完善后台管理功能：订阅管理增强、训练精度面板、支付记录查询

.env.example

@@ -181,9 +181,9 @@ POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_RPC_URL=https://polygon-rpc.com
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_RPC_URLS=https://polygon-rpc.com
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_RECEIVER_CONTRACT=
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_DIRECT_RECEIVER_ADDRESS=
-POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_TOKEN_ADDRESS=0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174
+POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_TOKEN_ADDRESS=0x3c499c542cef5e3811e1192ce70d8cc03d5c3359
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_TOKEN_DECIMALS=6
-POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_ACCEPTED_TOKENS_JSON=[{"code":"usdc_e","symbol":"USDC.e","name":"USDC.e (PoS)","address":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS","is_default":true},{"code":"usdc","symbol":"USDC","name":"Native USDC","address":"0x3c499c542cef5e3811e1192ce70d8cc03d5c3359","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS"}]
+POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_ACCEPTED_TOKENS_JSON=[{"code":"usdc","symbol":"USDC","name":"Native USDC","address":"0x3c499c542cef5e3811e1192ce70d8cc03d5c3359","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS","is_default":true},{"code":"usdt","symbol":"USDT","name":"USDT","address":"0xc2132d05d31c914a87c6611c10748aeb04b58e8f","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS"},{"code":"pusd","symbol":"pUSD","name":"Polymarket pUSD","address":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS"}]
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_CONFIRMATIONS=2
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_INTENT_TTL_SEC=1800
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_WALLET_CHALLENGE_TTL_SEC=600

.env.secrets.example

@@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ METEOBLUE_API_KEY=
 NEXT_PUBLIC_WALLETCONNECT_PROJECT_ID=
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_RECEIVER_CONTRACT=
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_DIRECT_RECEIVER_ADDRESS=
-POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_ACCEPTED_TOKENS_JSON=[{"code":"usdc_e","symbol":"USDC.e","name":"USDC.e (PoS)","address":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS","is_default":true},{"code":"usdc","symbol":"USDC","name":"Native USDC","address":"0x3c499c542cef5e3811e1192ce70d8cc03d5c3359","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS"}]
+POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_ACCEPTED_TOKENS_JSON=[{"code":"usdc","symbol":"USDC","name":"Native USDC","address":"0x3c499c542cef5e3811e1192ce70d8cc03d5c3359","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS","is_default":true},{"code":"usdt","symbol":"USDT","name":"USDT","address":"0xc2132d05d31c914a87c6611c10748aeb04b58e8f","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS"},{"code":"pusd","symbol":"pUSD","name":"Polymarket pUSD","address":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","decimals":6,"receiver_contract":"YOUR_RECEIVER_ADDRESS"}]
 POLYWEATHER_PAYMENT_PLAN_CATALOG_JSON=
 
 ########################################

frontend/components/ops/memberships/MembershipsPageClient.tsx

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 "use client";
 
 import { useEffect, useState } from "react";
-import { RefreshCcw } from "lucide-react";
+import { RefreshCcw, X, Search } from "lucide-react";
 import { Card, CardContent, CardHeader, CardTitle } from "@/components/ui/card";
 import { Button } from "@/components/ui/button";
 import { opsApi } from "@/lib/ops-api";
@@ -13,12 +13,30 @@ import {
 
 type GrowthPoint = { date: string; trial: number; paid: number; total: number; cumulative: number };
 
+type SubRow = {
+  id?: string;
+  status?: string;
+  plan_code?: string;
+  source?: string;
+  starts_at?: string;
+  expires_at?: string;
+  created_at?: string;
+  updated_at?: string;
+};
+
 export function MembershipsPageClient() {
   const [loading, setLoading] = useState(true);
   const [memberships, setMemberships] = useState<MembershipEntry[]>([]);
   const [growth, setGrowth] = useState<GrowthPoint[]>([]);
   const [filter, setFilter] = useState<"all" | "paid" | "trial">("all");
 
+  // Detail modal state
+  const [detailEmail, setDetailEmail] = useState<string | null>(null);
+  const [detailUserId, setDetailUserId] = useState<string>("");
+  const [detailRows, setDetailRows] = useState<SubRow[]>([]);
+  const [detailLoading, setDetailLoading] = useState(false);
+  const [detailError, setDetailError] = useState<string>("");
+
   const load = async () => {
     setLoading(true);
     try {
@@ -47,6 +65,46 @@ export function MembershipsPageClient() {
     return code;
   };
 
