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PolyWeather/frontend/components/dashboard/PanelSections.tsx
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2026-04-22 02:59:12 +08:00

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"use client";
import type { ChartConfiguration } from "chart.js";
import clsx from "clsx";
import { startTransition, useMemo } from "react";
import { useChart } from "@/hooks/useChart";
import { useCityData, useDashboardStore } from "@/hooks/useDashboardStore";
import { useI18n } from "@/hooks/useI18n";
import {
CityDetail,
MarketScan,
MarketTopBucket,
ProbabilityBucket,
} from "@/lib/dashboard-types";
import {
getHeroMetaItems,
getModelView,
getProbabilityView,
getRiskBadgeLabel,
getTemperatureChartData,
getWeatherSummary,
} from "@/lib/dashboard-utils";
function EmptyState({ text }: { text: string }) {
return (
<div style={{ color: "var(--text-muted)", fontSize: "13px" }}>{text}</div>
);
}
function toPercent(value?: number | null) {
if (value == null) return null;
const numeric = Number(value);
if (!Number.isFinite(numeric)) return null;
return `${(numeric * 100).toFixed(1)}%`;
}
function toPriceCents(value?: number | null) {
if (value == null) return null;
const numeric = Number(value);
if (!Number.isFinite(numeric)) return null;
const normalized = numeric > 1 ? numeric / 100 : numeric;
const cents = normalized * 100;
const rounded = Math.round(cents * 10) / 10;
const text = Number.isInteger(rounded)
? String(rounded.toFixed(0))
: String(rounded);
return `${text}c`;
}
function parseTempFromText(value: unknown) {
const text = String(value || "");
const match = text.match(/(-?\d+(?:\.\d+)?)/);
if (!match) return null;
const numeric = Number(match[1]);
return Number.isFinite(numeric) ? numeric : null;
}
function getBucketTemp(bucket: ProbabilityBucket) {
if (bucket.value != null) {
const byValue = Number(bucket.value);
if (Number.isFinite(byValue)) return byValue;
}
return parseTempFromText(bucket.label || bucket.bucket || bucket.range);
}
function getMarketYesPrice(scan?: MarketScan | null) {
if (scan?.market_price != null) {
const preferred = Number(scan.market_price);
if (Number.isFinite(preferred)) return preferred;
}
if (scan?.yes_token?.implied_probability != null) {
const implied = Number(scan.yes_token.implied_probability);
if (Number.isFinite(implied)) return implied;
}
return null;
}
function isFahrenheitSymbol(symbol?: string | null) {
return String(symbol || "").toUpperCase().includes("F");
}
function displayTempToMarketCelsius(
value: number | null,
detail: Pick<CityDetail, "temp_symbol">,
) {
if (value == null || !Number.isFinite(value)) return null;
if (isFahrenheitSymbol(detail.temp_symbol)) {
return ((value - 32) * 5) / 9;
}
return value;
}
function formatBucketDisplayLabel(
bucket: ProbabilityBucket,
detail: Pick<CityDetail, "temp_symbol">,
) {
let bucketLabel = bucket.label || `${bucket.value}${detail.temp_symbol}`;
if (!bucketLabel) return "";
let str = String(bucketLabel).toUpperCase().replace(/\s+/g, "");
const symbol = detail.temp_symbol || "°C";
if (isFahrenheitSymbol(symbol)) {
str = str.replace(/℃/g, "°F").replace(/°C/g, "°F");
} else {
str = str.replace(/℃/g, "°C").replace(/°F/g, "°C");
}
str = str.replace(/°?C($|\+|-)/g, "°C$1");
str = str.replace(/°?F($|\+|-)/g, "°F$1");
if (!/[°℃][CF]/.test(str) && /[0-9]/.test(str)) {
str += symbol;
}
return str;
}
function getMarketBucketUnit(bucket?: MarketTopBucket | null) {
return String(bucket?.unit || "").toUpperCase();
}
function isMarketBucketAbove(bucket?: MarketTopBucket | null) {
const text = `${bucket?.label || ""} ${bucket?.slug || ""} ${bucket?.question || ""}`
.toLowerCase()
.replace(/\s+/g, "");
return text.includes("+") || text.includes("orhigher") || text.includes("or-higher");
}
function isMarketBucketBelow(bucket?: MarketTopBucket | null) {
const text = `${bucket?.label || ""} ${bucket?.slug || ""} ${bucket?.question || ""}`
.toLowerCase()
.replace(/\s+/g, "");
return text.includes("<=") || text.includes("orlower") || text.includes("or-lower");
}
function findMarketBucketForDisplayTemp(
buckets: MarketTopBucket[],
displayTemp: number | null,
detail: Pick<CityDetail, "temp_symbol">,
) {
if (displayTemp == null || !Number.isFinite(displayTemp)) return null;
let best: MarketTopBucket | null = null;
let bestDelta = Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
for (const bucket of buckets) {
const bucketUnit = String(bucket.unit || "").toUpperCase();
const compareTemp =
bucketUnit === "F"
? displayTemp
: displayTempToMarketCelsius(displayTemp, detail);
if (compareTemp == null) continue;
const lower = bucket.lower != null ? Number(bucket.lower) : null;
const upper = bucket.upper != null ? Number(bucket.upper) : null;
if (
lower != null &&
upper != null &&
Number.isFinite(lower) &&
Number.isFinite(upper) &&
compareTemp >= lower - 0.01 &&
compareTemp <= upper + 0.01
) {
return bucket;
}
const rawTemp = bucket.temp ?? bucket.value ?? null;
if (rawTemp == null) continue;
const candidateTemp = Number(rawTemp);
if (!Number.isFinite(candidateTemp)) continue;
const delta = Math.abs(candidateTemp - compareTemp);
if (delta < bestDelta) {
best = bucket;
bestDelta = delta;
}
}
const tolerance = isFahrenheitSymbol(detail.temp_symbol) ? 0.56 : 0.26;
return best && bestDelta <= tolerance ? best : null;
}
function marketBucketContainsDisplayTemp(
bucket: MarketTopBucket | null,
displayTemp: number | null,
detail: Pick<CityDetail, "temp_symbol">,
) {
if (!bucket || displayTemp == null || !Number.isFinite(displayTemp)) return false;
const bucketUnit = getMarketBucketUnit(bucket);
const compareTemp =
