Files
PolyWeather/artifacts/probability_calibration/evaluation_report.json
T
2026-04-03 00:57:19 +08:00

257 lines
6.7 KiB
JSON

{
"summary": {
"sample_count": 54,
"filled_actual_from_history": 2,
"legacy": {
"mean_crps": 4.300621,
"mean_mae": 4.502963,
"bucket_hit_rate": 0.537037
},
"emos": {
"mean_crps": 4.213889,
"mean_mae": 4.502963,
"bucket_hit_rate": 0.537037
},
"delta": {
"crps": -0.086732,
"mae": 0.0,
"bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
}
},
"by_city": {
"ankara": {
"samples": 3,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.327701,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.439705,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.066667,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.066667,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"atlanta": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 30.449382,
"emos_mean_crps": 30.578432,
"legacy_mean_mae": 32.015,
"emos_mean_mae": 32.015,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"buenos aires": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 9.113412,
"emos_mean_crps": 8.759954,
"legacy_mean_mae": 10.27,
"emos_mean_mae": 10.27,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"chicago": {
"samples": 1,
"legacy_mean_crps": 1.250268,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.701085,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.0,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.0,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"dallas": {
"samples": 1,
"legacy_mean_crps": 2.173363,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.701085,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.0,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.0,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"hong kong": {
"samples": 4,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.29509,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.387946,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.075,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.075,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.75
},
"london": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 3.885033,
"emos_mean_crps": 3.866915,
"legacy_mean_mae": 4.135,
"emos_mean_mae": 4.135,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"lucknow": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 2.487193,
"emos_mean_crps": 2.342342,
"legacy_mean_mae": 3.205,
"emos_mean_mae": 3.205,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"madrid": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 6.27726,
"emos_mean_crps": 5.967277,
"legacy_mean_mae": 7.33,
"emos_mean_mae": 7.33,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"miami": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 28.637631,
"emos_mean_crps": 28.482516,
"legacy_mean_mae": 30.175,
"emos_mean_mae": 30.175,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"milan": {
"samples": 3,
"legacy_mean_crps": 4.401392,
"emos_mean_crps": 3.858031,
"legacy_mean_mae": 4.06,
"emos_mean_mae": 4.06,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.666667,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.666667
},
"munich": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 3.145192,
"emos_mean_crps": 3.011312,
"legacy_mean_mae": 3.64,
"emos_mean_mae": 3.64,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"new york": {
"samples": 1,
"legacy_mean_crps": 3.692845,
"emos_mean_crps": 3.407357,
"legacy_mean_mae": 4.94,
"emos_mean_mae": 4.94,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"paris": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 4.013782,
"emos_mean_crps": 3.979293,
"legacy_mean_mae": 4.265,
"emos_mean_mae": 4.265,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.5,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.5
},
"sao paulo": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 5.540967,
"emos_mean_crps": 5.272063,
"legacy_mean_mae": 6.57,
"emos_mean_mae": 6.57,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"seattle": {
"samples": 1,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.315488,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.425909,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.0,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.0,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"seoul": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.313754,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.412831,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.15,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.15,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"shanghai": {
"samples": 3,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.299116,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.394855,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.1,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.1,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"shenzhen": {
"samples": 1,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.798351,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.762787,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.9,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.9,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"singapore": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.281993,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.37264,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.15,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.15,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"taipei": {
"samples": 3,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.356996,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.472738,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.1,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.1,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"tel aviv": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.446758,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.578006,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.3,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.3,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"tokyo": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.450128,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.582151,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.25,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.25,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.5,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
},
"toronto": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 5.497916,
"emos_mean_crps": 5.240552,
"legacy_mean_mae": 6.33,
"emos_mean_mae": 6.33,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.0
},
"warsaw": {
"samples": 3,
"legacy_mean_crps": 1.618875,
"emos_mean_crps": 1.553232,
"legacy_mean_mae": 2.056667,
"emos_mean_mae": 2.056667,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.333333,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 0.333333
},
"wellington": {
"samples": 2,
"legacy_mean_crps": 0.364919,
"emos_mean_crps": 0.475875,
"legacy_mean_mae": 0.15,
"emos_mean_mae": 0.15,
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0,
"emos_bucket_hit_rate": 1.0
}
}
}