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SIMD Refactor: Merge simd-dev into dev (#55)
Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Co-authored-by: aider (openrouter/anthropic/claude-sonnet-4) <aider@aider.chat> Co-authored-by: Warp <agent@warp.dev>
This commit is contained in:
co-authored by
Claude Opus 4.5
aider
Warp
parent
5bcdf8d614
commit
86fe32a682
@@ -0,0 +1,385 @@
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namespace QuanTAlib.Tests;
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public class MeTests
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{
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[Fact]
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public void Constructor_ValidatesInput()
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{
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => new Me(0));
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => new Me(-1));
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var me = new Me(10);
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Assert.NotNull(me);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Properties_Accessible()
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{
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var me = new Me(10);
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Assert.Equal(0, me.Last.Value);
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Assert.False(me.IsHot);
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Assert.Contains("Me", me.Name, StringComparison.Ordinal);
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me.Update(100, 105);
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Assert.NotEqual(0, me.Last.Time);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void IsHot_BecomesTrueWhenBufferFull()
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{
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const int period = 5;
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var me = new Me(period);
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for (int i = 0; i < period - 1; i++)
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{
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Assert.False(me.IsHot, $"IsHot should be false at index {i}");
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me.Update(i * 10, i * 10 + 5);
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}
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me.Update((period - 1) * 10, (period - 1) * 10 + 5);
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Assert.True(me.IsHot, "IsHot should be true after period updates");
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_CalculatesCorrectly()
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{
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var me = new Me(3);
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// 10 - 15 = -5
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var res1 = me.Update(10, 15);
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Assert.Equal(-5.0, res1.Value, 10);
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// 20 - 30 = -10, Mean = (-5 + -10) / 2 = -7.5
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var res2 = me.Update(20, 30);
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Assert.Equal(-7.5, res2.Value, 10);
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// 30 - 25 = 5, Mean = (-5 + -10 + 5) / 3 = -10/3
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var res3 = me.Update(30, 25);
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Assert.Equal(-10.0 / 3.0, res3.Value, 10);
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// 40 - 35 = 5, Window slides: (-10 + 5 + 5) / 3 = 0
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var res4 = me.Update(40, 35);
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Assert.Equal(0.0, res4.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_PerfectPrediction_ReturnsZero()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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me.Update(i * 10, i * 10); // Perfect prediction
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}
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Assert.Equal(0.0, me.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_ConstantUnderPrediction_ReturnsPositive()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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me.Update(110, 100); // Actual > predicted (under-prediction)
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}
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Assert.Equal(10.0, me.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_ConstantOverPrediction_ReturnsNegative()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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me.Update(100, 110); // Actual < predicted (over-prediction)
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}
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Assert.Equal(-10.0, me.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_BalancedErrors_CancelOut()
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{
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var me = new Me(4);
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// Errors: +10, -10, +10, -10 should cancel out
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me.Update(110, 100); // +10
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me.Update(90, 100); // -10
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me.Update(110, 100); // +10
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me.Update(90, 100); // -10
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Assert.Equal(0.0, me.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_PreservesSign()
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{
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var me = new Me(3);
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// Error = 15 - 10 = 5 (under-prediction)
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me.Update(15, 10);
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Assert.True(me.Last.Value > 0, "ME should be positive for under-prediction");
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var me2 = new Me(3);
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// Error = 10 - 15 = -5 (over-prediction)
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me2.Update(10, 15);
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Assert.True(me2.Last.Value < 0, "ME should be negative for over-prediction");
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calc_IsNew_AcceptsParameter()
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{
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var me = new Me(10);
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me.Update(100, 110, isNew: true);
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double value1 = me.Last.Value;
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me.Update(100, 120, isNew: true);
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double value2 = me.Last.Value;
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Assert.NotEqual(value1, value2);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calc_IsNew_False_UpdatesValue()
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{
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var me = new Me(10);
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me.Update(100, 110);
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me.Update(100, 120, isNew: true);
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double beforeUpdate = me.Last.Value;
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me.Update(100, 130, isNew: false);
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double afterUpdate = me.Last.Value;
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Assert.NotEqual(beforeUpdate, afterUpdate);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void IterativeCorrections_RestoreToOriginalState()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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double tenthActual = 0;
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double tenthPredicted = 0;
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// Feed 10 updates
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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tenthActual = i * 10;
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tenthPredicted = i * 10 + 5;
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me.Update(tenthActual, tenthPredicted);
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}
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double stateAfterTen = me.Last.Value;
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// Apply 5 corrections with isNew=false
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for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++)
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{
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me.Update(100 + i, 200 + i, isNew: false);
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}
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// Restore to original values
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me.Update(tenthActual, tenthPredicted, isNew: false);
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Assert.Equal(stateAfterTen, me.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Reset_ClearsState()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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me.Update(i * 10, i * 10 + 5);
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}
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Assert.True(me.IsHot);
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me.Reset();
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Assert.False(me.IsHot);
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Assert.Equal(0, me.Last.Value);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void NaN_Input_UsesLastValidValue()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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me.Update(100, 110);
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me.Update(110, 120);
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me.Update(120, 130);
