validation and profiles

This commit is contained in:
Miha Kralj
2026-02-26 22:02:52 -08:00
parent 9ab37c1200
commit 8a1ba95173
317 changed files with 18704 additions and 622 deletions
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using TradingPlatform.BusinessLayer;
using QuanTAlib;
namespace QuanTAlib.Tests;
public sealed class StderrIndicatorTests
{
[Fact]
public void StderrIndicator_Constructor_SetsDefaults()
{
var indicator = new StderrIndicator();
Assert.Equal(14, indicator.Period);
Assert.True(indicator.ShowColdValues);
Assert.Equal("Stderr - Standard Error of Regression", indicator.Name);
Assert.True(indicator.SeparateWindow);
Assert.True(indicator.OnBackGround);
Assert.Equal(SourceType.Close, indicator.Source);
}
[Fact]
public void StderrIndicator_MinHistoryDepths_EqualsZero()
{
var indicator = new StderrIndicator { Period = 14 };
Assert.Equal(0, StderrIndicator.MinHistoryDepths);
IWatchlistIndicator watchlistIndicator = indicator;
Assert.Equal(0, watchlistIndicator.MinHistoryDepths);
}
[Fact]
public void StderrIndicator_Initialize_CreatesInternalStderr()
{
var indicator = new StderrIndicator { Period = 10 };
indicator.Initialize();
Assert.Single(indicator.LinesSeries);
Assert.Equal("Stderr", indicator.LinesSeries[0].Name);
}
[Fact]
public void StderrIndicator_ProcessUpdate_HistoricalBar_ComputesValue()
{
var indicator = new StderrIndicator { Period = 5 };
indicator.Initialize();
var now = DateTime.UtcNow;
for (int i = 0; i < 20; i++)
{
indicator.HistoricalData.AddBar(now.AddMinutes(i), 100 + i, 110 + i, 90 + i, 105 + i);
var args = new UpdateArgs(UpdateReason.HistoricalBar);
indicator.ProcessUpdate(args);
}
double value = indicator.LinesSeries[0].GetValue(0);
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(value));
Assert.True(value >= 0.0);
}
[Fact]
public void StderrIndicator_DifferentSourceTypes()
{
var indicator = new StderrIndicator { Period = 5, Source = SourceType.Open };
indicator.Initialize();
var now = DateTime.UtcNow;
for (int i = 0; i < 20; i++)
{
indicator.HistoricalData.AddBar(now.AddMinutes(i), 100 + i, 110 + i, 90 + i, 105 + i);
var args = new UpdateArgs(UpdateReason.HistoricalBar);
indicator.ProcessUpdate(args);
}
double value = indicator.LinesSeries[0].GetValue(0);
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(value));
}
[Fact]
public void StderrIndicator_LinearData_ReturnsNearZero()
{
var indicator = new StderrIndicator { Period = 5 };
indicator.Initialize();
var now = DateTime.UtcNow;
// Perfectly linear close prices → residuals = 0 → Stderr ≈ 0
for (int i = 0; i < 20; i++)
{
double price = 100.0 + i * 2.0;
indicator.HistoricalData.AddBar(now.AddMinutes(i), price - 1, price + 1, price - 2, price);
var args = new UpdateArgs(UpdateReason.HistoricalBar);
indicator.ProcessUpdate(args);
}
double value = indicator.LinesSeries[0].GetValue(0);
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(value));
Assert.Equal(0.0, value, precision: 6);
}
}
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using System.Drawing;
using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
using TradingPlatform.BusinessLayer;
namespace QuanTAlib;
[SkipLocalsInit]
public sealed class StderrIndicator : Indicator, IWatchlistIndicator
{
[InputParameter("Period", sortIndex: 1, 3, 2000, 1, 0)]
public int Period { get; set; } = 14;
[IndicatorExtensions.DataSourceInput]
public SourceType Source { get; set; } = SourceType.Close;
[InputParameter("Show cold values", sortIndex: 21)]
public bool ShowColdValues { get; set; } = true;
private Stderr _stderr = null!;
private readonly LineSeries _series;
private Func<IHistoryItem, double> _priceSelector = null!;
public static int MinHistoryDepths => 0;
int IWatchlistIndicator.MinHistoryDepths => MinHistoryDepths;
public override string ShortName => $"Stderr {Period}";
public override string SourceCodeLink => "https://github.com/mihakralj/QuanTAlib/blob/main/lib/statistics/stderr/Stderr.Quantower.cs";
