diff --git a/extension/manifest.json b/extension/manifest.json
index 425d4953..3f07ae22 100644
--- a/extension/manifest.json
+++ b/extension/manifest.json
@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@
"manifest_version": 3,
"name": "PolyWeather Side Panel",
"description": "PolyWeather 右侧城市卡片(浏览器侧边栏)",
- "version": "0.1.4",
+ "version": "0.1.5",
"icons": {
"16": "icon-16.png",
"32": "icon-32.png",
diff --git a/frontend/components/dashboard/HistoryModal.tsx b/frontend/components/dashboard/HistoryModal.tsx
index 93e693e5..43734d07 100644
--- a/frontend/components/dashboard/HistoryModal.tsx
+++ b/frontend/components/dashboard/HistoryModal.tsx
@@ -155,7 +155,7 @@ function HistoryChart() {
export function HistoryModal() {
const store = useDashboardStore();
- const { t } = useI18n();
+ const { t, locale } = useI18n();
const { data, error, isLoading, isOpen } = useHistoryData();
const isPro = store.proAccess.subscriptionActive;
const isProLoading = store.proAccess.loading;
@@ -164,6 +164,19 @@ export function HistoryModal() {
() => getHistorySummary(data, store.selectedDetail?.local_date),
[data, store.selectedDetail?.local_date],
);
+ const settledPeakRows = useMemo(
+ () =>
+ summary.recentData
+ .filter(
+ (row) =>
+ row.actual != null &&
+ row.actual_peak_time &&
+ row.deb_at_peak_minus_12h != null,
+ )
+ .slice(-8)
+ .reverse(),
+ [summary.recentData],
+ );
if (!isOpen) return null;
@@ -283,6 +296,106 @@ export function HistoryModal() {
)}
{!isLoading && !error && }
+ {!isLoading && !error && settledPeakRows.length > 0 && (
+
+
+ {locale === "en-US"
+ ? "Peak-12h DEB Reference (Approx.)"
+ : "峰值前 12 小时 DEB 参考(近似)"}
+
+
+ {settledPeakRows.map((row) => (
+
+
+ {row.date}
+
+
+
+ {locale === "en-US" ? "Peak ref" : "峰值参考"}:{" "}
+
+ {row.actual}
+ {store.selectedDetail?.temp_symbol || "°C"} @{" "}
+ {row.actual_peak_time}
+
+
+
+ {locale === "en-US" ? "DEB@-12h" : "峰值前12小时 DEB"}:{" "}
+
+ {row.deb_at_peak_minus_12h}
+ {store.selectedDetail?.temp_symbol || "°C"} @{" "}
+ {row.deb_at_peak_minus_12h_time}
+
+
+
+ {locale === "en-US" ? "Actual" : "最终实测"}:{" "}
+
+ {row.actual}
+ {store.selectedDetail?.temp_symbol || "°C"}
+
+
+
+ {locale === "en-US" ? "Error" : "误差"}:{" "}
+ 0
+ ? "#f59e0b"
+ : "#34d399",
+ }}
+ >
+ {row.deb_at_peak_minus_12h_error != null
+ ? `${row.deb_at_peak_minus_12h_error > 0 ? "+" : ""}${row.deb_at_peak_minus_12h_error}${store.selectedDetail?.temp_symbol || "°C"}`
+ : "--"}
+
+
+
+
+ ))}
+
+
+ )}
)}
diff --git a/frontend/lib/dashboard-types.ts b/frontend/lib/dashboard-types.ts
index c8f208f3..25f5e075 100644
--- a/frontend/lib/dashboard-types.ts
+++ b/frontend/lib/dashboard-types.ts
@@ -312,6 +312,10 @@ export interface HistoryPoint {
mu?: number | null;
mgm?: number | null;
forecasts?: Record;
+ actual_peak_time?: string | null;
+ deb_at_peak_minus_12h?: number | null;
+ deb_at_peak_minus_12h_time?: string | null;
+ deb_at_peak_minus_12h_error?: number | null;
}
export interface LoadingState {
diff --git a/src/analysis/probability_snapshot_archive.py b/src/analysis/probability_snapshot_archive.py
index 02823cf8..fe554306 100644
--- a/src/analysis/probability_snapshot_archive.py
+++ b/src/analysis/probability_snapshot_archive.py
@@ -86,6 +86,52 @@ def _load_recent_rows(path: str, max_lines: int = DEDUP_SCAN_LINES) -> List[Dict
return rows
+def load_snapshot_rows_for_day(
+ city_name: str,
+ target_date: str,
+ archive_path: Optional[str] = None,
+) -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
+ city_key = str(city_name or "").strip().lower()
+ date_key = str(target_date or "").strip()
+ if not city_key or not date_key:
+ return []
+
+ mode = get_state_storage_mode()
+ if mode == STATE_STORAGE_SQLITE:
+ return _snapshot_repo.load_rows_by_city_date(city_key, date_key)
+
+ root_dir = os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))))
+ path = archive_path or os.path.join(root_dir, "data", "probability_training_snapshots.jsonl")
+ if not os.path.exists(path):
+ if mode == STATE_STORAGE_DUAL:
+ return _snapshot_repo.load_rows_by_city_date(city_key, date_key)
+ return []
+
+ rows: List[Dict[str, Any]] = []
+ try:
+ with open(path, "r", encoding="utf-8") as fh:
+ for line in fh:
+ line = line.strip()
+ if not line:
+ continue
+ try:
+ row = json.loads(line)
+ except Exception:
+ continue
+ if not isinstance(row, dict):
+ continue
+ if str(row.get("city") or "").strip().lower() != city_key:
+ continue
+ if str(row.get("date") or "").strip() != date_key:
+ continue
+ rows.append(row)
+ except Exception:
+ return []
+
+ rows.sort(key=lambda row: str(row.get("timestamp") or ""))
+ return rows
+
+
def _should_skip_append(path: str, payload: Dict[str, Any]) -> bool:
mode = get_state_storage_mode()
if mode == STATE_STORAGE_SQLITE:
diff --git a/src/database/runtime_state.py b/src/database/runtime_state.py
index fba44700..3896ae51 100644
--- a/src/database/runtime_state.py
+++ b/src/database/runtime_state.py
@@ -362,6 +362,25 @@ class ProbabilitySnapshotRepository:
continue
return out
+ def load_rows_by_city_date(self, city: str, target_date: str) -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
+ with self.db.connect() as conn:
+ rows = conn.execute(
+ """
+ SELECT payload_json
+ FROM probability_training_snapshots_store
+ WHERE city = ? AND target_date = ?