bucketUnit === "F" ? displayTemp : displayTempToMarketCelsius(displayTemp, detail);
if (compareTemp == null) return false;
const lower = bucket.lower != null ? Number(bucket.lower) : null;
const upper = bucket.upper != null ? Number(bucket.upper) : null;
if (lower != null && !Number.isFinite(lower)) return false;
if (upper != null && !Number.isFinite(upper)) return false;
if (lower != null && upper != null) {
return compareTemp >= lower - 0.01 && compareTemp <= upper + 0.01;
}
if (lower != null && isMarketBucketAbove(bucket)) {
return compareTemp >= lower - 0.01;
}
if (lower != null && isMarketBucketBelow(bucket)) {
return compareTemp <= lower + 0.01;
}
const reference = bucket.temp ?? bucket.value ?? lower;
const numeric = reference != null ? Number(reference) : null;
if (numeric == null || !Number.isFinite(numeric)) return false;
const tolerance = bucketUnit === "F" ? 0.56 : 0.26;
return Math.abs(compareTemp - numeric) <= tolerance;
}
function getAggregatedModelProbabilityForMarketBucket(
probabilities: ProbabilityBucket[],
bucket: MarketTopBucket | null,
detail: Pick<CityDetail, "temp_symbol">,
) {
if (!bucket) return null;
let total = 0;
let matched = 0;
for (const probabilityBucket of probabilities) {
const temp = getBucketTemp(probabilityBucket);
if (!marketBucketContainsDisplayTemp(bucket, temp, detail)) continue;
const probability = Number(probabilityBucket.probability);
if (!Number.isFinite(probability)) continue;
total += probability;
matched += 1;
}
return matched > 0 ? Math.max(0, Math.min(1, total)) : null;
}
type ProbabilityDisplayRow = {
key: string;
label: string;
probability: number;
marketBucket?: MarketTopBucket | null;
};
function formatMarketBucketDisplayLabel(
bucket: MarketTopBucket,
detail: Pick<CityDetail, "temp_symbol">,
) {
const label = String(bucket.label || "").trim();
if (label) {
const unit = getMarketBucketUnit(bucket);
let normalized = label.toUpperCase().replace(/\s+/g, "");
if (unit === "F" || isFahrenheitSymbol(detail.temp_symbol)) {
normalized = normalized
.replace(/ORHIGHER/g, "+")
.replace(/ORLOWER/g, "-")
.replace(/℃/g, "°F")
.replace(/°C/g, "°F")
.replace(/(?<=\d)F/g, "°F");
} else {
normalized = normalized
.replace(/ORHIGHER/g, "+")
.replace(/ORLOWER/g, "-")
.replace(/℃/g, "°C")
.replace(/°F/g, "°C")
.replace(/(?<=\d)C/g, "°C");
}
return normalized.replace(/\+/g, "+");
}
const unit =
getMarketBucketUnit(bucket) === "F" || isFahrenheitSymbol(detail.temp_symbol)
? "°F"
: "°C";
const lower = bucket.lower != null ? Number(bucket.lower) : null;
const upper = bucket.upper != null ? Number(bucket.upper) : null;
if (lower != null && upper != null && Number.isFinite(lower) && Number.isFinite(upper)) {
return `${lower}-${upper}${unit}`;
}
const value = bucket.value ?? bucket.temp ?? lower;
const numeric = value != null ? Number(value) : null;
if (numeric != null && Number.isFinite(numeric)) {
return isMarketBucketAbove(bucket) ? `${numeric}${unit}+` : `${numeric}${unit}`;
}
return "--";
}
type ModelMetadata = NonNullable<
NonNullable<CityDetail["source_forecasts"]>["open_meteo_multi_model"]
>["model_metadata"];
function getModelGroupMeta(
name: string,
metadata: ModelMetadata,
locale: string,
) {
const meta = metadata?.[name] || {};
const tier = String(meta.tier || "").toLowerCase();
const upperName = String(name || "").toUpperCase();
if (tier.includes("aifs") || upperName.includes("AIFS")) {
return {
key: "aifs",
label: locale === "en-US" ? "AIFS model" : "AIFS 模型",
order: 1,
tone: "blue",
};
}
if (
tier.includes("europe") ||
upperName.includes("ICON-EU") ||
upperName.includes("ICON-D2")
) {
return {
key: "europe",
label: locale === "en-US" ? "Europe high-resolution" : "欧洲高分辨率",
order: 2,
tone: "cyan",
};
}
if (
tier.includes("north_america") ||
upperName === "RDPS" ||
upperName === "HRDPS"
) {
return {
key: "north-america",
label: locale === "en-US" ? "North America high-resolution" : "北美高分辨率",
order: 3,
tone: "amber",
};
}
return {
key: "global",
label: locale === "en-US" ? "Global baseline" : "全球基准",
order: 0,
tone: "neutral",
};
}
function formatModelMetaLine(
name: string,
metadata: ModelMetadata,
locale: string,
) {
const meta = metadata?.[name] || {};
const provider = String(meta.provider || "").trim();
const model = String(meta.model || "").trim();
const horizon = String(meta.horizon || "").trim();
const resolution = Number(meta.resolution_km);
const parts = [
provider,
model && model !== name ? model : "",
Number.isFinite(resolution)
? `${resolution}${locale === "en-US" ? " km" : " 公里"}`
: "",
horizon,
].filter(Boolean);
return parts.join(" · ");
}
function normalizeModelNameForVote(name: string) {
return String(name || "")
.trim()
.toLowerCase()
.replace(/[\s_/-]/g, "");
}
function getModelVoteFamily(name: string) {
const normalized = normalizeModelNameForVote(name);
if (["icon", "iconeu", "icond2"].includes(normalized)) return "dwd_icon";
if (["gem", "gdps", "rdps", "hrdps"].includes(normalized)) return "eccc_gem";
if (["ecmwfaifs", "aifs"].includes(normalized)) return "ecmwf_aifs";
if (normalized === "ecmwf") return "ecmwf_ifs";
return normalized || name;
}
function getModelVotePriority(name: string) {
const normalized = normalizeModelNameForVote(name);
return (
{
icond2: 40,
iconeu: 30,
icon: 20,
hrdps: 40,
rdps: 35,
gdps: 30,
gem: 20,
ecmwfaifs: 30,
ecmwf: 30,
gfs: 30,
jma: 30,
mgm: 45,
nws: 45,
openmeteo: 15,
}[normalized] || 10
);
}
function getRoundedModelVoteDistribution(
detail: CityDetail,
targetDate?: string | null,
) {
const view = getModelView(detail, targetDate);
const representatives = new Map<
string,
{ name: string; priority: number; value: number }
>();