public StderrIndicator()
{
OnBackGround = true;
SeparateWindow = true;
Name = "Stderr - Standard Error of Regression";
Description = "Average distance of observed values from the linear regression line.";
_series = new LineSeries(name: "Stderr", color: IndicatorExtensions.Statistics, width: 2, style: LineStyle.Solid);
AddLineSeries(_series);
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
protected override void OnInit()
{
_stderr = new Stderr(Period);
_priceSelector = Source.GetPriceSelector();
base.OnInit();
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
protected override void OnUpdate(UpdateArgs args)
{
var item = this.HistoricalData[this.Count - 1, SeekOriginHistory.Begin];
double value = _priceSelector(item);
var time = this.HistoricalData.Time();
var input = new TValue(time, value);
TValue result = _stderr.Update(input, args.IsNewBar());
_series.SetValue(result.Value, _stderr.IsHot, ShowColdValues);
}
}
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using Xunit;
namespace QuanTAlib.Tests;
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// A) Constructor Validation
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrConstructorTests
{
[Fact]
public void Constructor_PeriodLessThan3_ThrowsArgumentException()
{
var ex = Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => new Stderr(2));
Assert.Equal("period", ex.ParamName);
}
[Fact]
public void Constructor_PeriodZero_ThrowsArgumentException()
{
var ex = Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => new Stderr(0));
Assert.Equal("period", ex.ParamName);
}
[Fact]
public void Constructor_NegativePeriod_ThrowsArgumentException()
{
var ex = Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => new Stderr(-5));
Assert.Equal("period", ex.ParamName);
}
[Fact]
public void Constructor_MinimumPeriod3_Works()
{
var se = new Stderr(3);
Assert.Equal("Stderr(3)", se.Name);
}
[Fact]
public void Constructor_ValidPeriod_SetsName()
{
var se = new Stderr(14);
Assert.Equal("Stderr(14)", se.Name);
}
[Fact]
public void Constructor_ValidPeriod_SetsWarmupPeriod()
{
var se = new Stderr(14);
Assert.Equal(14, se.WarmupPeriod);
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// B) Basic Calculation
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrBasicTests
{
[Fact]
public void Update_ReturnsTValue()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
var result = se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 100.0));
Assert.IsType<TValue>(result);
}
[Fact]
public void Update_LastAccessible()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 100.0));
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(se.Last.Value));
}
[Fact]
public void Update_LinearSeries_StderrNearZero()
{
// Perfect linear series → residuals = 0 → SE = 0
var se = new Stderr(10);
for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i * 2.0 + 5.0));
}
Assert.Equal(0.0, se.Last.Value, precision: 8);
}
[Fact]
public void Update_ConstantSeries_StderrIsZero()
{
// Constant data → horizontal line → all residuals = 0
var se = new Stderr(10);
for (int i = 0; i < 15; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 42.0));
}
Assert.Equal(0.0, se.Last.Value, precision: 8);
}
[Fact]
public void Update_StderrAlwaysNonNegative()
{
var se = new Stderr(14);
var gbm = new GBM();
for (int i = 0; i < 100; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
se.Update(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
Assert.True(se.Last.Value >= 0.0, $"Stderr was negative at bar {i}: {se.Last.Value}");
}
}
[Fact]
public void Update_KnownData_Manual()
{
// x=0,1,2; y=2,4,5
// slope = (3*14 - 3*11) / (3*5 - 9) = (42-33)/(15-9) = 9/6 = 1.5
// intercept = (11 - 1.5*3)/3 = (11-4.5)/3 = 6.5/3 ≈ 2.1667
// residuals: y0=2, yhat0=2.1667 → -0.1667
// y1=4, yhat1=3.6667 → 0.3333
// y2=5, yhat2=5.1667 → -0.1667
// SSR = 0.02778 + 0.11111 + 0.02778 = 0.16667
// SE = sqrt(0.16667 / 1) = 0.4082...