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var result = me.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(result.Value));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Infinity_Input_UsesLastValidValue()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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me.Update(100, 110);
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me.Update(110, 120);
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var result = me.Update(double.PositiveInfinity, double.NegativeInfinity);
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(result.Value));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void MultipleNaN_ContinuesWithLastValid()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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me.Update(100, 110);
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me.Update(110, 120);
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me.Update(120, 130);
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var r1 = me.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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var r2 = me.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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var r3 = me.Update(double.NaN, double.NaN);
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(r1.Value));
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(r2.Value));
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(r3.Value));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_Throws_On_Single_Input()
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{
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var me = new Me(10);
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Assert.Throws<NotSupportedException>(() => me.Update(new TValue(DateTime.UtcNow, 1)));
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Assert.Throws<NotSupportedException>(() => me.Update(new TSeries()));
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Assert.Throws<NotSupportedException>(() => me.Prime([1, 2, 3]));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void BatchSpan_MatchesStreaming()
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{
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int period = 5;
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int count = 100;
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var gbm = new GBM(startPrice: 100, mu: 0.05, sigma: 0.2, seed: 123);
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double[] actual = new double[count];
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double[] predicted = new double[count];
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for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
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{
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var bar = gbm.Next();
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actual[i] = bar.Close;
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predicted[i] = bar.Close * 1.05 + 2; // Offset prediction
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}
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// Streaming
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var me = new Me(period);
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var streamingResults = new double[count];
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for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
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{
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streamingResults[i] = me.Update(actual[i], predicted[i]).Value;
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}
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// Batch
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double[] batchResults = new double[count];
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Me.Batch(actual, predicted, batchResults, period);
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// Compare
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for (int i = 0; i < count; i++)
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{
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Assert.Equal(streamingResults[i], batchResults[i], 9);
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}
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}
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[Fact]
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public void BatchSpan_ValidatesInput()
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{
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double[] actual = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5];
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double[] predicted = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5];
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double[] output = new double[5];
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double[] wrongSizeOutput = new double[3];
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double[] wrongSizePredicted = new double[3];
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// Period must be > 0
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Me.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), predicted.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), 0));
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Me.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), predicted.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), -1));
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// Output must be same length as source
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Me.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), predicted.AsSpan(), wrongSizeOutput.AsSpan(), 3));
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// Predicted must be same length as actual
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() =>
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Me.Batch(actual.AsSpan(), wrongSizePredicted.AsSpan(), output.AsSpan(), 3));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calculate_Works()
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{
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var actual = new TSeries();
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var predicted = new TSeries();
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var now = DateTime.UtcNow;
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++)
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{
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actual.Add(now.AddMinutes(i), i * 10);
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predicted.Add(now.AddMinutes(i), i * 10 + 5);
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}
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var results = Me.Calculate(actual, predicted, 3);
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Assert.Equal(10, results.Count);
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// All errors are -5, so ME should be -5
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Assert.Equal(-5.0, results.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Calculate_ValidatesMismatchedLengths()
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{
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var actual = new TSeries();
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var predicted = new TSeries();
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for (int i = 0; i < 10; i++) actual.Add(DateTime.UtcNow, i);
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for (int i = 0; i < 5; i++) predicted.Add(DateTime.UtcNow, i);
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Assert.Throws<ArgumentException>(() => Me.Calculate(actual, predicted, 3));
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}
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[Fact]
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public void BatchSpan_HandlesNaN()
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{
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double[] actual = [100, 110, double.NaN, 130, 140];
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double[] predicted = [105, 115, 125, double.NaN, 145];
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double[] output = new double[5];
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Me.Batch(actual, predicted, output, 3);
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foreach (var val in output)
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{
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Assert.True(double.IsFinite(val), $"Expected finite value but got {val}");
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}
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}
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[Fact]
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public void Me_Resync_Works()
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{
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var me = new Me(5);
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// Force many updates to trigger resync (ResyncInterval = 1000)
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for (int i = 0; i < 1100; i++)
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{
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me.Update(110, 100); // Constant error of +10
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}
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// After resync, result should still be correct
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Assert.Equal(10.0, me.Last.Value, 10);
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}
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}
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@@ -0,0 +1,78 @@
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using System.Buffers;
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using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
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namespace QuanTAlib;
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/// <summary>
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/// ME: Mean Error (also known as Mean Bias Error)
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/// </summary>
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/// <remarks>
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/// ME measures the average error between actual and predicted values,
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/// preserving the sign to indicate systematic bias in predictions.
