||
// Find first valid values
|
||||
for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
|
||||
{
|
||||
if (double.IsFinite(actual[k]))
|
||||
{
|
||||
lastValidActual = actual[k];
|
||||
break;
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
for (int k = 0; k < len; k++)
|
||||
{
|
||||
if (double.IsFinite(predicted[k]))
|
||||
{
|
||||
lastValidPredicted = predicted[k];
|
||||
break;
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
int bufferIndex = 0;
|
||||
int i = 0;
|
||||
|
||||
int warmupEnd = Math.Min(period, len);
|
||||
for (; i < warmupEnd; i++)
|
||||
{
|
||||
double act = actual[i];
|
||||
double pred = predicted[i];
|
||||
|
||||
if (double.IsFinite(act)) lastValidActual = act; else act = lastValidActual;
|
||||
if (double.IsFinite(pred)) lastValidPredicted = pred; else pred = lastValidPredicted;
|
||||
|
||||
double error = Math.Abs(act - pred);
|
||||
sum += error;
|
||||
buffer[i] = error;
|
||||
output[i] = sum / (i + 1);
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
int tickCount = 0;
|
||||
for (; i < len; i++)
|
||||
{
|
||||
double act = actual[i];
|
||||
double pred = predicted[i];
|
||||
|
||||
if (double.IsFinite(act)) lastValidActual = act; else act = lastValidActual;
|
||||
if (double.IsFinite(pred)) lastValidPredicted = pred; else pred = lastValidPredicted;
|
||||
|
||||
double error = Math.Abs(act - pred);
|
||||
sum = sum - buffer[bufferIndex] + error;
|
||||
buffer[bufferIndex] = error;
|
||||
|
||||
bufferIndex++;
|
||||
if (bufferIndex >= period) bufferIndex = 0;
|
||||
|
||||
output[i] = sum / period;
|
||||
|
||||
tickCount++;
|
||||
if (tickCount >= ResyncInterval)
|
||||
{
|
||||
tickCount = 0;
|
||||
double recalcSum = 0;
|
||||
for (int k = 0; k < period; k++)
|
||||
{
|
||||
recalcSum += buffer[k];
|
||||
}
|
||||
sum = recalcSum;
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,125 @@
|
||||
# MAE: Mean Absolute Error
|
||||
|
||||
> "When you need to know how wrong you are on average, without the drama of squared errors."
|
||||
|
||||
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) measures the average magnitude of errors in a set of predictions, without considering their direction. It represents the average of the absolute differences between actual and predicted values.
|
||||
|
||||
## Historical Context
|
||||
|
||||
MAE is one of the oldest and most intuitive error metrics in statistics. Its simplicity and interpretability have made it a staple in regression analysis, forecasting, and model evaluation since the early days of statistical analysis.
|
||||
|
||||
## Architecture & Physics
|
||||
|
||||
MAE treats all errors equally, making it more robust to outliers compared to squared-error metrics like MSE. The absolute value operation removes directionality, focusing purely on error magnitude.
|
||||
|
||||
### Properties
|
||||
|
||||
- **Non-negative**: MAE ≥ 0, with 0 indicating perfect prediction
|
||||
- **Same units**: Unlike MSE, MAE is in the same units as the original data
|
||||
- **Linear sensitivity**: Each unit of error contributes equally to the final metric
|
||||
- **Robust**: Less sensitive to outliers than squared-error metrics
|
||||
|
||||
## Mathematical Foundation
|
||||
|
||||
### 1. Absolute Error
|
||||
|
||||
For each observation, calculate the absolute difference between actual and predicted values:
|
||||
|
||||
$$e_i = |y_i - \hat{y}_i|$$
|
||||
|
||||
Where:
|
||||
- $y_i$ = actual value
|
||||
- $\hat{y}_i$ = predicted value
|
||||
|
||||
### 2. Mean Calculation
|
||||
|
||||
Average the absolute errors over the period:
|
||||
|
||||
$$MAE = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} |y_i - \hat{y}_i|$$
|
||||
|
||||
### 3. Running Update (O(1))
|
||||
|
||||
QuanTAlib uses a ring buffer with running sum for O(1) updates:
|
||||
|
||||
$$S_{new} = S_{old} - e_{oldest} + e_{newest}$$
|
||||
|
||||
$$MAE = \frac{S_{new}}{n}$$
|
||||
|
||||
## Implementation Details
|
||||
|
||||
### Usage Patterns
|
||||
|
||||
```csharp
|
||||
// Streaming mode - update with each new observation
|
||||
var mae = new Mae(period: 20);
|
||||
var result = mae.Update(actualValue, predictedValue);
|
||||
|
||||
// Batch mode - calculate for entire series
|
||||
var results = Mae.Calculate(actualSeries, predictedSeries, period: 20);
|
||||
|
||||
// Span mode - zero-allocation for high performance
|
||||
Mae.Batch(actualSpan, predictedSpan, outputSpan, period: 20);
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
### Parameters
|
||||
|
||||
| Parameter | Type | Description |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **period** | int | Lookback window for averaging (must be > 0) |
|
||||
|
||||
### Properties
|
||||
|
||||
| Property | Type | Description |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **Last** | TValue | Most recent MAE value |
|
||||
| **IsHot** | bool | True when buffer is full |
|
||||
| **Name** | string | Indicator name (e.g., "Mae(20)") |
|
||||
| **WarmupPeriod** | int | Number of periods before valid output |
|
||||
|
||||
## Performance Profile
|
||||
|
||||
| Metric | Score | Notes |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **Throughput** | ~10 ns/bar | O(1) update complexity |
|
||||
| **Allocations** | 0 | Uses pre-allocated ring buffer |
|
||||
| **Complexity** | O(1) | Constant time per update |
|
||||
| **Accuracy** | 10/10 | Exact calculation |
|
||||
| **Timeliness** | 9/10 | No lag beyond the period |
|
||||
| **Smoothness** | 7/10 | Moderate smoothing |
|
||||
|
||||
## Interpretation
|
||||
|
||||
| MAE Range | Interpretation |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **0** | Perfect prediction |
|
||||
| **Low** | Predictions are close to actual values |
|
||||
| **High** | Large average prediction error |
|
||||
|
||||
## Comparison with Other Metrics
|
||||
|
||||
| Metric | Outlier Sensitivity | Units | Interpretation |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **MAE** | Low | Same as data | Average absolute error |
|
||||
| **MSE** | High | Squared units | Penalizes large errors more |
|
||||
| **RMSE** | High | Same as data | MSE in original units |
|
||||
| **MAPE** | Varies | Percentage | Relative error |
|
||||
|
||||
## Common Use Cases
|
||||
|
||||
1. **Forecast Evaluation**: Measure prediction accuracy over time
|
||||
2. **Model Comparison**: Compare different prediction models
|
||||
3. **Trading Strategy**: Track signal accuracy
|
||||
4. **Risk Assessment**: Monitor prediction reliability
|
||||
|
||||
## Edge Cases
|
||||
|
||||
- **Identical Values**: Returns 0 when actual equals predicted
|
||||
- **NaN Handling**: Uses last valid value substitution
|
||||
- **Single Input**: Not supported (requires two series)
|
||||
- **Period = 1**: Returns current absolute error
|
||||
|
||||
## Related Indicators
|
||||
|
||||
- [MSE](../mse/Mse.md) - Mean Squared Error
|
||||
- [RMSE](../rmse/Rmse.md) - Root Mean Squared Error
|
||||
- [MAPE](../mape/Mape.md) - Mean Absolute Percentage Error
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user