Show market buckets with model probability
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+30
-4
@@ -59,6 +59,16 @@ export function runTests() {
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{ value: 33, model_probability: 0.31, range: "[32.5~33.5)" },
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],
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probability_engine: "legacy",
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all_buckets: [
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{
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label: "31.5-32.5°C",
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model_probability: 0.42,
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},
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{
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label: "33.5-34.5°C",
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model_probability: 0.08,
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},
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],
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},
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{
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city: "madrid",
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@@ -131,6 +141,18 @@ export function runTests() {
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parisRow.topProbabilityBucketKey === "31.5-32.5°C",
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"model summary should map probability buckets and identify the top bucket",
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);
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assert(parisRow.marketMatches.length === 2, "model summary should keep every Polymarket tradable bucket");
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assert(
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parisRow.marketMatches[0].label === "31.5-32.5°C" &&
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parisRow.marketMatches[0].modelProbability === 0.42 &&
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parisRow.marketMatches[0].marketUrl === null,
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"model summary should expose model probability for market-matched buckets without requiring market price",
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);
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assert(
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parisRow.marketMatches[1].label === "33.5-34.5°C" &&
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parisRow.marketMatches[1].modelProbability === 0.08,
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"model summary should keep low-probability tradable buckets for manual NO review",
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);
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assert(formatModelSummaryProbability(null) === "—", "missing probability should render as an em dash");
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assert(formatModelSummaryProbability(0.424) === "42%", "probability buckets should render as rounded percentages");
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assert(formatModelSummaryTemp(null, "°C") === "—", "missing model temperatures should render as an em dash");
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@@ -199,10 +221,14 @@ export function runTests() {
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modelSummarySource.includes("hasModelSummaryForecastData") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("Gaussian μ") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("高斯 μ") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("Probability Distribution") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("概率分布") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("topProbabilityBucketKey") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("probabilityBuckets.map") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("Market Match") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("市场匹配") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("marketMatches.map") &&
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!modelSummarySource.includes("formatModelSummaryEdge") &&
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!modelSummarySource.includes("marketProbability") &&
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!modelSummarySource.includes("edgePercent") &&
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!modelSummarySource.includes("Probability Distribution") &&
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!modelSummarySource.includes("概率分布") &&
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!modelSummarySource.includes("probabilityColumns") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("min-w-[96px]") &&
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modelSummarySource.includes("Local Time") &&
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