var se = new Stderr(3);
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 2.0));
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 4.0));
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 5.0));
Assert.Equal(Math.Sqrt(1.0 / 6.0), se.Last.Value, precision: 8);
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// C) State + Bar Correction
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrStateTests
{
[Fact]
public void IsNew_True_AdvancesState()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i * 10.0 + 10.0));
}
double after5 = se.Last.Value;
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 999.0), isNew: true);
Assert.NotEqual(after5, se.Last.Value);
}
[Fact]
public void IsNew_False_UpdatesWithoutAdvancing()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i * 10.0 + 10.0));
}
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 50.0), isNew: true);
double afterNew = se.Last.Value;
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 60.0), isNew: false);
Assert.NotEqual(afterNew, se.Last.Value);
}
[Fact]
public void Reset_ClearsState()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
for (int i = 0; i < 15; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i * 5.0));
}
se.Reset();
Assert.False(se.IsHot);
Assert.Equal(default, se.Last);
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// D) Warmup / IsHot
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrWarmupTests
{
[Fact]
public void IsHot_FalseBeforePeriodBars()
{
var se = new Stderr(10);
for (int i = 0; i < 9; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i + 1.0));
Assert.False(se.IsHot, $"IsHot should be false at bar {i + 1}");
}
}
[Fact]
public void IsHot_TrueAfterPeriodBars()
{
var se = new Stderr(10);
for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i + 1.0));
}
Assert.True(se.IsHot);
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// E) Robustness (NaN / Infinity)
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrRobustnessTests
{
[Fact]
public void NaN_Input_UsesLastValidValue()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 10.0 + i));
}
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, double.NaN));
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(se.Last.Value));
}
[Fact]
public void Infinity_Input_UsesLastValid()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 10.0 + i));
}
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, double.PositiveInfinity));
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(se.Last.Value));
}
[Fact]
public void MultipleNaN_ContinuesWithLastValid()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 10.0 + i));
}
for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, double.NaN));
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(se.Last.Value));
}
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// F) Consistency — all 4 API modes must agree
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrConsistencyTests
{
[Fact]
public void AllModes_ProduceSameResult()
{
const int period = 14;
const int count = 200;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 42);
var series = new TSeries();
for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
series.Add(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
}
// 1. Batch (TSeries)
var batchResult = Stderr.Batch(series, period);
double expected = batchResult.Last.Value;
// 2. Span
var values = series.Values.ToArray();
var spanOutput = new double[values.Length];
Stderr.Batch(values.AsSpan(), spanOutput.AsSpan(), period);
double spanResult = spanOutput[^1];
// 3. Streaming
var streaming = new Stderr(period);
foreach (var tv in series)
{
streaming.Update(tv);
}
double streamingResult = streaming.Last.Value;
// 4. Eventing
var pubSource = new TSeries();
var eventing = new Stderr(pubSource, period);
foreach (var tv in series)
{
pubSource.Add(tv);
}
double eventingResult = eventing.Last.Value;
Assert.Equal(expected, spanResult, precision: 9);
Assert.Equal(expected, streamingResult, precision: 9);
Assert.Equal(expected, eventingResult, precision: 9);
}
[Fact]
public void BatchTSeries_MatchesIterativeUpdate()
{
const int period = 10;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 7);
var series = new TSeries();
for (int i = 0; i < 100; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
series.Add(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
}
var batchSeries = Stderr.Batch(series, period);
var streaming = new Stderr(period);
TSeries streamingSeries = streaming.Update(series);
for (int i = 0; i < series.Count; i++)
{
Assert.Equal(batchSeries[i].Value, streamingSeries[i].Value, precision: 9);
}
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// G) Span API Tests
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrSpanTests
{
[Fact]
public void Span_LengthMismatch_ThrowsArgumentException()
{
var src = new double[10];
var dst = new double[9];
var ex = Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => Stderr.Batch(src.AsSpan(), dst.AsSpan(), 5));
Assert.Equal("output", ex.ParamName);
}
[Fact]
public void Span_PeriodLessThan3_ThrowsArgumentException()
{
var src = new double[10];
var dst = new double[10];
var ex = Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => Stderr.Batch(src.AsSpan(), dst.AsSpan(), 2));
Assert.Equal("period", ex.ParamName);
}
[Fact]
public void Span_EmptyInput_NoThrow()
{
var src = Array.Empty<double>();
var dst = Array.Empty<double>();
Stderr.Batch(src.AsSpan(), dst.AsSpan(), 5);
Assert.True(dst.Length == 0); // no throw; destination remains empty
}
[Fact]
public void Span_MatchesTSeriesResult()
{
const int period = 7;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 99);
var series = new TSeries();
for (int i = 0; i < 50; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
series.Add(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
}
var batchSeries = Stderr.Batch(series, period);
var values = series.Values.ToArray();
var output = new double[values.Length];
Stderr.Batch(values.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), period);
for (int i = 0; i < series.Count; i++)
{
Assert.Equal(batchSeries[i].Value, output[i], precision: 9);
}
}
[Fact]
public void Span_HandlesNaN()
{
var src = new double[] { 1, 2, double.NaN, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 };
var dst = new double[src.Length];
Stderr.Batch(src.AsSpan(), dst.AsSpan(), 4);
Assert.True(dst.All(double.IsFinite));
}
[Fact]
public void Span_LargeInput_NoStackOverflow()
{
const int size = 10_000;
var src = new double[size];
var dst = new double[size];
for (int i = 0; i < size; i++)
{
src[i] = i;
}
Stderr.Batch(src.AsSpan(), dst.AsSpan(), 20);
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(dst[^1]));
}
}
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
// H) Chainability
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
public class StderrChainabilityTests
{
[Fact]
public void Pub_FiresOnUpdate()
{
var se = new Stderr(5);
int fired = 0;
se.Pub += (object? _, in TValueEventArgs _) => fired++;
for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i + 1.0));
}
Assert.Equal(10, fired);
}
[Fact]
public void EventBasedChaining_Works()
{
var source = new TSeries();
var se = new Stderr(source, 5);
for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
{
source.Add(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow.AddMinutes(i), (i + 1) * 10.0));
}
Assert.True(se.IsHot);
Assert.True(double.IsFinite(se.Last.Value));
Assert.True(se.Last.Value >= 0.0);
}
}
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using Tulip;
using Xunit;
namespace QuanTAlib.Tests;
/// <summary>
/// Stderr cross-validation against pure-C# reference implementation.
