"use client"; import { useDashboardStore } from "@/hooks/useDashboardStore"; import { useI18n } from "@/hooks/useI18n"; const GUIDE_CARDS = { "zh-CN": [ { body: "Dynamic Ensemble Blending 是系统的核心预测层。它不是对 ECMWF、GFS、ICON、GEM、JMA 等模型的简单平均,而是结合近期样本表现、当前实况与城市偏置后得到的动态加权结果。", title: "DEB 动态融合预测", }, { body: "右侧的结算概率分布基于 DEB 预测值与多模型离散度动态计算。μ 代表当前分布中心,会随着模型、实况和时间变化而变化,不是固定结算值。", title: "结算概率引擎", }, { body: "Polymarket 结算逻辑以机场 METAR 为主。系统优先使用 Aviation Weather API 的机场报文与原始 METAR,并区分观测时间与接收时间,避免把发布延迟误认为温度变化。", title: "结算点与主观测源", }, { body: "Ankara 不走通用城市逻辑。结算主站以 LTAC / Esenboğa 为准,周边领先信号优先参考 Turkish MGM 站网,其中 Ankara (Bölge/Center) 是重点监控站,不用 Etimesgut 代替。", title: "Ankara 专属增强", }, { body: "点击多日预报后的模态框,主要用于分析下一个交易日。6-48 小时趋势以 weather.gov 和 Open-Meteo 为主,部分城市补充 Meteoblue;0-2 小时临近判断优先看 METAR 与周边站。", title: "未来日期分析", }, { body: "历史准确率对账只统计已结算样本。网页端采用近 15 天滚动视图,不把当天尚未结算的样本算入胜率和 MAE。", title: "历史对账规则", }, ], "en-US": [ { body: "Dynamic Ensemble Blending (DEB) is the core prediction layer. It is not a simple average across ECMWF/GFS/ICON/GEM/JMA, but a dynamically weighted blend adjusted by recent model performance, current observations, and city bias.", title: "DEB Dynamic Fusion", }, { body: "Settlement probability distribution is dynamically computed from DEB forecast and model spread. μ is the current distribution center and shifts with model updates, observations, and time.", title: "Settlement Probability Engine", }, { body: "Polymarket settlement follows airport METAR observations. The system prioritizes Aviation Weather API raw METAR and distinguishes observation time from receipt time to avoid misreading publication delay as temperature change.", title: "Settlement Source Logic", }, { body: "Ankara does not follow the generic city path. LTAC / Esenboğa is the settlement station, with Turkish MGM network for leading signals. Ankara (Bölge/Center) is a key station and is not replaced by Etimesgut.", title: "Ankara-specific Enhancement", }, { body: "The multi-day modal focuses on next-session analysis. 6-48h trend mainly relies on weather.gov and Open-Meteo, with Meteoblue in selected cities; 0-2h nowcast prioritizes METAR and nearby stations.", title: "Future-date Analysis", }, { body: "History reconciliation only uses settled samples. The web dashboard uses a rolling 15-day window and excludes same-day unsettled samples from hit-rate and MAE.", title: "History Rules", }, ], } as const; export function GuideModal() { const store = useDashboardStore(); const { locale, t } = useI18n(); if (!store.isGuideOpen) return null; return (
{card.body}