Object.entries(view.models || {}).forEach(([name, rawValue]) => {
const normalized = normalizeModelNameForVote(name);
if (normalized === "lgbm" || normalized.includes("meteoblue")) return;
const value = Number(rawValue);
if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return;
const family = getModelVoteFamily(name);
const priority = getModelVotePriority(name);
const current = representatives.get(family);
if (!current || priority > current.priority) {
representatives.set(family, { name, priority, value });
}
});
const bucketMap = new Map<number, { count: number; models: string[] }>();
representatives.forEach(({ name, value }) => {
const rounded = Math.round(value);
const row = bucketMap.get(rounded) || { count: 0, models: [] };
row.count += 1;
row.models.push(name);
bucketMap.set(rounded, row);
});
const total = representatives.size;
const rows = Array.from(bucketMap.entries())
.map(([value, row]) => ({
count: row.count,
models: row.models,
percent: total > 0 ? row.count / total : 0,
value,
}))
.sort((a, b) => b.count - a.count || b.value - a.value);
return {
rows,
total,
};
}
function normalizeMarketProbability(value?: number | null) {
if (value == null) return null;
const numeric = Number(value);
if (!Number.isFinite(numeric)) return null;
if (numeric > 1) return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, numeric / 100));
return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, numeric));
}
function normalizeSignedProbability(value?: number | null) {
if (value == null) return null;
const numeric = Number(value);
if (!Number.isFinite(numeric)) return null;
if (Math.abs(numeric) > 1) return numeric / 100;
return numeric;
}
function formatSignedPercent(value?: number | null, digits = 1) {
const normalized = normalizeSignedProbability(value);
if (normalized == null) return "--";
const percent = normalized * 100;
const sign = percent > 0 ? "+" : "";
return `${sign}${percent.toFixed(digits)}%`;
}
function getMarketTopBuckets(scan?: MarketScan | null) {
const buckets = Array.isArray(scan?.top_buckets) ? scan.top_buckets : [];
if (!buckets.length) return [];
return buckets
.map((item) => ({
...item,
probability: normalizeMarketProbability(item.probability),
}))
.filter(
(item): item is MarketTopBucket & { probability: number } =>
item.probability != null,
);
}
function getMarketAllBuckets(scan?: MarketScan | null) {
const buckets = Array.isArray(scan?.all_buckets)
? scan.all_buckets
: Array.isArray(scan?.top_buckets)
? scan.top_buckets
: [];
if (!buckets.length) return [];
return buckets
.map((item) => ({
...item,
probability: normalizeMarketProbability(item.probability),
}))
.filter(
(item): item is MarketTopBucket & { probability: number } =>
item.probability != null,
);
}
function getMarketTopBucketKey(bucket: MarketTopBucket) {
if (bucket?.value != null) {
const valueNum = Number(bucket.value);
if (Number.isFinite(valueNum)) return `v:${valueNum.toFixed(2)}`;
}
if (bucket?.temp != null) {
const tempNum = Number(bucket.temp);
if (Number.isFinite(tempNum)) return `t:${tempNum.toFixed(2)}`;
}
const parsed = parseTempFromText(bucket?.label);
if (parsed != null) return `l:${parsed.toFixed(2)}`;
return `s:${String(bucket?.slug || bucket?.question || bucket?.label || "")}`;
}
function hasLgbmModel(detail: CityDetail, targetDate?: string | null) {
const view = getModelView(detail, targetDate);
return Object.keys(view.models || {}).some((name) =>
normalizeModelNameForVote(name).includes("lgbm"),
);
}
function formatProbabilityEngineLabel(
detail: CityDetail,
targetDate: string | null | undefined,
locale: string,
) {
const view = getProbabilityView(detail, targetDate);
if (hasLgbmModel(detail, targetDate)) {
return locale === "en-US"
? "LGBM-calibrated probability"
: "LGBM 校准概率";
}
const engine = String(view.engine || "").trim().toLowerCase();
const calibrationMode = String(view.calibrationMode || "")
.trim()
.toLowerCase();
if (engine === "emos" || calibrationMode.includes("emos")) {
return locale === "en-US" ? "EMOS-calibrated probability" : "EMOS 校准概率";
}
return locale === "en-US" ? "Model probability" : "模型概率";
}
export function HeroSummary() {
const { data } = useCityData();
const { locale } = useI18n();
if (!data) return null;
const { weatherIcon, weatherText } = getWeatherSummary(data, locale);
const metaItems = getHeroMetaItems(data, locale);
const current = data.current || {};
const settlementSourceCode = String(current.settlement_source || "metar")
.trim()
.toLowerCase();
const settlementIcao = String(
current.station_code || data.risk?.icao || "",
)
.trim()
.toUpperCase();
const settlementSource =
settlementSourceCode === "wunderground"
? settlementIcao
? `${settlementIcao} METAR`
: "METAR"
: String(current.settlement_source_label || current.settlement_source || "METAR")
.trim()
.toUpperCase();
const isMax =
current.max_so_far != null &&
current.temp != null &&
current.max_so_far <= current.temp;
const currentObsText =
current.temp != null
? `${current.temp}${data.temp_symbol} @${current.obs_time || "--"}`
: data.metar_status?.stale_for_today
? locale === "en-US"
? "No same-day METAR"
: "今日暂无 METAR"
: "--";
return (
<section className="hero-section">
<div className="hero-weather">
<span>
{weatherIcon} {weatherText}
</span>
</div>
<div className="hero-temp">
<span className="hero-value">
{current.temp != null ? current.temp.toFixed(1) : "--"}
</span>
<span className="hero-unit">{data.temp_symbol || "°C"}</span>
</div>
<div className="hero-max-time">
{isMax && current.max_temp_time
? locale === "en-US"
? `Today's peak temperature appeared at local time ${current.max_temp_time}`
: `该城市今日最高温出现在当地时间 ${current.max_temp_time}`