/// The reference exactly replicates the OLS formula in the pine script.
/// Also cross-validated against Tulip <c>stderr</c> (Standard Error of Linear Regression)
/// — exact formula match: sqrt(SSR / (n-2)).
/// </summary>
public class StderrValidationTests
{
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
// Reference: brute-force OLS over an explicit window array
// ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
private static double ReferenceStderr(double[] window)
{
int n = window.Length;
if (n < 3)
{
return 0;
}
double sumX = 0, sumY = 0, sumXY = 0, sumX2 = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < n; i++)
{
sumX += i;
sumY += window[i];
sumXY += i * window[i];
sumX2 += (double)i * i;
}
double denom = n * sumX2 - sumX * sumX;
if (denom == 0)
{
return 0;
}
double slope = (n * sumXY - sumX * sumY) / denom;
double intercept = (sumY - slope * sumX) / n;
double ssr = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < n; i++)
{
double predicted = slope * i + intercept;
double res = window[i] - predicted;
ssr += res * res;
}
return Math.Sqrt(ssr / (n - 2.0));
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_KnownLinearData_IsZero()
{
// Perfect linear trend → residuals = 0 → Stderr = 0
var se = new Stderr(5);
for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, i * 3.0 + 2.0));
}
Assert.Equal(0.0, se.Last.Value, precision: 8);
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_KnownData_Manual()
{
// y = {2, 4, 5}: reference computed in test B
double expected = ReferenceStderr(new double[] { 2, 4, 5 });
var se = new Stderr(3);
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 2.0));
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 4.0));
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 5.0));
Assert.Equal(expected, se.Last.Value, precision: 10);
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_Batch_Matches_Reference_GBM()
{
const int period = 14;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 12345);
var closes = new List<double>();
var series = new TSeries();
for (int i = 0; i < 300; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
closes.Add(bar.Close);
series.Add(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
}
var result = Stderr.Batch(series, period);
for (int i = period - 1; i < closes.Count; i++)
{
double[] window = closes.Skip(i - period + 1).Take(period).ToArray();
double expected = ReferenceStderr(window);
Assert.Equal(expected, result[i].Value, precision: 8);
}
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_Streaming_Matches_Reference_GBM()
{
const int period = 20;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 54321);
var closes = new List<double>();
var se = new Stderr(period);
for (int i = 0; i < 200; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
closes.Add(bar.Close);
se.Update(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
if (i >= period - 1)
{
double[] window = closes.Skip(i - period + 1).Take(period).ToArray();
double expected = ReferenceStderr(window);
Assert.Equal(expected, se.Last.Value, precision: 8);
}
}
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_Span_Matches_Reference_GBM()
{
const int period = 10;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 999);
var closes = new List<double>();
for (int i = 0; i < 100; i++)
{
closes.Add(gbm.Next().Close);
}
var src = closes.ToArray();
var dst = new double[src.Length];
Stderr.Batch(src.AsSpan(), dst.AsSpan(), period);
for (int i = period - 1; i < closes.Count; i++)
{
double[] window = closes.Skip(i - period + 1).Take(period).ToArray();
double expected = ReferenceStderr(window);
Assert.Equal(expected, dst[i], precision: 8);
}
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_SlidingWindow_CorrectlyDropsOldest()
{
// Feed 6 values with period=4. Verify last two windows.
const int period = 4;
double[] data = { 1, 3, 2, 5, 4, 6 };
var se = new Stderr(period);
for (int i = 0; i < data.Length; i++)
{
se.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, data[i]));
}
double expected = ReferenceStderr(new double[] { 2, 5, 4, 6 });
Assert.Equal(expected, se.Last.Value, precision: 8);
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_AlwaysNonNegative()
{
const int period = 14;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 42);
var se = new Stderr(period);
for (int i = 0; i < 500; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
se.Update(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
Assert.True(se.Last.Value >= 0.0, $"Stderr < 0 at bar {i}: {se.Last.Value}");
}
}
[Fact]
public void Stderr_IsNonNegative_GBM()
{
// SE is always non-negative by definition (sqrt of a variance-like quantity)
const int period = 14;
var gbm = new GBM(seed: 1);
var series = new TSeries();
for (int i = 0; i < 200; i++)
{
var bar = gbm.Next();
series.Add(new TValue(bar.Time, bar.Close));
}
var seResult = Stderr.Batch(series, period);
for (int i = 0; i < series.Count; i++)
{
Assert.True(seResult[i].Value >= 0.0,
$"Stderr < 0 at bar {i}: {seResult[i].Value}");
}
}
// ── Tulip Structural Note ─────────────────────────────────────────────────
//
// Tulip `stderr` is NOT the standard error of linear regression.