+  const sourceLabel = (source?: string) => {
+    if (!source) return "—";
+    if (source === "payment_contract") return "链上支付";
+    if (source === "ops_manual_grant") return "后台赠送";
+    if (source === "signup_trial") return "注册体验";
+    if (source === "weekly_reward") return "周奖励";
+    return source;
+  };
+
+  const statusBadge = (status?: string) => {
+    if (status === "active") return <span className="inline-flex items-center rounded-full bg-emerald-500/15 px-2 py-0.5 text-[11px] font-medium text-emerald-400">active</span>;
+    if (status === "expired") return <span className="inline-flex items-center rounded-full bg-red-500/15 px-2 py-0.5 text-[11px] font-medium text-red-400">expired</span>;
+    if (status === "cancelled") return <span className="inline-flex items-center rounded-full bg-slate-500/15 px-2 py-0.5 text-[11px] font-medium text-slate-400">cancelled</span>;
+    return <span className="inline-flex items-center rounded-full bg-slate-500/15 px-2 py-0.5 text-[11px] font-medium text-slate-400">{status ?? "—"}</span>;
+  };
+
+  const openDetail = async (email: string) => {
+    if (!email) return;
+    setDetailEmail(email);
+    setDetailLoading(true);
+    setDetailError("");
+    setDetailRows([]);
+    setDetailUserId("");
+    try {
+      const data = await opsApi.userSubscriptions(email);
+      setDetailUserId(data.user_id ?? "");
+      setDetailRows(data.subscriptions ?? []);
+    } catch (e: unknown) {
+      setDetailError(e instanceof Error ? e.message : "查询失败");
+    }
+    setDetailLoading(false);
+  };
+
+  const closeDetail = () => {
+    setDetailEmail(null);
+    setDetailRows([]);
+    setDetailUserId("");
+    setDetailError("");
+  };
+
   if (loading) return <div className="text-slate-400 animate-pulse">加载中...</div>;
 