: ""}
</div>
<div className="hero-details">
<div className="hero-item">
<span className="label">
{locale === "en-US" ? "Current Obs" : "当前实测"}
</span>
<span className="value">
{currentObsText}
</span>
</div>
<div className="hero-item">
<span className="label">
{locale === "en-US"
? `${settlementSource} Anchor`
: `${settlementSource} 锚点`}
</span>
<span className="value highlight">
{current.wu_settlement != null
? `${current.wu_settlement}${data.temp_symbol}`
: "--"}
</span>
</div>
<div className="hero-item">
<span className="label">
{locale === "en-US" ? "DEB Forecast" : "DEB 预测"}
</span>
<span className="value">
{data.deb?.prediction != null
? `${data.deb.prediction}${data.temp_symbol}`
: "--"}
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div className="hero-sub">
{metaItems.map((item) => (
<span key={item}>{item}</span>
))}
</div>
</section>
);
}
export function TemperatureChart() {
const { data } = useCityData();
const { locale, t } = useI18n();
const chartData = useMemo(
() => (data ? getTemperatureChartData(data, locale) : null),
[data, locale],
);
const canvasRef = useChart(() => {
if (!data || !chartData) {
return {
data: { datasets: [], labels: [] },
type: "line",
} satisfies ChartConfiguration<"line">;
}
const datasets: NonNullable<
ChartConfiguration<"line">["data"]
>["datasets"] = [];
if (chartData.datasets.hasMgmHourly) {
datasets.push({
backgroundColor: "rgba(234, 179, 8, 0.05)",
borderColor: "rgba(234, 179, 8, 0.8)",
borderWidth: 2,
data: chartData.datasets.mgmHourlyPoints,
fill: false,
label: locale === "en-US" ? "MGM Forecast" : "MGM 预报",
pointHoverRadius: 6,
pointRadius: 3,
spanGaps: true,
tension: 0.3,
});
} else {
datasets.push({
backgroundColor: "rgba(52, 211, 153, 0.05)",
borderColor: "rgba(52, 211, 153, 0.6)",
borderWidth: 1.5,
data: chartData.datasets.debPast,
fill: true,
label: locale === "en-US" ? "DEB Forecast" : "DEB 预报",
pointHoverRadius: 3,
pointRadius: 0,
tension: 0.3,
});
datasets.push({
borderColor: "rgba(52, 211, 153, 0.35)",
borderDash: [5, 3],
borderWidth: 1.5,
data: chartData.datasets.debFuture,
fill: false,
label: locale === "en-US" ? "DEB Forecast" : "DEB 预报",
pointRadius: 0,
tension: 0.3,
});
}
datasets.push({
backgroundColor: "#22d3ee",
borderColor: "#22d3ee",
borderWidth: 0,
data: chartData.datasets.metarPoints,
fill: false,
label:
chartData.observationLabel ||
(locale === "en-US" ? "METAR Observation" : "METAR 实况"),
order: 0,
pointHoverRadius: 7,
pointRadius: 5,
});
if (chartData.datasets.mgmPoints.some((value) => value != null)) {
datasets.push({
backgroundColor: "#facc15",
borderColor: "#facc15",
borderWidth: 0,
data: chartData.datasets.mgmPoints,
fill: false,
label: locale === "en-US" ? "MGM Observation" : "MGM 实测",
order: -1,
pointHoverRadius: 9,
pointRadius: 7,
showLine: false,
});
}
if (
!chartData.datasets.hasMgmHourly &&
Math.abs(chartData.datasets.offset) > 0.3
) {
datasets.push({
borderColor: "rgba(99, 102, 241, 0.2)",
borderDash: [2, 4],
borderWidth: 1,
data: chartData.datasets.temps,
fill: false,
label: locale === "en-US" ? "OM Raw" : "OM 原始",
pointRadius: 0,
tension: 0.3,
});
}
return {
data: {
datasets,
labels: chartData.times,
},
options: {
interaction: { intersect: false, mode: "index" },
maintainAspectRatio: false,
plugins: {
legend: { display: false },
tooltip: {
backgroundColor: "rgba(15, 23, 42, 0.9)",
borderColor: "rgba(52, 211, 153, 0.3)",
borderWidth: 1,
},
},
responsive: true,
scales: {
x: {
grid: { color: "rgba(255,255,255,0.04)" },
ticks: {
callback: (_value, index) =>
typeof index === "number" && index % 3 === 0
? chartData.times[index]
: "",
color: "#64748b",
maxRotation: 0,
},
},
y: {
grid: { color: "rgba(255,255,255,0.04)" },
max: chartData.max,
min: chartData.min,
ticks: {
callback: (value) => `${value}${data.temp_symbol || "°C"}`,
color: "#64748b",
},
},
},
},
type: "line",
} satisfies ChartConfiguration<"line">;
}, [data, chartData, locale]);
return (
<section className="chart-section">
<h3>{t("section.todayTempTrend")}</h3>
<div className="chart-wrapper">
<canvas ref={canvasRef} />
</div>
<div className="chart-legend">
{chartData?.legendText || t("section.chartEmpty")}
</div>
</section>
);
}
export function ProbabilityDistribution({
detail,
hideTitle = false,
targetDate,
marketScan,
}: {
detail: CityDetail;
hideTitle?: boolean;
targetDate?: string | null;
marketScan?: MarketScan | null;
}) {
const { locale, t } = useI18n();
const view = getProbabilityView(detail, targetDate);
const marketYesPrice = getMarketYesPrice(marketScan);
const marketYesText = toPercent(marketYesPrice);
const isToday = !targetDate || targetDate === detail.local_date;
const probabilityEngineLabel = formatProbabilityEngineLabel(
detail,
targetDate,
locale,
);
const hasLgbmProbability = hasLgbmModel(detail, targetDate);
const modelVoteView = useMemo(
() => getRoundedModelVoteDistribution(detail, targetDate),
[detail, targetDate],
);
const modelVoteHint = modelVoteView.rows
.slice(0, 2)
.map(
(row) =>
`${row.value}${detail.temp_symbol} ${row.count}/${modelVoteView.total}`,
)
.join(" · ");
const marketTopBuckets = isToday ? getMarketTopBuckets(marketScan) : [];
const marketAllBuckets = isToday ? getMarketAllBuckets(marketScan) : [];
const sortedMarketTopBuckets = useMemo(() => {
const sorted = [...marketTopBuckets].sort(
(a, b) => Number(b.probability || 0) - Number(a.probability || 0),
);
const deduped: Array<MarketTopBucket & { probability: number }> = [];
const seenKeys = new Set<string>();
for (const row of sorted) {
const key = getMarketTopBucketKey(row);
if (seenKeys.has(key)) continue;
seenKeys.add(key);
deduped.push(row);
if (deduped.length >= 4) break;
