2569718930@qq.com
174 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
174 lines
3.8 KiB
JSON
{
|
|
"version": "emos-20260320130245",
|
|
"trained_at": "2026-03-20T13:02:45.903772+00:00",
|
|
"global": {
|
|
"mu": {
|
|
"intercept": -1.57406048,
|
|
"raw_mu_coef": 2.80583627,
|
|
"deb_coef": -0.06819634,
|
|
"ens_median_coef": -1.81560215,
|
|
"max_so_far_gap_coef": 0.0
|
|
},
|
|
"sigma": {
|
|
"intercept": 0.67509915,
|
|
"raw_sigma_coef": 0.14431833,
|
|
"spread_coef": 0.14431833,
|
|
"peak_flag_coef": 0.0,
|
|
"max_so_far_gap_coef": 0.0
|
|
}
|
|
},
|
|
"sigma_constraints": {
|
|
"min_ratio": 0.85,
|
|
"max_ratio": 1.35,
|
|
"absolute_min": 0.25,
|
|
"absolute_max": 3.0
|
|
},
|
|
"selection_guardrails": {
|
|
"max_mae_increase": 0.02,
|
|
"max_bucket_hit_drop": 0.01,
|
|
"max_bucket_brier_increase": 0.05
|
|
},
|
|
"blending": {
|
|
"alpha_mu": 0.0,
|
|
"alpha_sigma": 0.0
|
|
},
|
|
"cities": {
|
|
"ankara": {
|
|
"samples": 7,
|
|
"mu_bias": 0.566273,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.875
|
|
},
|
|
"london": {
|
|
"samples": 6,
|
|
"mu_bias": 0.489961,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.75
|
|
},
|
|
"new york": {
|
|
"samples": 4,
|
|
"mu_bias": 1.852451,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 0.830444,
|
|
"confidence": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
"paris": {
|
|
"samples": 7,
|
|
"mu_bias": 0.308599,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.875
|
|
},
|
|
"seoul": {
|
|
"samples": 6,
|
|
"mu_bias": -1.486024,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 1.569585,
|
|
"confidence": 0.75
|
|
},
|
|
"toronto": {
|
|
"samples": 5,
|
|
"mu_bias": -0.734395,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 1.656751,
|
|
"confidence": 0.625
|
|
},
|
|
"buenos aires": {
|
|
"samples": 5,
|
|
"mu_bias": -1.753334,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 1.831739,
|
|
"confidence": 0.625
|
|
},
|
|
"wellington": {
|
|
"samples": 6,
|
|
"mu_bias": 0.350757,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 1.377974,
|
|
"confidence": 0.75
|
|
},
|
|
"chicago": {
|
|
"samples": 4,
|
|
"mu_bias": 3.01062,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 0.825575,
|
|
"confidence": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
"sao paulo": {
|
|
"samples": 5,
|
|
"mu_bias": 1.632457,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.625
|
|
},
|
|
"dallas": {
|
|
"samples": 4,
|
|
"mu_bias": 3.77714,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 0.796874,
|
|
"confidence": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
"miami": {
|
|
"samples": 5,
|
|
"mu_bias": -4.868741,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.625
|
|
},
|
|
"atlanta": {
|
|
"samples": 5,
|
|
"mu_bias": -7.648823,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.625
|
|
},
|
|
"seattle": {
|
|
"samples": 4,
|
|
"mu_bias": 4.058619,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
"lucknow": {
|
|
"samples": 4,
|
|
"mu_bias": 3.257609,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.5
|
|
},
|
|
"munich": {
|
|
"samples": 6,
|
|
"mu_bias": -0.780811,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.75
|
|
},
|
|
"hong kong": {
|
|
"samples": 3,
|
|
"mu_bias": -0.492675,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.375
|
|
},
|
|
"taipei": {
|
|
"samples": 3,
|
|
"mu_bias": 1.462462,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 1.132834,
|
|
"confidence": 0.375
|
|
},
|
|
"milan": {
|
|
"samples": 3,
|
|
"mu_bias": -2.729203,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 2.0,
|
|
"confidence": 0.375
|
|
},
|
|
"warsaw": {
|
|
"samples": 3,
|
|
"mu_bias": 0.349319,
|
|
"sigma_scale": 1.337949,
|
|
"confidence": 0.375
|
|
}
|
|
},
|
|
"metrics": {
|
|
"sample_count": 105,
|
|
"mean_crps": 2.923823,
|
|
"legacy_mean_crps": 2.793938,
|
|
"legacy_mean_mae": 2.721143,
|
|
"legacy_bucket_hit_rate": 0.695238,
|
|
"legacy_bucket_brier": 0.775463,
|
|
"selected_mean_crps": 2.700275,
|
|
"selected_mean_mae": 2.721143,
|
|
"selected_bucket_hit_rate": 0.695238,
|
|
"selected_bucket_brier": 0.765459,
|
|
"selected_score": 4.003626,
|
|
"legacy_score": 4.104792,
|
|
"filled_actual_from_history": 2,
|
|
"settlement_history_city_count": 30
|
|
},
|
|
"source": "artifacts\\probability_calibration\\default.json"
|
|
} |