2026-02-20 18:44:56 -08:00
|
|
|
|
using System.Runtime.CompilerServices;
|
|
|
|
|
|
using System.Runtime.InteropServices;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
namespace QuanTAlib;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// <summary>
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// TSF: Time Series Forecast
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// </summary>
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// <remarks>
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// Projects the linear regression line one step forward, forecasting the
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// next bar's value based on the least-squares trend over the lookback period.
|
2026-03-13 22:01:31 -07:00
|
|
|
|
/// Kahan compensated summation prevents floating-point drift without periodic resync.
|
2026-02-20 18:44:56 -08:00
|
|
|
|
///
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// Calculation: <c>TSF = slope × period + intercept</c> (standard convention)
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// or equivalently <c>TSF = b − m</c> (reversed-x convention where b = current bar value).
|
|
|
|
|
|
///
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// Uses O(1) incremental running sums (SumY, SumXY) identical to LSMA.
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// Relationship: TSF = LSMA(offset=0) + slope = LSMA(offset=1).
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// </remarks>
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// <seealso href="Tsf.md">Detailed documentation</seealso>
|
|
|
|
|
|
[SkipLocalsInit]
|
|
|
|
|
|
public sealed class Tsf : AbstractBase
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
private readonly int _period;
|
|
|
|
|
|
private readonly RingBuffer _buffer;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
private readonly double _sumX;
|
|
|
|
|
|
private readonly double _denominator;
|
|
|
|
|
|
private readonly TValuePublishedHandler _handler;
|
|
|
|
|
|
private ITValuePublisher? _source;
|
|
|
|
|
|
private int _disposed;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[StructLayout(LayoutKind.Auto)]
|
2026-03-13 22:01:31 -07:00
|
|
|
|
private record struct State(double SumY, double SumXY, double SumYComp, double SumXYComp, double LastVal, double LastValidValue);
|
2026-02-20 18:44:56 -08:00
|
|
|
|
private State _s;
|
|
|
|
|
|
private State _ps;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
private bool _isNew;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
public override bool IsHot => _buffer.IsFull;
|
|
|
|
|
|
public bool IsNew => _isNew;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// <summary>
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// Creates TSF with specified period.
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// </summary>
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// <param name="period">Lookback period for linear regression (must be > 0)</param>
|
|
|
|
|
|
public Tsf(int period = 14)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (period <= 0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_period = period;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_buffer = new RingBuffer(period);
|
|
|
|
|
|
Name = $"Tsf({period})";
|
|
|
|
|
|
WarmupPeriod = period;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_handler = Handle;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Precompute constants (reversed-x convention: x=0=newest, x=n-1=oldest)
|
|
|
|
|
|
// sumX = 0 + 1 + ... + (n-1) = n(n-1)/2
|
|
|
|
|
|
_sumX = 0.5 * period * (period - 1);
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// sumX2 = 0^2 + ... + (n-1)^2 = (n-1)n(2n-1)/6
|
|
|
|
|
|
double sumX2 = (period - 1.0) * period * (2.0 * period - 1.0) / 6.0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// denominator = n * sumX2 - sumX^2
|
|
|
|
|
|
_denominator = period * sumX2 - _sumX * _sumX;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastValidValue = double.NaN;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
public Tsf(ITValuePublisher source, int period = 14) : this(period)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_source = source ?? throw new ArgumentNullException(nameof(source));
|
|
|
|
|
|
_source.Pub += _handler;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
private void Handle(object? sender, in TValueEventArgs e) => Update(e.Value, e.IsNew);
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
|
|
|
|
|
|
private double GetValidValue(double input)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (double.IsFinite(input))
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastValidValue = input;
|
|
|
|
|
|
return input;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
return _s.LastValidValue;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
|
|
|
|
|
|
private void UpdateState(double val)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (_buffer.IsFull)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
double oldest = _buffer.Oldest;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double prevSumY = _s.SumY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026-03-13 22:01:31 -07:00
|
|
|
|
// Kahan compensated update for SumXY: sumXY += (prevSumY - period * oldest)
|
|
|
|
|
|
double deltaXY = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(-_period, oldest, prevSumY);
|
|
|
|
|
|
double yXY = deltaXY - _s.SumXYComp;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double tXY = _s.SumXY + yXY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumXYComp = (tXY - _s.SumXY) - yXY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumXY = tXY;
|
2026-02-20 18:44:56 -08:00
|
|
|
|
|
2026-03-13 22:01:31 -07:00
|
|
|
|
// Kahan compensated update for SumY: sumY += (val - oldest)
|
|
|
|
|
|
double deltaY = val - oldest;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double yY = deltaY - _s.SumYComp;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double tY = _s.SumY + yY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumYComp = (tY - _s.SumY) - yY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumY = tY;
|
2026-02-20 18:44:56 -08:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_buffer.Add(val);
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (_buffer.Count > 0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
2026-03-13 22:01:31 -07:00
|
|
|
|
// Kahan compensated addition for SumXY: sumXY += sumY
|
|
|
|
|
|
double yXY = _s.SumY - _s.SumXYComp;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double tXY = _s.SumXY + yXY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumXYComp = (tXY - _s.SumXY) - yXY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumXY = tXY;