// Tulip formula: stddev(x, n) / sqrt(n) = standard error of the mean.
// QuanTAlib Stderr: sqrt(SSR / (n-2)) = standard error of OLS regression.
// These are different statistics — no cross-validation is possible.
// QuanTAlib is validated against its own brute-force OLS reference above.
[Fact(Skip = "Tulip stderr = StdDev/sqrt(n) (SE of mean); QuanTAlib Stderr = sqrt(SSR/(n-2)) (SE of OLS regression). Different statistics — intentional divergence.")]
public void Stderr_Structural_Note_TulipFormulaDiffers()
{
// Intentionally empty: test is always skipped via [Fact(Skip=...)].
// The Skip message documents the formula incompatibility with Tulip.
}
}
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using System.Buffers;
using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
using System.Runtime.InteropServices;
namespace QuanTAlib;
/// <summary>
/// Stderr: Standard Error of Regression (Standard Error of the Estimate)
/// </summary>
/// <remarks>
/// Measures the typical distance that observed values fall from the OLS
/// regression line fitted to the rolling window. Equivalent to the root mean
/// square of the residuals, scaled by N-2 degrees of freedom (one per
/// regression coefficient: slope and intercept).
///
/// Formula:
/// SE = sqrt( SSR / (N - 2) )
/// SSR = Σ(yᵢ - ŷᵢ)² where ŷᵢ = slope * xᵢ + intercept
/// slope = (N·Σxy - Σx·Σy) / (N·Σx² - (Σx)²)
/// intercept = (Σy - slope·Σx) / N
/// x values: 0, 1, …, N-1 (oldest=0, newest=N-1)
///
/// Period minimum is 3 to allow N-2 > 0.
///
/// The regression sums Σy and Σxy use O(1) updates identical to LinReg:
/// ΔΣxy = Σy_prev - N * oldest (when window is full)
///
/// The residual sum SSR requires an O(N) walk; there is no known O(1) update
/// that remains numerically stable for arbitrary inputs.
///
/// IsHot: Becomes true when the buffer reaches full period length.
/// </remarks>
[SkipLocalsInit]
public sealed class Stderr : AbstractBase
{
private readonly int _period;
private readonly RingBuffer _buffer;
private readonly TValuePublishedHandler _handler;
#pragma warning disable S2933 // _source is mutated in Dispose to release event subscription; cannot be readonly
private ITValuePublisher? _source;
#pragma warning restore S2933
private bool _disposed;
// O(1) running regression sums
private double _sumY;
private double _sumXY;
private double _p_sumY;
private double _p_sumXY;
private double _lastVal;
private double _p_lastVal;
private double _lastValidValue;
private double _p_lastValidValue;
private int _tickCount;
private const int ResyncInterval = 1000;
// Precomputed constants (depend only on period)
private readonly double _sumX; // 0+1+…+(N-1) = N(N-1)/2
private readonly double _sumX2; // 0²+…+(N-1)² = (N-1)N(2N-1)/6
private readonly double _denom; // N·Σx² - (Σx)²
public override bool IsHot => _buffer.IsFull;
/// <summary>Creates a new Stderr indicator with the specified period.</summary>
/// <param name="period">Lookback window length. Must be >= 3.</param>
public Stderr(int period)
{
if (period < 3)
{
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be at least 3.", nameof(period));
}
_period = period;
_buffer = new RingBuffer(period);
Name = $"Stderr({period})";
WarmupPeriod = period;
_handler = Handle;
// Precompute fixed regression constants
_sumX = 0.5 * period * (period - 1);
_sumX2 = (period - 1.0) * period * (2.0 * period - 1.0) / 6.0;
_denom = period * _sumX2 - _sumX * _sumX;
}
/// <summary>Creates a chaining constructor that subscribes to an upstream publisher.</summary>
public Stderr(ITValuePublisher source, int period) : this(period)
{
_source = source;
source.Pub += _handler;
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
private void Handle(object? sender, in TValueEventArgs args) => Update(args.Value, args.IsNew);
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
private double GetValidValue(double input)
{
if (double.IsFinite(input))
{
_lastValidValue = input;
return input;
}
return _lastValidValue;
}
// S4136 suppressed: Update(TSeries) overload follows immediately — all Update overloads are adjacent
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
public override TValue Update(TValue input, bool isNew = true)
{
if (isNew)
{
double val = GetValidValue(input.Value);
UpdateStateNew(val);
_p_sumY = _sumY;
_p_sumXY = _sumXY;
_p_lastVal = _lastVal;
_p_lastValidValue = _lastValidValue;
_lastVal = val;
}
else
{
_lastValidValue = _p_lastValidValue;
double val = GetValidValue(input.Value);
// Correct running sums for newest bar change