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///
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/// Formula:
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/// ME = (1/n) * Σ(actual - predicted)
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///
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/// Key properties:
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/// - Can be positive or negative
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/// - Positive ME indicates under-prediction (actual > predicted)
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/// - Negative ME indicates over-prediction (actual < predicted)
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/// - ME = 0 indicates no systematic bias (but not necessarily accurate predictions)
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/// - Errors can cancel out, hiding large individual errors
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/// </remarks>
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[SkipLocalsInit]
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public sealed class Me : BiInputIndicatorBase
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{
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/// <summary>
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/// Creates ME with specified period.
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/// </summary>
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/// <param name="period">Number of values to average (must be > 0)</param>
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public Me(int period) : base(period, $"Me({period})") { }
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/// <inheritdoc/>
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[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
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protected override double ComputeError(double actual, double predicted)
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{
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// ME preserves sign: actual - predicted
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return actual - predicted;
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}
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/// <summary>
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/// Calculates ME for entire series.
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/// </summary>
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public static TSeries Calculate(TSeries actual, TSeries predicted, int period)
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=> CalculateImpl(actual, predicted, period, Batch);
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/// <summary>
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/// Batch calculation using signed error computation with rolling mean.
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/// </summary>
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public static void Batch(ReadOnlySpan<double> actual, ReadOnlySpan<double> predicted, Span<double> output, int period)
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{
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ValidateBatchInputs(actual, predicted, output, period);
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int len = actual.Length;
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if (len == 0) return;
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const int StackAllocThreshold = 256;
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if (len <= StackAllocThreshold)
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{
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Span<double> errors = stackalloc double[len];
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ErrorHelpers.ComputeSignedErrors(actual, predicted, errors);
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ErrorHelpers.ApplyRollingMean(errors, output, period);
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}
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else
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{
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double[] rented = ArrayPool<double>.Shared.Rent(len);
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try
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{
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Span<double> errors = rented.AsSpan(0, len);
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ErrorHelpers.ComputeSignedErrors(actual, predicted, errors);
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ErrorHelpers.ApplyRollingMean(errors, output, period);
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}
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finally
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{
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ArrayPool<double>.Shared.Return(rented);
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}
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}
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}
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}
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@@ -0,0 +1,144 @@
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# ME: Mean Error (Mean Bias Error)
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> "Sometimes you need to know not just how wrong you are, but which direction you're wrong in."
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Mean Error (ME), also known as Mean Bias Error, measures the average error between actual and predicted values while preserving the sign. Unlike MAE, ME reveals systematic bias in predictions: whether a model consistently over-predicts or under-predicts.
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## Historical Context
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ME is one of the fundamental error metrics in statistics and forecasting. While MAE and MSE focus on error magnitude, ME fills the critical role of detecting directional bias. A model could have low MAE but significant ME, indicating consistent over or under-prediction that cancels out when measuring magnitude alone.
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## Architecture & Physics
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ME preserves the sign of errors, allowing positive and negative errors to cancel each other. This makes it ideal for detecting systematic bias but unsuitable for measuring prediction accuracy alone.