}
return deduped;
}, [marketTopBuckets]);
const useMarketTopBuckets =
marketScan?.available && sortedMarketTopBuckets.length >= 2;
const topMarketBucketText = toPercent(sortedMarketTopBuckets[0]?.probability);
const topProbability = [...(view.probabilities || [])].sort(
(a, b) => Number(b.probability || 0) - Number(a.probability || 0),
)[0];
const topProbabilityText = toPercent(topProbability?.probability);
const topProbabilityLabel = topProbability
? formatBucketDisplayLabel(topProbability, detail)
: null;
const topProbabilityTemp = topProbability ? getBucketTemp(topProbability) : null;
const probabilitiesForMarketContracts =
view.probabilitiesAll?.length > 0
? view.probabilitiesAll
: view.probabilities || [];
const marketContractRows = useMemo<ProbabilityDisplayRow[]>(() => {
if (!isToday || !marketScan?.available || marketAllBuckets.length === 0) {
return [];
}
const rows: ProbabilityDisplayRow[] = [];
const seenKeys = new Set<string>();
for (const marketBucket of marketAllBuckets) {
const probability = getAggregatedModelProbabilityForMarketBucket(
probabilitiesForMarketContracts,
marketBucket,
detail,
);
const key =
marketBucket.slug ||
marketBucket.label ||
`${marketBucket.lower ?? marketBucket.value ?? marketBucket.temp}-${marketBucket.upper ?? ""}`;
if (seenKeys.has(key)) continue;
seenKeys.add(key);
rows.push({
key,
label: formatMarketBucketDisplayLabel(marketBucket, detail),
probability: probability ?? 0,
marketBucket,
});
}
return rows;
}, [
detail,
isToday,
marketAllBuckets,
marketScan?.available,
probabilitiesForMarketContracts,
]);
const modelProbabilityRows = useMemo<ProbabilityDisplayRow[]>(
() =>
(view.probabilities || []).slice(0, 6).map((bucket, index) => {
const bucketTemp = getBucketTemp(bucket);
return {
key: `${bucket.label || bucket.value || index}`,
label: formatBucketDisplayLabel(bucket, detail),
probability: Number(bucket.probability || 0),
marketBucket: findMarketBucketForDisplayTemp(
marketAllBuckets,
bucketTemp,
detail,
),
};
}),
[detail, marketAllBuckets, view.probabilities],
);
const probabilityRows =
marketContractRows.length > 0
? marketContractRows.slice(0, 8)
: modelProbabilityRows;
const topContractRow =
marketContractRows.length > 0
? marketContractRows.reduce((best, row) =>
row.probability > best.probability ? row : best,
)
: null;
const displayTopLabel = topContractRow?.label || topProbabilityLabel || null;
const displayTopProbability =
topContractRow?.probability ??
(topProbability?.probability != null
? Number(topProbability.probability)
: null);
const displayTopProbabilityText = toPercent(displayTopProbability);
const displayUsesMarketBuckets = marketContractRows.length > 0;
const linkedMarketBucket = useMemo(() => {
if (topContractRow?.marketBucket) return topContractRow.marketBucket;
if (topProbabilityTemp == null) return null;
return findMarketBucketForDisplayTemp(
marketAllBuckets,
topProbabilityTemp,
detail,
);
}, [detail, marketAllBuckets, topContractRow, topProbabilityTemp]);
const priceAnalysis = marketScan?.price_analysis;
const yesPriceView = priceAnalysis?.yes;
const noPriceView = priceAnalysis?.no;
const linkedMarketAsk =
linkedMarketBucket?.yes_buy ??
linkedMarketBucket?.market_price ??
yesPriceView?.ask ??
null;
const linkedNoAsk = linkedMarketBucket?.no_buy ?? noPriceView?.ask ?? null;
const linkedContractLabel =
topContractRow?.label ||
(linkedMarketBucket ? formatMarketBucketDisplayLabel(linkedMarketBucket, detail) : null) ||
topProbabilityLabel ||
null;
const aggregatedMarketProbability = getAggregatedModelProbabilityForMarketBucket(
probabilitiesForMarketContracts,
linkedMarketBucket,
detail,
);
const linkedMarketProbability =
topContractRow?.probability ??
aggregatedMarketProbability ??
(topProbability?.probability != null ? Number(topProbability.probability) : null);
const linkedMarketProbabilityText = toPercent(linkedMarketProbability);
const linkedMarketEdge =
linkedMarketProbability != null && linkedMarketAsk != null
? linkedMarketProbability - Number(linkedMarketAsk)
: null;
const linkedNoEdge =
linkedMarketProbability != null && linkedNoAsk != null
? 1 - linkedMarketProbability - Number(linkedNoAsk)
: null;
const linkedBestSide =
linkedMarketBucket && linkedNoEdge != null && linkedMarketEdge != null
? linkedNoEdge > linkedMarketEdge
? "no"
: "yes"
: null;
const linkedBestAsk = linkedBestSide === "no" ? linkedNoAsk : linkedMarketAsk;
const linkedBestEdge =
linkedBestSide === "no" ? linkedNoEdge : linkedMarketEdge;
const preferredPriceView =
linkedMarketBucket
? {
ask: linkedBestAsk,
edge: linkedBestEdge,
}
: priceAnalysis?.best_side === "no"
? noPriceView
: yesPriceView;
const preferredSideLabel =
linkedMarketBucket
? linkedBestSide === "no"
? "NO"
: "YES"
: priceAnalysis?.best_side === "no"
? locale === "en-US"
? "NO"
: "NO"
: locale === "en-US"
? "YES"
: "YES";
const yesDisplayPrice = linkedMarketBucket ? linkedMarketAsk : yesPriceView?.ask;
const noDisplayPrice = linkedMarketBucket ? linkedNoAsk : noPriceView?.ask;
const yesDisplayEdge = linkedMarketBucket
? linkedMarketEdge
: yesPriceView?.edge;
const noDisplayEdge = linkedMarketBucket ? linkedNoEdge : noPriceView?.edge;
const hasPriceAnalysis =
isToday &&
(Boolean(priceAnalysis?.available) ||
Boolean(marketScan) ||
Boolean(topProbability));
const lockEdge = normalizeSignedProbability(priceAnalysis?.lock?.edge);
const lockAvailable = Boolean(priceAnalysis?.lock?.available && lockEdge != null);
const quoteSource =
linkedMarketBucket?.quote_source ||
marketScan?.yes_token?.quote_source ||
marketScan?.no_token?.quote_source ||
null;
const quoteAgeMs =
linkedMarketBucket?.quote_age_ms ??