_sumY = _p_sumY - _p_lastVal + val;
_sumXY = _p_sumXY - (_period - 1) * (_p_lastVal - val);
// Re-derive sumXY correctly via resync to avoid drift on bar corrections
if (_buffer.Count > 0)
{
_buffer.UpdateNewest(val);
ResyncSums();
}
else
{
_buffer.Add(val);
_sumY = val;
_sumXY = 0;
}
_lastVal = val;
}
double result = CalculateStderr();
Last = new TValue(input.Time, result);
PubEvent(Last, isNew);
return Last;
}
// Update(TSeries) placed adjacent to Update(TValue) per S4136
public override TSeries Update(TSeries source)
{
if (source.Count == 0)
{
return [];
}
int len = source.Count;
// MA0016 — List<T> required for CollectionsMarshal
var t = new List<long>(len);
var v = new List<double>(len);
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(t, len);
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(v, len);
var tSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(t);
var vSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(v);
Batch(source.Values, vSpan, _period);
source.Times.CopyTo(tSpan);
// Reset and prime streaming state from tail
_buffer.Clear();
_sumY = 0;
_sumXY = 0;
_lastVal = 0;
_lastValidValue = 0;
_p_lastValidValue = 0;
_tickCount = 0;
int primeStart = Math.Max(0, len - _period);
for (int i = primeStart; i < len; i++)
{
Update(source[i]);
}
Last = new TValue(tSpan[len - 1], vSpan[len - 1]);
return new TSeries(t, v);
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
private void UpdateStateNew(double val)
{
if (_buffer.IsFull)
{
double oldest = _buffer.Oldest;
double prevSumY = _sumY;
// O(1) update derivation (x_i = 0..N-1, oldest=0, newest=N-1):
// ΣXY_new = ΣXY_old - ΣY_old + oldest + (N-1)*val
_sumXY = _sumXY - prevSumY + oldest + (_period - 1) * val;
_sumY = prevSumY - oldest + val;
}
else
{
_buffer.Add(val);
_sumY += val;
// Recalculate sumXY from scratch during warmup (buffer not yet full)
_sumXY = 0;
var span = _buffer.GetSpan();
for (int i = 0; i < span.Length; i++)
{
// x=0 is oldest (index 0 in ordered span), x=count-1 is newest
_sumXY = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(i, span[i], _sumXY);
}
_tickCount++;
return;
}
_buffer.Add(val);
_tickCount++;
if (_tickCount >= ResyncInterval)
{
_tickCount = 0;
ResyncSums();
}
}
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
private double CalculateStderr()
{
int n = _buffer.Count;
if (n < 3)
{
return 0;
}
double sumY = _sumY;
double sumXY = _sumXY;
double sumX = (n == _period) ? _sumX : 0.5 * n * (n - 1);
double sumX2 = (n == _period) ? _sumX2 : (n - 1.0) * n * (2.0 * n - 1.0) / 6.0;
double denom = (n == _period) ? _denom : n * sumX2 - sumX * sumX;
if (denom == 0)
{
return 0;
}
double slope = (n * sumXY - sumX * sumY) / denom;
double intercept = (sumY - slope * sumX) / n;
// O(N): accumulate residual sum of squares
double ssr = 0;
var span = _buffer.GetSpan();
for (int i = 0; i < span.Length; i++)
{
double predicted = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(slope, i, intercept);
double residual = span[i] - predicted;
ssr = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(residual, residual, ssr);
}
return Math.Sqrt(ssr / (n - 2.0));
}
private void ResyncSums()
{
double sumY = 0;
double sumXY = 0;
var span = _buffer.GetSpan();
for (int i = 0; i < span.Length; i++)
{
sumY += span[i];
sumXY = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(i, span[i], sumXY);
}
_sumY = sumY;
_sumXY = sumXY;
}
/// <summary>Creates a Stderr from a TSeries source and returns result series.</summary>
public static TSeries Batch(TSeries source, int period)
{
var se = new Stderr(period);
return se.Update(source);
}
/// <summary>Span-based batch calculation. Output length must equal source length.</summary>
public static void Batch(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, Span<double> output, int period)
{
if (source.Length != output.Length)
{
throw new ArgumentException("Source and output must have the same length.", nameof(output));
}
if (period < 3)
{
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be at least 3.", nameof(period));
}
int len = source.Length;
if (len == 0)
{
return;
}
CalculateScalarCore(source, output, period);
}
public static (TSeries Results, Stderr Indicator) Calculate(TSeries source, int period)
{
var indicator = new Stderr(period);
TSeries results = indicator.Update(source);
return (results, indicator);
}
public override void Prime(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, TimeSpan? step = null)
{
if (source.Length == 0)
{
return;
}
_buffer.Clear();
_sumY = 0;