+ ORDER BY timestamp ASC, id ASC
+ """,
+ (city, target_date),
+ ).fetchall()
+ out = []
+ for row in rows:
+ try:
+ out.append(json.loads(row["payload_json"]))
+ except Exception:
+ continue
+ return out
+
def load_all_rows(self) -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
with self.db.connect() as conn:
rows = conn.execute(
diff --git a/web/routes.py b/web/routes.py
index 5776f3fc..32d03c71 100644
--- a/web/routes.py
+++ b/web/routes.py
@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
from __future__ import annotations
import os
+from datetime import datetime, timedelta
from typing import Optional
from fastapi import APIRouter, HTTPException, Request
@@ -8,6 +9,7 @@ from fastapi.responses import PlainTextResponse
from loguru import logger
from src.analysis.deb_algorithm import load_history
+from src.analysis.probability_snapshot_archive import load_snapshot_rows_for_day
from src.data_collection.city_registry import ALIASES
from src.utils.metrics import export_prometheus_metrics
from web.analysis_service import (
@@ -47,6 +49,79 @@ from web.core import (
router = APIRouter()
+def _parse_snapshot_dt(value: object) -> Optional[datetime]:
+ raw = str(value or "").strip()
+ if not raw:
+ return None
+ try:
+ return datetime.fromisoformat(raw.replace("Z", "+00:00"))
+ except Exception:
+ return None
+
+
+def _build_peak_minus_12h_reference(
+ *,
+ actual_high: object,
+ snapshots: list[dict],
+) -> dict:
+ actual = _sf(actual_high)
+ if actual is None or not snapshots:
+ return {}
+
+ tolerance = 0.11
+ normalized = []
+ for row in snapshots:
+ if not isinstance(row, dict):
+ continue
+ dt = _parse_snapshot_dt(row.get("timestamp"))
+ if dt is None:
+ continue
+ normalized.append(
+ {
+ "dt": dt,
+ "max_so_far": _sf(row.get("max_so_far")),
+ "deb_prediction": _sf(row.get("deb_prediction")),
+ }
+ )
+ if not normalized:
+ return {}
+
+ peak_row = next(
+ (
+ row
+ for row in normalized
+ if row["max_so_far"] is not None and row["max_so_far"] >= actual - tolerance
+ ),
+ None,
+ )
+ if peak_row is None:
+ return {}
+
+ peak_dt = peak_row["dt"]
+ anchor_dt = peak_dt - timedelta(hours=12)
+ anchor_row = None
+ for row in normalized:
+ if row["dt"] <= anchor_dt and row["deb_prediction"] is not None:
+ anchor_row = row
+ elif row["dt"] > anchor_dt:
+ break
+
+ peak_time = peak_dt.strftime("%H:%M")
+ result = {
+ "actual_peak_time": peak_time,
+ }
+ if anchor_row and anchor_row["deb_prediction"] is not None:
+ deb_value = float(anchor_row["deb_prediction"])
+ result.update(
+ {
+ "deb_at_peak_minus_12h": deb_value,
+ "deb_at_peak_minus_12h_time": anchor_row["dt"].strftime("%H:%M"),
+ "deb_at_peak_minus_12h_error": round(deb_value - actual, 1),
+ }
+ )
+ return result
+
+
def _normalize_city_or_404(name: str) -> str:
city = name.lower().strip().replace("-", " ")
city = ALIASES.get(city, city)
@@ -138,6 +213,11 @@ async def city_history(request: Request, name: str):
act = rec.get("actual_high")
deb = rec.get("deb_prediction")
mu = rec.get("mu")
+ snapshots = load_snapshot_rows_for_day(city, day)
+ peak_ref = _build_peak_minus_12h_reference(
+ actual_high=act,
+ snapshots=snapshots,
+ )
forecasts_raw = rec.get("forecasts", {}) or {}
forecasts = {}
if isinstance(forecasts_raw, dict):
@@ -155,6 +235,10 @@ async def city_history(request: Request, name: str):
"mu": float(mu) if mu is not None else None,
"mgm": float(mgm) if mgm is not None else None,
"forecasts": forecasts,
+ "actual_peak_time": peak_ref.get("actual_peak_time"),
+ "deb_at_peak_minus_12h": peak_ref.get("deb_at_peak_minus_12h"),
+ "deb_at_peak_minus_12h_time": peak_ref.get("deb_at_peak_minus_12h_time"),
+ "deb_at_peak_minus_12h_error": peak_ref.get("deb_at_peak_minus_12h_error"),
}
)