   return (
@@ -154,7 +212,7 @@ export function MembershipsPageClient() {
               </thead>
               <tbody>
                 {filtered.map((m, i) => (
-                  <tr key={m.user_id || i} className="border-b border-white/5">
+                  <tr key={m.user_id || i} className="border-b border-white/5 hover:bg-white/[0.02] transition-colors">
                     <td className="py-2.5 px-4">
                       {m.is_trial ? (
                         <span className="inline-flex items-center rounded-full bg-amber-500/15 px-2 py-0.5 text-[11px] font-medium text-amber-400">体验</span>
@@ -162,7 +220,16 @@ export function MembershipsPageClient() {
                         <span className="inline-flex items-center rounded-full bg-emerald-500/15 px-2 py-0.5 text-[11px] font-medium text-emerald-400">付费</span>
                       )}
                     </td>
-                    <td className="py-2.5 px-4 text-white">{m.email ?? "—"}</td>
+                    <td className="py-2.5 px-4">
+                      <button
+                        className="text-white hover:text-cyan-400 transition-colors inline-flex items-center gap-1.5 group"
+                        onClick={() => openDetail(m.email ?? "")}
+                        title="查看全部订阅记录"
+                      >
+                        {m.email ?? "—"}
+                        <Search className="h-3 w-3 opacity-0 group-hover:opacity-60 transition-opacity" />
+                      </button>
+                    </td>
                     <td className="py-2.5 px-4">{planLabel(m.plan_code)}</td>
                     <td className="py-2.5 px-4 text-slate-400 text-xs">{m.starts_at?.slice(0, 10) ?? "—"}</td>
                     <td className="py-2.5 px-4 text-slate-400 text-xs">{m.expires_at?.slice(0, 10) ?? "—"}</td>
@@ -177,6 +244,81 @@ export function MembershipsPageClient() {
           </div>
         </CardContent>
       </Card>
+
+      {/* Subscription detail modal */}
+      {detailEmail && (
+        <div className="fixed inset-0 z-50 flex items-center justify-center bg-black/60 backdrop-blur-sm" onClick={closeDetail}>
+          <div
+            className="bg-[#0f172a] border border-white/10 rounded-2xl shadow-2xl w-full max-w-3xl max-h-[80vh] overflow-hidden flex flex-col"
+            onClick={(e) => e.stopPropagation()}
+          >
+            {/* Header */}
+            <div className="flex items-center justify-between px-6 py-4 border-b border-white/10">
+              <div>
+                <h2 className="text-lg font-bold text-white">订阅记录详情</h2>
+                <p className="text-xs text-slate-400 mt-0.5">
+                  {detailEmail}
+                  {detailUserId && <span className="ml-2 text-slate-500">ID: {detailUserId.slice(0, 8)}…</span>}
+                </p>
+              </div>
+              <button onClick={closeDetail} className="text-slate-400 hover:text-white transition-colors p-1 rounded-lg hover:bg-white/10">
+                <X className="h-5 w-5" />
+              </button>
+            </div>
+
+            {/* Content */}
+            <div className="overflow-y-auto flex-1 px-6 py-4">
+              {detailLoading && (
+                <div className="text-slate-400 animate-pulse py-8 text-center">查询中...</div>
+              )}
+              {detailError && (
+                <div className="text-red-400 py-8 text-center text-sm">{detailError}</div>
+              )}
+              {!detailLoading && !detailError && detailRows.length === 0 && (
+                <div className="text-slate-500 py-8 text-center text-sm">未找到订阅记录</div>
+              )}
+              {!detailLoading && detailRows.length > 0 && (
+                <div className="overflow-x-auto">
+                  <table className="w-full text-sm">
+                    <thead>
+                      <tr className="border-b border-white/10 text-left text-slate-400">
+                        <th className="py-2.5 px-3 font-medium text-xs">状态</th>
+                        <th className="py-2.5 px-3 font-medium text-xs">方案</th>
+                        <th className="py-2.5 px-3 font-medium text-xs">来源</th>
+                        <th className="py-2.5 px-3 font-medium text-xs">起始</th>
+                        <th className="py-2.5 px-3 font-medium text-xs">到期</th>
+                        <th className="py-2.5 px-3 font-medium text-xs">创建</th>
+                      </tr>
+                    </thead>
+                    <tbody>
+                      {detailRows.map((row, i) => {
+                        const isExpired = row.expires_at && new Date(row.expires_at) < new Date();
+                        return (
+                          <tr key={row.id ?? i} className={`border-b border-white/5 ${isExpired ? "opacity-50" : ""}`}>
+                            <td className="py-2 px-3">{statusBadge(row.status)}</td>
+                            <td className="py-2 px-3 text-white text-xs">{planLabel(row.plan_code)}</td>
+                            <td className="py-2 px-3 text-slate-400 text-xs">{sourceLabel(row.source)}</td>
+                            <td className="py-2 px-3 text-slate-400 text-xs font-mono">{row.starts_at?.slice(0, 19)?.replace("T", " ") ?? "—"}</td>
+                            <td className="py-2 px-3 text-xs font-mono">
+                              <span className={isExpired ? "text-red-400" : "text-emerald-400"}>
+                                {row.expires_at?.slice(0, 19)?.replace("T", " ") ?? "—"}
+                              </span>
+                            </td>
+                            <td className="py-2 px-3 text-slate-500 text-xs font-mono">{row.created_at?.slice(0, 19)?.replace("T", " ") ?? "—"}</td>
+                          </tr>
+                        );
+                      })}
+                    </tbody>
+                  </table>
+                  <div className="text-xs text-slate-500 mt-3 px-1">
+                    共 {detailRows.length} 条记录 · 时间为 UTC
+                  </div>
+                </div>
+              )}
+            </div>
+          </div>
+        </div>
+      )}
     </div>
   );
 }

frontend/components/ops/training/TrainingPageClient.tsx

@@ -18,15 +18,38 @@ function StatRow({ label, value }: { label: string; value: React.ReactNode }) {
   );
 }
 
+interface CityAccuracy {
+  city_id: string;
+  name: string;
+  deb?: {
+    hit_rate: number;
+    mae: number;
+    total_days: number;
+    details_str: string;
+  } | null;
+  mu?: {
+    mae: number;
+    hit_rate: number;
+    brier_score: number | null;
+    total_days: number;
+    details_str: string;
+  } | null;
+}
+
 export function TrainingPageClient() {
   const [loading, setLoading] = useState(true);
   const [status, setStatus] = useState<SystemStatusPayload | null>(null);
+  const [accuracy, setAccuracy] = useState<CityAccuracy[] | null>(null);
 
   const load = async () => {
     setLoading(true);
     try {
-      const s = await opsApi.systemStatus() as SystemStatusPayload;
+      const [s, accData] = await Promise.all([
+        opsApi.systemStatus() as Promise<SystemStatusPayload>,
+        opsApi.trainingAccuracy().catch(() => ({ accuracy: [] }))
+      ]);
       setStatus(s);
+      setAccuracy(accData.accuracy);
     } catch { /* */ }
     setLoading(false);
   };
@@ -110,6 +133,105 @@ export function TrainingPageClient() {
         </div>
       ) : null}
 
