2569718930@qq.com
109 lines
2.5 KiB
JSON
109 lines
2.5 KiB
JSON
{
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"version": "emos-20260415170349",
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"trained_at": "2026-04-15T17:03:49.122865+00:00",
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"global": {
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"mu": {
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"intercept": 2.45853035,
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"raw_mu_coef": 2.03689031,
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"deb_coef": -1.41207502,
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"ens_median_coef": 0.08616811,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.5886898
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},
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"sigma": {
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"intercept": 0.61260118,
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"raw_sigma_coef": -1.48747774,
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"spread_coef": 2.24562634,
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"peak_flag_coef": -0.15906747,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.01835251
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}
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},
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"sigma_constraints": {
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"min_ratio": 0.85,
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"max_ratio": 1.35,
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"absolute_min": 0.25,
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"absolute_max": 3.0
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},
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"selection_guardrails": {
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"max_mae_increase": 0.02,
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"max_bucket_hit_drop": 0.01,
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"max_bucket_brier_increase": 0.05
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},
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"blending": {
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"alpha_mu": 0.05,
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"alpha_sigma": 1.0
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},
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"cities": {
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"tokyo": {
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"samples": 5,
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"mu_bias": 2.223946,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.625
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},
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"ankara": {
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"samples": 6,
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"mu_bias": -0.396953,
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"sigma_scale": 1.094474,
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"confidence": 0.75
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},
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"istanbul": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -0.163153,
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"sigma_scale": 0.5,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"hong kong": {
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"samples": 7,
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"mu_bias": 3.267553,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.875
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},
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"taipei": {
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"samples": 5,
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"mu_bias": 4.80044,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.625
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},
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"seoul": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -3.080962,
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"sigma_scale": 1.437353,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"milan": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -4.20255,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"shanghai": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 1.185335,
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"sigma_scale": 1.68386,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"warsaw": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -1.574246,
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"sigma_scale": 1.343402,
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"confidence": 0.375
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}
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},
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"metrics": {
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"sample_count": 71,
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"mean_crps": 3.226613,
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"legacy_mean_crps": 3.608885,
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"legacy_mean_mae": 3.81507,
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"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.492958,
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"legacy_bucket_brier": 0.873776,
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"selected_mean_crps": 3.44742,
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"selected_mean_mae": 3.749078,
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"selected_bucket_hit_rate": 0.492958,
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"selected_bucket_brier": 0.878621,
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"selected_score": 5.241857,
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"legacy_score": 5.406287,
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"filled_actual_from_history": 0,
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"settlement_history_city_count": 30,
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"legacy_archive_samples": 54
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},
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"source": "artifacts\\probability_calibration\\default.json"
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} |