marketScan?.yes_token?.quote_age_ms ??
marketScan?.no_token?.quote_age_ms;
const quoteSourceLabel =
quoteSource === "polymarket_ws"
? locale === "en-US"
? `WS live${quoteAgeMs != null ? ` · ${Math.max(0, Math.round(Number(quoteAgeMs) / 1000))}s` : ""}`
: `WS 实时${quoteAgeMs != null ? ` · ${Math.max(0, Math.round(Number(quoteAgeMs) / 1000))}秒` : ""}`
: locale === "en-US"
? "CLOB fallback"
: "CLOB 兜底";
const actionableEdge = normalizeSignedProbability(preferredPriceView?.edge);
const linkedContractOverpriced =
Boolean(linkedMarketBucket) &&
linkedBestSide === "no" &&
linkedMarketProbability != null &&
linkedMarketAsk != null &&
linkedMarketEdge != null &&
linkedMarketEdge < 0 &&
linkedNoEdge != null &&
linkedNoEdge > 0;
const linkedContractOverpay =
linkedContractOverpriced && linkedMarketProbability != null && linkedMarketAsk != null
? Number(linkedMarketAsk) - linkedMarketProbability
: null;
const actionText =
!marketScan
? locale === "en-US"
? "Waiting"
: "等待"
: !marketScan.available
? locale === "en-US"
? "No market"
: "无盘口"
: actionableEdge == null
? locale === "en-US"
? "No quote"
: "无报价"
: actionableEdge >= 0.02
? linkedContractOverpriced
? locale === "en-US"
? "Overpriced"
: "市场偏贵"
: locale === "en-US"
? `Watch ${preferredSideLabel}`
: `可关注 ${preferredSideLabel}`
: actionableEdge > 0
? linkedContractOverpriced
? locale === "en-US"
? "Slightly overpriced"
: "略偏贵"
: locale === "en-US"
? `Small ${preferredSideLabel}`
: `${preferredSideLabel} 优势较小`
: locale === "en-US"
? "No clear edge"
: "暂无优势";
const actionNote =
linkedContractOverpriced && linkedContractOverpay != null
? locale === "en-US"
? `YES above model by ${formatSignedPercent(linkedContractOverpay)}`
: `YES 高于模型 ${formatSignedPercent(linkedContractOverpay)}`
: actionableEdge != null && actionableEdge >= 0.02
? locale === "en-US"
? `${formatSignedPercent(actionableEdge)} vs ask`
: `相对买价 ${formatSignedPercent(actionableEdge)}`
: locale === "en-US"
? `${preferredSideLabel} ${formatSignedPercent(actionableEdge)}`
: `${preferredSideLabel} ${formatSignedPercent(actionableEdge)}`;
return (
<section className="prob-section">
{!hideTitle && <h3>{t("section.probability")}</h3>}
<div className="prob-bars">
<div className="prob-calibration-head">
<div>
<span className="prob-source-chip">{probabilityEngineLabel}</span>
<strong>
{displayTopLabel && displayTopProbabilityText
? locale === "en-US"
? displayUsesMarketBuckets
? `${displayTopLabel} is the top displayed contract bucket at ${displayTopProbabilityText}`
: `${displayTopLabel} is the top single bucket at ${displayTopProbabilityText}`
: displayUsesMarketBuckets
? `${displayTopLabel} 为当前显示分布最高,${displayTopProbabilityText}`
: `${displayTopLabel} 单点最高,${displayTopProbabilityText}`
: locale === "en-US"
? "Awaiting calibrated buckets"
: "等待校准概率桶"}
</strong>
</div>
<p>
{hasLgbmProbability
? locale === "en-US"
? "LGBM is the learned intraday adjustment; raw model points below are only diagnostic."
: "LGBM 作为日内学习校准项;下方原始模型落点仅用于诊断。"
: locale === "en-US"
? "Using the calibrated probability distribution; raw model points below are not probabilities."
