2569718930@qq.com
90 lines
2.1 KiB
JSON
90 lines
2.1 KiB
JSON
{
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"version": "emos-20260402162744",
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"trained_at": "2026-04-02T16:27:44.114836+00:00",
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"global": {
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"mu": {
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"intercept": 1.54512641,
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"raw_mu_coef": 2.96105052,
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"deb_coef": -1.53260815,
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"ens_median_coef": -0.72849343,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": 9.52557689
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},
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"sigma": {
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"intercept": 0.67432479,
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"raw_sigma_coef": 0.6936692,
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"spread_coef": 0.08877484,
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"peak_flag_coef": -0.58374835,
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"max_so_far_gap_coef": -0.8172477
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}
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},
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"sigma_constraints": {
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"min_ratio": 0.85,
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"max_ratio": 1.35,
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"absolute_min": 0.25,
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"absolute_max": 3.0
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},
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"selection_guardrails": {
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"max_mae_increase": 0.02,
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"max_bucket_hit_drop": 0.01,
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"max_bucket_brier_increase": 0.05
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},
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"blending": {
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"alpha_mu": 0.0,
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"alpha_sigma": 0.05
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},
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"cities": {
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"ankara": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 1.271844,
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"sigma_scale": 1.477644,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"hong kong": {
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"samples": 4,
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"mu_bias": 1.32008,
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"sigma_scale": 1.04023,
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"confidence": 0.5
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},
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"milan": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -3.935178,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"shanghai": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 1.810495,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"taipei": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": 3.577828,
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"sigma_scale": 2.0,
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"confidence": 0.375
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},
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"warsaw": {
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"samples": 3,
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"mu_bias": -0.625333,
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"sigma_scale": 1.25968,
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"confidence": 0.375
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}
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},
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"metrics": {
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"sample_count": 54,
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"mean_crps": 3.792563,
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"legacy_mean_crps": 4.308029,
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"legacy_mean_mae": 4.51037,
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"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.537037,
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"legacy_bucket_brier": 0.833294,
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"selected_mean_crps": 4.249828,
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"selected_mean_mae": 4.51037,
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"selected_bucket_hit_rate": 0.555556,
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"selected_bucket_brier": 0.831872,
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"selected_score": 5.991436,
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"legacy_score": 6.078481,
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"filled_actual_from_history": 0,
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"settlement_history_city_count": 30
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},
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"source": "artifacts\\probability_calibration\\default.json"
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} |