+      <Card>
+        <CardHeader>
+          <CardTitle>模型融合与预测准确率效果 (DEB & 概率引擎)</CardTitle>
+        </CardHeader>
+        <CardContent>
+          <div className="overflow-x-auto">
+            <table className="w-full text-sm text-left text-slate-300">
+              <thead className="text-xs uppercase bg-slate-800/50 text-slate-400">
+                <tr>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3">城市</th>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3 text-center">DEB 结算命中</th>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3 text-center">DEB MAE</th>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3 text-center">DEB 天数</th>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3 text-center">概率 μ 结算命中</th>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3 text-center">概率 μ MAE</th>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3 text-center">Brier Score</th>
+                  <th scope="col" className="px-4 py-3 text-center">概率天数</th>
+                </tr>
+              </thead>
+              <tbody className="divide-y divide-white/5">
+                {accuracy && accuracy.length > 0 ? (
+                  accuracy.map((row) => (
+                    <tr key={row.city_id} className="hover:bg-white/5 transition-colors">
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 font-medium text-white capitalize">
+                        {row.name}
+                        <span className="text-xs text-slate-500 block font-mono">{row.city_id}</span>
+                      </td>
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 text-center">
+                        {row.deb ? (
+                          <span className={`px-2 py-0.5 rounded-full text-xs font-semibold ${
+                            row.deb.hit_rate >= 80
+                              ? "bg-green-500/15 text-green-400"
+                              : row.deb.hit_rate >= 60
+                              ? "bg-yellow-500/15 text-yellow-400"
+                              : "bg-red-500/15 text-red-400"
+                          }`}>
+                            {row.deb.hit_rate.toFixed(0)}%
+                          </span>
+                        ) : (
+                          <span className="text-slate-600">—</span>
+                        )}
+                      </td>
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 text-center font-mono">
+                        {row.deb ? `${row.deb.mae.toFixed(1)}°` : "—"}
+                      </td>
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 text-center text-slate-400">
+                        {row.deb ? row.deb.total_days : "—"}
+                      </td>
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 text-center">
+                        {row.mu ? (
+                          <span className={`px-2 py-0.5 rounded-full text-xs font-semibold ${
+                            row.mu.hit_rate >= 80
+                              ? "bg-green-500/15 text-green-400"
+                              : row.mu.hit_rate >= 60
+                              ? "bg-yellow-500/15 text-yellow-400"
+                              : "bg-red-500/15 text-red-400"
+                          }`}>
+                            {row.mu.hit_rate.toFixed(0)}%
+                          </span>
+                        ) : (
+                          <span className="text-slate-600">—</span>
+                        )}
+                      </td>
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 text-center font-mono">
+                        {row.mu ? `${row.mu.mae.toFixed(1)}°` : "—"}
+                      </td>
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 text-center font-mono">
+                        {row.mu && row.mu.brier_score !== null ? (
+                          <span className={`${
+                            row.mu.brier_score <= 0.1
+                              ? "text-green-400 font-bold"
+                              : row.mu.brier_score <= 0.25
+                              ? "text-yellow-400"
+                              : "text-red-400"
+                          }`}>
+                            {row.mu.brier_score.toFixed(3)}
+                          </span>
+                        ) : (
+                          "—"
+                        )}
+                      </td>
+                      <td className="px-4 py-3 text-center text-slate-400">
+                        {row.mu ? row.mu.total_days : "—"}
+                      </td>
+                    </tr>
+                  ))
+                ) : (
+                  <tr>
+                    <td colSpan={8} className="px-4 py-8 text-center text-slate-500">
+                      无有效准确率记录，请确认 daily_records.json 中已有历史结算数据。
+                    </td>
+                  </tr>
+                )}
+              </tbody>
+            </table>
+          </div>
+        </CardContent>
+      </Card>
+
       <Card>
         <CardHeader>
           <CardTitle>真值历史浏览</CardTitle>
@@ -124,3 +246,4 @@ export function TrainingPageClient() {
     </div>
   );
 }
+