|
2026-02-20 18:44:56 -08:00
|
|
|
|
}
|
2026-03-13 22:01:31 -07:00
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Kahan compensated addition for SumY
|
|
|
|
|
|
double yY = val - _s.SumYComp;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double tY = _s.SumY + yY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumYComp = (tY - _s.SumY) - yY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumY = tY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026-02-20 18:44:56 -08:00
|
|
|
|
_buffer.Add(val);
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveInlining)]
|
|
|
|
|
|
public override TValue Update(TValue input, bool isNew = true)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_isNew = isNew;
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (isNew)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
double val = GetValidValue(input.Value);
|
|
|
|
|
|
UpdateState(val);
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastVal = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_ps = _s;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastValidValue = _ps.LastValidValue;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double val = GetValidValue(input.Value);
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// For isNew=false, update the current bar without advancing.
|
|
|
|
|
|
// SumXY remains constant (depends on previous window state).
|
|
|
|
|
|
// SumY updates to reflect the change in the newest value.
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumY = _ps.SumY - _ps.LastVal + val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.SumXY = _ps.SumXY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_buffer.UpdateNewest(val);
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastVal = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
double result;
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (_buffer.Count <= 1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
result = _buffer.Newest;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
double n = _buffer.Count;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double sx = _sumX;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double denom = _denominator;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (!_buffer.IsFull)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Recalculate constants for smaller n during warmup
|
|
|
|
|
|
sx = 0.5 * n * (n - 1);
|
|
|
|
|
|
double sx2 = (n - 1.0) * n * (2.0 * n - 1.0) / 6.0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
denom = n * sx2 - sx * sx;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (Math.Abs(denom) < 1e-10)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
result = _buffer.Newest;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Reversed-x convention: m is negative for uptrend
|
|
|
|
|
|
double m = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(n, _s.SumXY, -sx * _s.SumY) / denom;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double b = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(-m, sx, _s.SumY) / n;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// b = value at x=0 (current bar endpoint)
|
|
|
|
|
|
// TSF = forecast one step ahead = b - m
|
|
|
|
|
|
// (In reversed-x, stepping forward means x=-1, so y = b - m*(-1)... wait)
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Actually: b - m * offset, where offset=1 projects one step ahead
|
|
|
|
|
|
// TSF = b - m * 1 = b - m
|
|
|
|
|
|
result = b - m;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last = new TValue(input.Time, result);
|
|
|
|
|
|
PubEvent(Last, isNew);
|
|
|
|
|
|
return Last;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
public override TSeries Update(TSeries source)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (source.Count == 0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
return new TSeries([], []);
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
int len = source.Count;
|
|
|
|
|
|
var t = new List<long>(len);
|
|
|
|
|
|
var v = new List<double>(len);
|
|
|
|
|
|
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(t, len);
|
|
|
|
|
|
CollectionsMarshal.SetCount(v, len);
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
var tSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(t);
|
|
|
|
|
|
var vSpan = CollectionsMarshal.AsSpan(v);
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
double initialLastValid = _s.LastValidValue;
|
|
|
|
|
|
Batch(source.Values, vSpan, _period, initialLastValid);
|
|
|
|
|
|
source.Times.CopyTo(tSpan);
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Restore state by replaying the last 'period' bars
|
|
|
|
|
|
int windowSize = Math.Min(len, _period);
|
|
|
|
|
|
int startIndex = len - windowSize;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reset();
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (startIndex > 0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
for (int i = startIndex - 1; i >= 0; i--)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (double.IsFinite(source.Values[i]))
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastValidValue = source.Values[i];
|
|
|
|
|
|
break;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastValidValue = initialLastValid;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
double lastProcessedValue = _s.LastValidValue;
|
|
|
|
|
|
for (int i = startIndex; i < len; i++)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
double val = GetValidValue(source.Values[i]);
|
|
|
|
|
|
UpdateState(val);
|
|
|
|
|
|
lastProcessedValue = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastVal = lastProcessedValue;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_ps = _s;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last = new TValue(tSpan[len - 1], vSpan[len - 1]);
|
|
|
|
|
|
return new TSeries(t, v);
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
public override void Prime(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, TimeSpan? step = null)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
foreach (var value in source)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
Update(new TValue(DateTime.MinValue, value));
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
public static TSeries Batch(TSeries source, int period = 14)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
var tsf = new Tsf(period);
|
|
|
|
|
|
return tsf.Update(source);
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// <summary>
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// Calculates TSF in-place, writing results to pre-allocated output span.