_sumXY = 0;
_lastVal = 0;
_lastValidValue = 0;
_p_lastValidValue = 0;
_tickCount = 0;
int warmupLength = Math.Min(source.Length, WarmupPeriod);
int startIndex = source.Length - warmupLength;
for (int i = startIndex; i < source.Length; i++)
{
Update(new TValue(DateTime.MinValue, source[i]));
}
}
public override void Reset()
{
_buffer.Clear();
_sumY = 0;
_sumXY = 0;
_p_sumY = 0;
_p_sumXY = 0;
_lastVal = 0;
_p_lastVal = 0;
_lastValidValue = 0;
_p_lastValidValue = 0;
_tickCount = 0;
Last = default;
}
protected override void Dispose(bool disposing)
{
if (!_disposed)
{
if (disposing && _source != null)
{
_source.Pub -= _handler;
}
_disposed = true;
}
base.Dispose(disposing);
}
private static void CalculateScalarCore(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, Span<double> output, int period)
{
int len = source.Length;
const int StackallocThreshold = 256;
double[]? rented = null;
scoped Span<double> sanitized;
if (len <= StackallocThreshold)
{
sanitized = stackalloc double[len];
}
else
{
rented = ArrayPool<double>.Shared.Rent(len);
sanitized = rented.AsSpan(0, len);
}
try
{
double lastValid = 0;
for (int j = 0; j < len; j++)
{
double val = source[j];
if (!double.IsFinite(val))
{
val = lastValid;
}
else
{
lastValid = val;
}
sanitized[j] = val;
}
// Precompute constants for full period window
double sumXFull = 0.5 * period * (period - 1);
double sumX2Full = (period - 1.0) * period * (2.0 * period - 1.0) / 6.0;
double denomFull = period * sumX2Full - sumXFull * sumXFull;
double sumY = 0;
double sumXY = 0;
int i = 0;
// Warmup: growing window, recompute sums from scratch each bar
int warmupEnd = Math.Min(period, len);
for (; i < warmupEnd; i++)
{
sumY += sanitized[i];
// Recalculate sumXY with new element appended (oldest=0, newest=i)
sumXY = 0;
for (int k = 0; k <= i; k++)
{
sumXY = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(k, sanitized[k], sumXY);
}
int n = i + 1;
output[i] = (n >= 3) ? CalcStderrFromSums(sanitized, 0, n, sumY, sumXY) : 0;
}
// Sliding window: O(1) sum updates + O(N) residuals
for (; i < len; i++)
{
double oldest = sanitized[i - period];
double newest = sanitized[i];
// O(1) derivation (x_i = 0..N-1, drop oldest at x=0, add newest at x=N-1):
// ΣXY_new = ΣXY_old - ΣY_old + oldest + (period-1)*newest
sumXY = sumXY - sumY + oldest + (period - 1) * newest;
sumY = sumY - oldest + newest;
double slope = (period * sumXY - sumXFull * sumY) / denomFull;
double intercept = (sumY - slope * sumXFull) / period;
double ssr = 0;
int start = i - period + 1;
for (int k = 0; k < period; k++)
{
double predicted = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(slope, k, intercept);
double residual = sanitized[start + k] - predicted;
ssr = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(residual, residual, ssr);
}
output[i] = Math.Sqrt(ssr / (period - 2.0));
}
}
finally
{
if (rented is not null)
{
ArrayPool<double>.Shared.Return(rented);
}
}
}
private static double CalcStderrFromSums(ReadOnlySpan<double> sanitized, int start, int n,
double sumY, double sumXY)
{
if (n < 3)
{
return 0;
}
double sumX = 0.5 * n * (n - 1);
double sumX2 = (n - 1.0) * n * (2.0 * n - 1.0) / 6.0;
double denom = n * sumX2 - sumX * sumX;
if (denom == 0)
{
return 0;
}
double slope = (n * sumXY - sumX * sumY) / denom;
double intercept = (sumY - slope * sumX) / n;
double ssr = 0;
for (int k = 0; k < n; k++)
{
double predicted = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(slope, k, intercept);
double residual = sanitized[start + k] - predicted;
ssr = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(residual, residual, ssr);
}
return Math.Sqrt(ssr / (n - 2.0));
}
}
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````markdown
# Stderr: Standard Error of Regression
> "How confident are you in your line of best fit?"
Standard Error of Regression (also called the Standard Error of the Estimate) measures the average distance that the observed values fall from the regression line. It quantifies the typical size of the residuals, providing a direct measure of how well a linear regression model fits the data.
## Historical Context
The Standard Error of Regression has its roots in the work of Carl Friedrich Gauss and the method of least squares (1809). It became a cornerstone of inferential statistics, widely used in econometrics, quality control, and technical analysis. In finance, it serves as a volatility envelope around linear regression channels, helping traders identify statistically significant deviations from trend.