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### Properties
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* **Can be negative**: ME can be positive, negative, or zero
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* **Positive ME**: Model under-predicts (actual > predicted on average)
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* **Negative ME**: Model over-predicts (actual < predicted on average)
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* **Zero ME**: No systematic bias (but not necessarily accurate)
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* **Same units**: ME is in the same units as the original data
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* **Cancellation**: Errors can cancel out, hiding large individual errors
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## Mathematical Foundation
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### 1. Error Calculation
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For each observation, calculate the signed difference between actual and predicted values:
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$$e_i = y_i - \hat{y}_i$$
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Where:
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* $y_i$ = actual value
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* $\hat{y}_i$ = predicted value
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### 2. Mean Calculation
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Average the errors over the period:
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$$ME = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (y_i - \hat{y}_i)$$
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### 3. Running Update (O(1))
|
||||
|
||||
QuanTAlib uses a ring buffer with running sum for O(1) updates:
|
||||
|
||||
$$S_{new} = S_{old} - e_{oldest} + e_{newest}$$
|
||||
|
||||
$$ME = \frac{S_{new}}{n}$$
|
||||
|
||||
## Implementation Details
|
||||
|
||||
### Usage Patterns
|
||||
|
||||
```csharp
|
||||
// Streaming mode - update with each new observation
|
||||
var me = new Me(period: 20);
|
||||
var result = me.Update(actualValue, predictedValue);
|
||||
|
||||
// Batch mode - calculate for entire series
|
||||
var results = Me.Calculate(actualSeries, predictedSeries, period: 20);
|
||||
|
||||
// Span mode - zero-allocation for high performance
|
||||
Me.Batch(actualSpan, predictedSpan, outputSpan, period: 20);
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
### Parameters
|
||||
|
||||
| Parameter | Type | Description |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **period** | int | Lookback window for averaging (must be > 0) |
|
||||
|
||||
### Properties
|
||||
|
||||
| Property | Type | Description |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **Last** | TValue | Most recent ME value |
|
||||
| **IsHot** | bool | True when buffer is full |
|
||||
| **Name** | string | Indicator name (e.g., "Me(20)") |
|
||||
| **WarmupPeriod** | int | Number of periods before valid output |
|
||||
|
||||
## Performance Profile
|
||||
|
||||
| Metric | Score | Notes |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **Throughput** | ~10 ns/bar | O(1) update complexity |
|
||||
| **Allocations** | 0 | Uses pre-allocated ring buffer |
|
||||
| **Complexity** | O(1) | Constant time per update |
|
||||
| **Accuracy** | 10/10 | Exact calculation |
|
||||
| **Timeliness** | 9/10 | No lag beyond the period |
|
||||
| **Smoothness** | 7/10 | Moderate smoothing |
|
||||
|
||||
## Interpretation
|
||||
|
||||
| ME Value | Interpretation |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **ME > 0** | Systematic under-prediction (actual > predicted) |
|
||||
| **ME = 0** | No systematic bias |
|
||||
| **ME < 0** | Systematic over-prediction (actual < predicted) |
|
||||
|
||||
## Comparison with Other Metrics
|
||||
|
||||
| Metric | Shows Bias | Units | Use Case |
|
||||
| :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- |
|
||||
| **ME** | Yes | Same as data | Detect systematic bias |
|
||||
| **MAE** | No | Same as data | Average error magnitude |
|
||||
| **MSE** | No | Squared units | Penalize large errors |
|
||||
| **MPE** | Yes | Percentage | Relative bias |
|
||||
|
||||
## Common Use Cases
|
||||
|
||||
1. **Bias Detection**: Identify if a model consistently over or under-predicts
|
||||
2. **Model Calibration**: Use ME to adjust model outputs
|
||||
3. **Forecast Evaluation**: Distinguish between random errors and systematic bias
|
||||
4. **Trading Signals**: Detect directional bias in price predictions
|
||||
|
||||
## Warning: Cancellation Problem
|
||||
|
||||
ME can be misleading when errors cancel out:
|
||||
|
||||
```csharp
|
||||
var me = new Me(4);
|
||||
me.Update(110, 100); // Error: +10
|
||||
me.Update(90, 100); // Error: -10
|
||||
me.Update(110, 100); // Error: +10
|
||||
me.Update(90, 100); // Error: -10
|
||||
// ME = 0, but individual errors are large!
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Always use ME alongside MAE or MSE to get a complete picture.
|
||||
|
||||
## Edge Cases
|
||||
|
||||
* **Identical Values**: Returns 0 when actual equals predicted
|
||||
* **NaN Handling**: Uses last valid value substitution
|
||||
* **Single Input**: Not supported (requires two series)
|
||||
* **Period = 1**: Returns current signed error
|
||||
* **Balanced Errors**: Can return 0 even with large individual errors
|
||||
|
||||
## Related Indicators
|
||||
|
||||
* [MAE](../mae/Mae.md) - Mean Absolute Error (magnitude only)
|
||||
* [MSE](../mse/Mse.md) - Mean Squared Error
|
||||
* [MPE](../mpe/Mpe.md) - Mean Percentage Error (relative bias)
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user