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// Zero-allocation method for maximum performance.
|
|
|
|
|
|
/// </summary>
|
|
|
|
|
|
[MethodImpl(MethodImplOptions.AggressiveOptimization)]
|
|
|
|
|
|
public static void Batch(ReadOnlySpan<double> source, Span<double> output, int period = 14, double initialLastValid = double.NaN)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (source.Length != output.Length)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
throw new ArgumentException("Source and output must have the same length", nameof(output));
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (period <= 0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
throw new ArgumentException("Period must be greater than 0", nameof(period));
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
int len = source.Length;
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (len == 0)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
return;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
const int StackAllocThreshold = 256;
|
|
|
|
|
|
Span<double> buffer = period <= StackAllocThreshold
|
|
|
|
|
|
? stackalloc double[period]
|
|
|
|
|
|
: new double[period];
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
double sumY = 0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double sumXY = 0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double lastValid = initialLastValid;
|
|
|
|
|
|
int bufferIndex = 0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
int count = 0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Precalculate constants for full period
|
|
|
|
|
|
double fullSumX = 0.5 * period * (period - 1);
|
|
|
|
|
|
double fullSumX2 = (period - 1.0) * period * (2.0 * period - 1.0) / 6.0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double fullDenom = period * fullSumX2 - fullSumX * fullSumX;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
for (int i = 0; i < len; i++)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
double val = source[i];
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (double.IsFinite(val))
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
lastValid = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
val = lastValid;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (count < period)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Warmup phase
|
|
|
|
|
|
buffer[count] = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
count++;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (count > 1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
sumXY += sumY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
sumY += val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (count <= 1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
output[i] = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
double n = count;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double sx = 0.5 * n * (n - 1);
|
|
|
|
|
|
double sx2 = (n - 1.0) * n * (2.0 * n - 1.0) / 6.0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double denom = n * sx2 - sx * sx;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (Math.Abs(denom) < 1e-10)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
output[i] = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
double m = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(n, sumXY, -sx * sumY) / denom;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double b = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(-m, sx, sumY) / n;
|
|
|
|
|
|
// TSF = b - m (one step ahead forecast)
|
|
|
|
|
|
output[i] = b - m;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (count == period)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
bufferIndex = 0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
else
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
// Full buffer phase — O(1) update
|
|
|
|
|
|
double oldest = buffer[bufferIndex];
|
|
|
|
|
|
double prevSumY = sumY;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
sumXY = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(-period, oldest, sumXY + prevSumY);
|
|
|
|
|
|
sumY = sumY - oldest + val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
buffer[bufferIndex] = val;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
bufferIndex++;
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (bufferIndex >= period)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
bufferIndex = 0;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
double m = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(period, sumXY, -fullSumX * sumY) / fullDenom;
|
|
|
|
|
|
double b = Math.FusedMultiplyAdd(-m, fullSumX, sumY) / period;
|
|
|
|
|
|
// TSF = b - m (one step ahead forecast)
|
|
|
|
|
|
output[i] = b - m;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
public static (TSeries Results, Tsf Indicator) Calculate(TSeries source, int period = 14)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
var indicator = new Tsf(period);
|
|
|
|
|
|
TSeries results = indicator.Update(source);
|
|
|
|
|
|
return (results, indicator);
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
public override void Reset()
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_buffer.Clear();
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s = default;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_s.LastValidValue = double.NaN;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_ps = default;
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last = default;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
protected override void Dispose(bool disposing)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
if (Interlocked.CompareExchange(ref _disposed, 1, 0) == 0 && _source != null)
|
|
|
|
|
|
{
|
|
|
|
|
|
_source.Pub -= _handler;
|
|
|
|
|
|
_source = null;
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
base.Dispose(disposing);
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|