frontend/lib/ops-api.ts

@@ -105,4 +105,25 @@ export const opsApi = {
       count: number;
     }>(`/api/ops/subscriptions/user?email=${encodeURIComponent(email)}`);
   },
+  trainingAccuracy() {
+    return opsFetch<{
+      accuracy: Array<{
+        city_id: string;
+        name: string;
+        deb?: {
+          hit_rate: number;
+          mae: number;
+          total_days: number;
+          details_str: string;
+        } | null;
+        mu?: {
+          mae: number;
+          hit_rate: number;
+          brier_score: number | null;
+          total_days: number;
+          details_str: string;
+        } | null;
+      }>;
+    }>("/api/ops/training/accuracy");
+  },
 };

src/onchain/polygon_wallet_watcher.py

@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
-import json
+import json
 import os
 import threading
 import time
@@ -33,7 +33,8 @@ ERC20_ABI = [
 # Source: Polymarket official developer docs (Polygon contract addresses)
 # https://docs.polymarket.com/developers/market-makers/setup
 DEFAULT_POLYMARKET_CONTRACTS: Dict[str, str] = {
-    "USDC.e": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
+    "USDC": "0x3c499c542cef5e3811e1192ce70d8cc03d5c3359",
+    "pUSD": "0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb",
     "CTF": "0x4d97dcd97ec945f40cf65f87097ace5ea0476045",
     "CTF_EXCHANGE": "0x4bFb41d5B3570DeFd03C39a9A4D8dE6Bd8B8982E",
     "NEG_RISK_CTF_EXCHANGE": "0xC5d563A36AE78145C45a50134d48A1215220f80a",

web/routers/ops.py

@@ -21,6 +21,7 @@ from web.services.ops_api import (
     list_ops_payments,
     search_ops_users,
     update_ops_config,
+    get_ops_training_accuracy,
 )
 
 router = APIRouter(tags=["ops"])
@@ -160,3 +161,9 @@ async def ops_logs(
 @router.get("/api/ops/health-check")
 async def ops_health_check(request: Request):
     return get_ops_health_check(request)
+
+
+@router.get("/api/ops/training/accuracy")
+async def ops_training_accuracy(request: Request):
+    return get_ops_training_accuracy(request)
+

web/services/ops_api.py

@@ -783,3 +783,56 @@ def get_ops_health_check(request: Request) -> dict[str, Any]:
 
     all_ok = all(v.get("ok") for v in results.values())
     return {"ok": all_ok, "checked_at": __import__("datetime").datetime.utcnow().isoformat() + "Z", "services": results}
+
+
+def get_ops_training_accuracy(request: Request) -> Dict[str, Any]:
+    _require_ops(request)
+    from src.analysis.deb_algorithm import get_deb_accuracy, get_mu_accuracy
+    from src.data_collection.city_registry import CITY_REGISTRY
+
+    accuracy_data = []
+    for city_id, info in CITY_REGISTRY.items():
+        name = info.get("name") or city_id
+
+        # Calculate DEB accuracy
+        deb_acc = get_deb_accuracy(city_id)
+        deb_payload = None
+        if deb_acc:
+            deb_payload = {
+                "hit_rate": deb_acc[0],
+                "mae": deb_acc[1],
+                "total_days": deb_acc[2],
+                "details_str": deb_acc[3]
+            }
+
+        # Calculate Mu accuracy
+        mu_acc = get_mu_accuracy(city_id)
+        mu_payload = None
+        if mu_acc:
+            mu_payload = {
+                "mae": mu_acc[0],
+                "hit_rate": mu_acc[1],
+                "brier_score": mu_acc[2],
+                "total_days": mu_acc[3],
+                "details_str": mu_acc[4]
+            }
+
+        if deb_payload or mu_payload:
+            accuracy_data.append({
+                "city_id": city_id,
+                "name": name,
+                "deb": deb_payload,
+                "mu": mu_payload
+            })
+
+    # Sort by total days of DEB or Mu
+    accuracy_data.sort(
+        key=lambda x: max(
+            x["deb"]["total_days"] if x["deb"] else 0,
+            x["mu"]["total_days"] if x["mu"] else 0
+        ),
+        reverse=True
+    )
+
+    return {"accuracy": accuracy_data}
+