: "使用校准后的概率分布;下方原始模型落点不是概率。"}
</p>
</div>
{marketScan?.available && (topMarketBucketText || marketYesText) && (
<div
style={{
color: "var(--text-secondary)",
fontSize: "11px",
marginBottom: "6px",
}}
>
{useMarketTopBuckets
? locale === "en-US"
? `Market reference only: top traded bucket ${topMarketBucketText}`
: `市场仅作参考:最高交易温度桶 ${topMarketBucketText}`
: locale === "en-US"
? `Market reference only: this bucket ${marketYesText}`
: `市场仅作参考:该温度桶 ${marketYesText}`}
</div>
)}
<div className="prob-distribution-panel">
<div className="prob-distribution-head">
<span>
{locale === "en-US"
? "EMOS probability distribution"
: "EMOS 概率分布"}
</span>
<em>
{marketContractRows.length > 0
? locale === "en-US"
? "market buckets are aggregated from single-degree EMOS buckets"
: "市场合约桶由单点 EMOS 概率聚合"
: locale === "en-US"
? "calibrated temperature buckets"
: "校准后的温度桶"}
</em>
</div>
{probabilityRows.length === 0 ? (
<EmptyState text={t("section.noProb")} />
) : (
probabilityRows.map((row, index) => {
const probability = Math.round(Number(row.probability || 0) * 100);
const rowMarketBucket = row.marketBucket;
const rowMarketPrice =
rowMarketBucket?.yes_buy ?? rowMarketBucket?.market_price ?? null;
const yesPriceText = toPriceCents(rowMarketPrice);
const marketTagFinal = rowMarketBucket
? locale === "en-US"
? `YES ask: ${yesPriceText || "--"}`
: `YES 买价: ${yesPriceText || "--"}`
: null;
return (
<div
key={`${row.key || index}`}
className="prob-row"
>
<div className="prob-label">{row.label}</div>
<div className="prob-bar-track">
<div
className={clsx("prob-bar-fill", `rank-${index}`)}
style={{ width: `${Math.max(probability, 8)}%` }}
>
{probability}%
</div>
</div>
{marketTagFinal && (
<div
className={clsx(
"prob-market-inline",
rowMarketBucket ? "yes" : "no",
)}
>
{marketTagFinal}
</div>
)}
</div>
);
})
)}
</div>
{hasPriceAnalysis && (
<div className="prob-price-card">
<div className="prob-price-head">
<span>
{locale === "en-US" ? "Probability x Price" : "概率 x 价格联动"}
</span>
<strong>
{!marketScan
? locale === "en-US"
? "Waiting for market layer"
: "等待市场层"
: !marketScan.available
? locale === "en-US"
? "No matched active market"
: "未匹配到活跃盘口"
: linkedMarketBucket
? locale === "en-US"
? `${actionText}: ${linkedContractLabel || "contract bucket"}`
: `${actionText}${linkedContractLabel || "合约桶"}`
: preferredPriceView?.edge != null
? locale === "en-US"
? `${actionText} · edge ${formatSignedPercent(preferredPriceView.edge)}`
: `${actionText} · 优势 ${formatSignedPercent(preferredPriceView.edge)}`
: locale === "en-US"
? "Waiting for executable quote"
: "等待可执行报价"}
</strong>
</div>
<div className="prob-price-grid">
<div>
<span>{locale === "en-US" ? "Contract bucket" : "合约桶口径"}</span>
<strong>{linkedContractLabel || topProbabilityLabel || "--"}</strong>
<em>{linkedMarketProbabilityText || topProbabilityText || "--"}</em>
</div>
<div>
<span>{locale === "en-US" ? "Candidate" : "可关注"}</span>
<strong>{actionText}</strong>
<em>{actionNote}</em>
</div>
<div>
<span>{locale === "en-US" ? "YES price" : "YES 价格"}</span>
<strong>{toPriceCents(yesDisplayPrice) || "--"}</strong>
<em>
{locale === "en-US"
? `edge ${formatSignedPercent(yesDisplayEdge)}`
: `优势 ${formatSignedPercent(yesDisplayEdge)}`}
</em>
</div>
<div>
<span>{locale === "en-US" ? "NO price" : "NO 价格"}</span>
<strong>{toPriceCents(noDisplayPrice) || "--"}</strong>
<em>
{locale === "en-US"
? `edge ${formatSignedPercent(noDisplayEdge)}`
: `优势 ${formatSignedPercent(noDisplayEdge)}`}
</em>
</div>
</div>
<p>
{locale === "en-US"
? `Read-only comparison between model probability and executable ask; it does not place orders. Source: ${quoteSourceLabel}${lockAvailable ? ` · lock ${formatSignedPercent(lockEdge)}` : ""}.`
: `只比较模型概率与可执行买价;系统不会下单。来源:${quoteSourceLabel}${lockAvailable ? ` · 锁价 ${formatSignedPercent(lockEdge)}` : ""}。`}
</p>
</div>
)}
{modelVoteHint && (
<div className="prob-model-hint">
<span>
{locale === "en-US" ? "Raw model points" : "原始模型落点"}
</span>
<strong>{modelVoteHint}</strong>
<em>
{locale === "en-US"
? "diagnostic only; EMOS and contract rows use calibrated probabilities"
: "仅作诊断;EMOS 与合约行使用校准概率"}
</em>
</div>
)}
</div>
</section>
);
}
export function ModelForecast({
detail,
hideTitle = false,
targetDate,
}: {
detail: CityDetail;
hideTitle?: boolean;
targetDate?: string | null;
}) {
const { locale, t } = useI18n();
const view = getModelView(detail, targetDate);
const modelsMap = { ...view.models };
const modelMetadata =
detail.source_forecasts?.open_meteo_multi_model?.model_metadata || {};
const modelEntries = Object.entries(modelsMap).filter(
([, value]) =>
value !== null && value !== undefined && Number.isFinite(Number(value)),
);
const hasSingleModelOnly = modelEntries.length === 1;
// 如果没有任何数值,给出提示
if (modelEntries.length === 0) {
return (
<section className="models-section">
{!hideTitle && <h3>{t("section.models")}</h3>}
<div className="model-bars">
<EmptyState text={t("section.noModels")} />
</div>
</section>
);
}
const numericValues = modelEntries.map(([, value]) => Number(value));
const comparisonValues =
view.deb != null ? [...numericValues, Number(view.deb)] : numericValues;
const minValue = comparisonValues.length
? Math.min(...comparisonValues) - 1
: 0;
const maxValue = comparisonValues.length
? Math.max(...comparisonValues) + 1
: 1;
const range = Math.max(maxValue - minValue, 1);
const sortedEntries = modelEntries.sort(
(a, b) => Number(b[1] || 0) - Number(a[1] || 0),
);
const groupedEntries = sortedEntries.reduce(
(acc, [name, value]) => {
const group = getModelGroupMeta(name, modelMetadata, locale);
const existing = acc.find((item) => item.key === group.key);
const entry = {
metaLine: formatModelMetaLine(name, modelMetadata, locale),
name,
value: Number(value),
};
if (existing) {
existing.entries.push(entry);
} else {
acc.push({ ...group, entries: [entry] });
}
return acc;
},
[] as Array<{
entries: Array<{ metaLine: string; name: string; value: number }>;
key: string;
label: string;
order: number;
tone: string;
}>,
).sort((a, b) => a.order - b.order);
const spread =
numericValues.length >= 2
? Math.max(...numericValues) - Math.min(...numericValues)
: null;
const metadataSource =
detail.source_forecasts?.open_meteo_multi_model?.provider === "open-meteo"
? "Open-Meteo"
: null;
return (
<section className="models-section">
{!hideTitle && <h3>{t("section.models")}</h3>}
<div className="model-bars">
<div className="model-stack-summary">
<span>
{locale === "en-US" ? "Available models" : "可用模型"} ·{" "}
<strong>{modelEntries.length}</strong>
</span>
<span>
{locale === "en-US" ? "Spread" : "分歧"} ·{" "}
<strong>
{spread != null
? `${spread.toFixed(1)}${detail.temp_symbol}`
: "--"}
</strong>
</span>
{metadataSource && (
<span>
{locale === "en-US" ? "API" : "接口"} ·{" "}
<strong>{metadataSource}</strong>
</span>
)}
</div>
{hasSingleModelOnly && (
<div
style={{
color: "var(--text-secondary)",
fontSize: "11px",
marginBottom: "8px",
}}
>
{locale === "en-US"
? "Single-model fallback: waiting for the rest of the model cluster."