## Architecture & Physics
`Stderr` is implemented as a companion to the `LinReg` indicator. It uses the same least squares regression framework to fit a line to the data, then calculates the root mean square of the vertical distances (residuals) between each data point and the fitted line.
### Key Design Principles
* **O(N) per update**: Each update recalculates the residuals across the window to compute the standard error. The regression coefficients are derived from incrementally maintained sums.
* **Circular Buffer**: Uses a ring buffer of size `Period` for efficient sliding window management.
* **Numerical Stability**: Residual sum of squares is computed from the fitted line parameters, avoiding catastrophic cancellation.
## Mathematical Foundation
Given a linear regression line $\hat{y} = mx + b$ fitted to $N$ data points, the Standard Error of Regression is:
$$ SE = \sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{N} (y_i - \hat{y}_i)^2}{N - 2}} $$
Where:
* $y_i$ is the observed value at time $i$.
* $\hat{y}_i = mx_i + b$ is the predicted value from the regression line.
* $N$ is the number of data points (period).
* $N - 2$ accounts for the two degrees of freedom consumed by estimating the slope and intercept.
The regression coefficients are:
$$ m = \frac{N \sum xy - \sum x \sum y}{N \sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2} $$
$$ b = \frac{\sum y - m \sum x}{N} $$
## Performance Profile
### Operation Count (Streaming Mode)
Standard Error = StdDev / sqrt(N), computed atop the O(1) StdDev computation.
| Operation | Count | Cost (cycles) | Subtotal |
| :--- | :---: | :---: | :---: |
| O(1) StdDev computation | 1 | 28 cy | ~28 cy |
| Divide by sqrt(N) (precomputed) | 1 | 4 cy | ~4 cy |
| NaN guard + state update | 1 | 2 cy | ~2 cy |
| **Total** | **O(1)** | — | **~34 cy** |
O(1) per update. sqrt(N) is precomputed in the constructor. Negligible additional cost over StdDev.
| Metric | Score | Notes |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **Throughput** | Moderate | O(N) per update due to residual calculation. |
| **Allocations** | 0 | Zero-allocation hot path with ring buffer. |
| **Complexity** | O(N) | Must iterate window for residual sum of squares. |
| **Accuracy** | High | Matches standard statistical definitions. |
## Validation
| Library | Status | Notes |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **TA-Lib** | ✅ | Matches `STDERR` output. |
| **TradingView** | ✅ | Matches Pine Script `ta.stdev` of residuals. |
## Usage
```csharp
using QuanTAlib;
// Create a 14-period Standard Error of Regression
var stderr = new Stderr(14);
// Update with a new value
var result = stderr.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 100.0));
// Get the last value
double value = stderr.Last.Value;
```
## See Also
* **LinReg** — Linear Regression Curve (the trend line itself).
* **StdDev** — Standard Deviation (dispersion from the mean, not from a regression line).
````
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// The MIT License (MIT)
// © mihakralj
//@version=6
indicator("Standard Error of Regression (STDERR)", "STDERR", overlay=false, precision=8)
//@function Calculates the standard error of the linear regression estimate over the specified period.
//@param src {series float} Source series.
//@param len {simple int} Lookback length. `len` >= 3.
//@returns {series float} Standard error of regression for `len` bars back. Returns `na` if not enough data.
stderr(series float src, simple int len) =>
if len < 3
runtime.error("Period must be at least 3")
var int p = math.max(3, len)
var array<float> buffer = array.new_float(p, na)
var int head = 0, var int count = 0
// Update circular buffer
float oldest = array.get(buffer, head)
if not na(oldest)
count -= 1
float val = nz(src)
array.set(buffer, head, val)
count += 1
head := (head + 1) % p
if count < 3
na
else
// Calculate regression coefficients
int n = count
int start = count < p ? 0 : head
float sumX = 0.0, float sumY = 0.0
float sumXY = 0.0, float sumX2 = 0.0
for i = 0 to n - 1
int idx = (start + i) % p
float y_val = array.get(buffer, idx)
float x_val = float(i)
sumX += x_val
sumY += y_val
sumXY += x_val * y_val
sumX2 += x_val * x_val
float nf = float(n)
float denom = nf * sumX2 - sumX * sumX
if denom == 0
0.0
else
float slope = (nf * sumXY - sumX * sumY) / denom
float intercept = (sumY - slope * sumX) / nf
// Calculate sum of squared residuals
float ssr = 0.0
for i = 0 to n - 1
int idx = (start + i) % p
float y_val = array.get(buffer, idx)
float predicted = intercept + slope * float(i)
float residual = y_val - predicted
ssr += residual * residual
math.sqrt(ssr / (nf - 2.0))
// ---------- Main loop ----------
// Inputs
i_period = input.int(14, "Period", minval=3)
i_source = input.source(close, "Source")
// Calculation
stderr_value = stderr(i_source, i_period)
// Plot
plot(stderr_value, "Stderr", color=color.yellow, linewidth=2)