2569718930@qq.com
115 lines
2.6 KiB
JSON
115 lines
2.6 KiB
JSON
{
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"version": "emos-20260418192717",
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"trained_at": "2026-04-18T19:27:17.348931+00:00",
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"global": {
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"mu": {
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"intercept": 2.60074353,
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"raw_mu_coef": 1.97765258,
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"deb_coef": -1.37457626,
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"ens_median_coef": 0.10693472,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.58256593
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},
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"sigma": {
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"intercept": 0.6373609,
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"raw_sigma_coef": -1.41537225,
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"spread_coef": 2.12997577,
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"peak_flag_coef": -0.08633203,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.00716383
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}
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},
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"sigma_constraints": {
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"min_ratio": 0.85,
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"max_ratio": 1.35,
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"absolute_min": 0.25,
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"absolute_max": 3.0
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},
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"selection_guardrails": {
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"max_mae_increase": 0.02,
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"max_bucket_hit_drop": 0.01,
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"max_bucket_brier_increase": 0.05
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},
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"blending": {
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"alpha_mu": 0.05,
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"alpha_sigma": 0.7
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},
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"cities": {
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"tokyo": {
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"samples": 5,
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"mu_bias": 2.101101,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.625
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},
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"ankara": {
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"samples": 6,
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"mu_bias": -0.523145,
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"sigma_scale": 1.139849,
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"confidence": 0.75
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},
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"istanbul": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -0.285183,
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"sigma_scale": 0.550171,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"hong kong": {
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"samples": 7,
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"mu_bias": 3.234676,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.875
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},
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"taipei": {
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"samples": 5,
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"mu_bias": 4.731246,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.625
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},
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"busan": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 0.177772,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"seoul": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -3.070325,
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"sigma_scale": 1.462196,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"milan": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -4.249866,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"shanghai": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 1.080039,
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"sigma_scale": 1.638119,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"warsaw": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -1.68611,
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"sigma_scale": 1.38114,
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"confidence": 0.375
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}
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},
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"metrics": {
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"sample_count": 74,
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"mean_crps": 3.181501,
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"legacy_mean_crps": 3.474108,
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"legacy_mean_mae": 3.679324,
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"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.5,
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"legacy_bucket_brier": 0.855395,
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"selected_mean_crps": 3.322469,
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"selected_mean_mae": 3.618254,
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"selected_bucket_hit_rate": 0.5,
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"selected_bucket_brier": 0.863048,
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"selected_score": 5.08158,
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"legacy_score": 5.233586,
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"filled_actual_from_history": 0,
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"settlement_history_city_count": 30,
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"legacy_archive_samples": 54
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},
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"source": "artifacts\\probability_calibration\\default.json"
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} |