: "当前处于单模型回退,其他模型结果还没回传。"}
</div>
)}
{groupedEntries.map((group) => (
<div
key={group.key}
className={clsx("model-group", `model-group-${group.tone}`)}
>
<div className="model-group-heading">
<span>{group.label}</span>
<em>{group.entries.length}</em>
</div>
{group.entries.map(({ metaLine, name, value }) => {
const width = ((value - minValue) / range) * 100;
const debLine =
view.deb != null
? ((Number(view.deb) - minValue) / range) * 100
: null;
return (
<div key={name} className="model-row model-row-rich">
<div className="model-name" title={metaLine || name}>
<strong>{name}</strong>
{metaLine && <span>{metaLine}</span>}
</div>
<div className="model-bar-track">
<div
className="model-bar-fill"
style={{ width: `${width}%` }}
/>
<span className="model-bar-value">
{value}
{detail.temp_symbol}
</span>
{debLine != null && (
<div
className="model-deb-line"
style={{ left: `${debLine}%` }}
/>
)}
</div>
</div>
);
})}
</div>
))}
{view.deb != null && (
<div
className="model-row"
style={{
borderTop: "1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.06)",
marginTop: "6px",
paddingTop: "6px",
}}
>
<div
className="model-name"
style={{ color: "var(--accent-cyan)", fontWeight: 700 }}
>
DEB
</div>
<div className="model-bar-track">
<div
className="model-bar-fill deb"
style={{
width: `${((Number(view.deb) - minValue) / range) * 100}%`,
}}
/>
<span className="model-bar-value deb">
{Number(view.deb)}
{detail.temp_symbol}
</span>
</div>
</div>
)}
</div>
</section>
);
}
export function ForecastTable() {
const store = useDashboardStore();
const { data } = useCityData();
const { locale, t } = useI18n();
if (!data) return null;
const daily = data.forecast?.daily || [];
const isSparseDaily = daily.length <= 1;
const isForecastCompleting =
store.loadingState.cityDetail &&
(data.detail_depth !== "full" || isSparseDaily);
const resolveForecastTemp = (date: string, fallback: number | null | undefined) => {
const debPrediction = data.multi_model_daily?.[date]?.deb?.prediction;
return debPrediction ?? fallback ?? null;
};
return (
<section className="forecast-section">
<h3>{t("forecast.title")}</h3>
{isSparseDaily && (
<div className="forecast-inline-note">
{isForecastCompleting
? locale === "en-US"
? "Multi-day forecast is syncing. Only the current-day card has arrived."
: "多日预报同步中,当前只到达当日卡片。"
: locale === "en-US"
? "Only the current-day forecast is available right now."
: "当前只收到当日预报,其他日期结果暂未回传。"}
</div>
)}
<div className="forecast-table">
{daily.length === 0 ? (
<EmptyState text={t("forecast.empty")} />
) : (
daily.map((day, index) => {
const isToday = day.date === data.local_date || index === 0;
const isSelected =
(isToday &&
store.forecastModalMode === "today" &&
Boolean(store.futureModalDate)) ||
(store.forecastModalMode !== "today" &&
store.futureModalDate === day.date) ||
store.selectedForecastDate === day.date;
return (
<button
key={day.date}
type="button"
className={clsx(
"forecast-day",
isToday && "today",
isSelected && "selected",
)}
onClick={() => {
startTransition(() => {
if (isToday) {
store.openTodayModal();
return;
}
store.openFutureModal(day.date);
});
}}
>
<div className="f-date">
{isToday
? t("forecast.today")
: day.date.substring(5).replace("-", "/")}
</div>
<div className="f-temp">
{resolveForecastTemp(day.date, day.max_temp)}
{data.temp_symbol}
</div>
</button>
);
}).concat(
isForecastCompleting
? Array.from({ length: Math.max(0, 5 - daily.length) }).map((_, index) => (
<button
key={`forecast-sync-${index}`}
type="button"
className="forecast-day forecast-day-sync"
disabled
>
<div className="f-date">
{locale === "en-US" ? "Syncing" : "同步中"}
</div>
<div className="f-temp">--</div>
</button>
))
: [],
)
)}
</div>
</section>
);
}
export function RiskInfo() {
const { data } = useCityData();
const { t } = useI18n();
if (!data) return null;
const risk = data.risk || {};
return (
<section className="risk-section">
<h3>{t("section.risk")}</h3>
<div className="risk-info">
{!risk.airport ? (
<span style={{ color: "var(--text-muted)" }}>
{t("section.noRiskProfile")}
</span>
) : (
<>
<div className="risk-row">
<span className="risk-label">{t("section.airport")}</span>
<span>
{risk.airport} ({risk.icao})
</span>
</div>
<div className="risk-row">
<span className="risk-label">{t("section.distance")}</span>
<span>{risk.distance_km}km</span>
</div>
{risk.warning && (
<div className="risk-row">
<span className="risk-label">{t("section.note")}</span>
<span>{risk.warning}</span>
</div>
)}
</>
)}
</div>
</section>
);
}