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Add TAF timing markers and market-aware intraday cues

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This commit is contained in:
2569718930@qq.com
2026-03-24 03:13:54 +08:00
parent b365155622
commit 05184cb2ad
4 changed files with 432 additions and 92 deletions
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frontend/components/dashboard/FutureForecastModal.tsx
+146 -44
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@@ -285,6 +285,20 @@ function DailyTemperatureChart({ dateStr }: { dateStr: string }) {
tension: 0.3,
});
}
if ((todayChartData.tafMarkers || []).length > 0) {
datasets.push({
backgroundColor: "#f59e0b",
borderColor: "#f59e0b",
borderWidth: 0,
data: todayChartData.datasets.tafMarkerPoints,
fill: false,
label: locale === "en-US" ? "TAF Timing" : "TAF 时段",
order: -2,
pointHoverRadius: 8,
pointRadius: 5,
showLine: false,
});
}
return {
data: {
@@ -315,6 +329,21 @@ function DailyTemperatureChart({ dateStr }: { dateStr: string }) {
backgroundColor: "rgba(15, 23, 42, 0.96)",
borderColor: "rgba(34, 211, 238, 0.2)",
borderWidth: 1,
callbacks: {
label: (ctx) => {
const label = String(ctx.dataset.label || "");
if (label === "TAF Timing" || label === "TAF 时段") {
const marker = (todayChartData.tafMarkers || []).find(
(item) => item.index === ctx.dataIndex,
);
if (!marker) return label;
return `${label}: ${marker.summary}`;
}
const value = ctx.parsed.y;
if (value == null) return label;
return `${label}: ${value.toFixed(1)}${detail.temp_symbol || "°C"}`;
},
},
},
},
responsive: true,
@@ -504,81 +533,154 @@ export function FutureForecastModal() {
}`
: "--";
const upperAirSignal = detail.vertical_profile_signal || {};
const tafSignal = detail.taf?.signal || {};
const topBucketProbability = normalizeMarketValue(topBucket?.probability);
const numericEdge = Number(marketScan?.edge_percent);
const hottestMatchesSettlement =
hottestBucketLabel !== "--" &&
settlementBucketLabel !== "--" &&
hottestBucketLabel === settlementBucketLabel;
const marketAwareUpperAirCue = useMemo(() => {
if (!isToday || !upperAirSignal.source) return null;
if (!isToday || (!upperAirSignal.source && !tafSignal.available)) return null;
const crowded = hottestMatchesSettlement && (topBucketProbability || 0) >= 0.3;
const setup = String(upperAirSignal.heating_setup || "neutral").toLowerCase();
const tafSuppression = String(
tafSignal.suppression_level || "low",
).toLowerCase();
const tafDisruption = String(
tafSignal.disruption_level || "low",
).toLowerCase();
const signalLabel = String(marketScan?.signal_label || "").toUpperCase();
const edgeAbs = Number.isFinite(numericEdge) ? Math.abs(numericEdge) : 0;
const strongEdge = edgeAbs >= 8;
const reasons: string[] = [];
let score = 0;
if (setup === "supportive") {
score += 2;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? "upper-air structure still supports daytime heating"
: "高空结构仍偏支持白天冲高",
);
} else if (setup === "suppressed") {
score -= 2;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? "upper-air structure still leans toward capping the peak"
: "高空结构更偏向压住峰值",
);
}
if (tafSuppression === "high") {
score -= 2;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? "TAF flags meaningful cloud/rain suppression near the peak window"
: "TAF 在峰值窗口提示云雨压温风险偏高",
);
} else if (tafSuppression === "medium") {
score -= 1;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? "TAF keeps some cloud/rain suppression risk on the table"
: "TAF 仍提示一定的云雨压温风险",
);
}
if (tafDisruption === "high") {
score -= 1;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? "TAF also suggests a noisier afternoon regime"
: "TAF 还提示午后扰动偏强",
);
} else if (tafDisruption === "medium") {
score -= 0.5;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? "TAF keeps some afternoon timing noise in play"
: "TAF 提示午后仍可能有时段性扰动",
);
}
if (strongEdge && signalLabel === "BUY YES") {
score += 1;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? `market edge still leans hotter (${formatSignedPercent(numericEdge)})`
: `市场 edge 仍偏向更热一侧（${formatSignedPercent(numericEdge)}）`,
);
} else if (strongEdge && signalLabel === "BUY NO") {
score -= 1;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? `market edge still leans cooler (${formatSignedPercent(numericEdge)})`
: `市场 edge 仍偏向更冷一侧（${formatSignedPercent(numericEdge)}）`,
);
}
if (crowded && score > 0) {
score -= 0.5;
reasons.push(
locale === "en-US"
? "the target bucket is already getting crowded"
: "目标区间已经开始变拥挤",
);
}
if (score >= 1.5) {
return {
summary: locale === "en-US"
? crowded
? "Upper-air structure still leans warmer, but the target bucket is already crowded. Do not fade lower buckets too early, and do not chase blindly either."
: "Upper-air structure still leans warmer, and the market is not fully crowded into the target bucket yet. Do not fade lower buckets too early."
: crowded
? "高空结构仍偏支持冲高，但当前目标区间已经较拥挤。不宜过早做更低温区间，也不要盲目继续追价。"
: "高空结构仍偏支持冲高，市场最热桶还没完全挤到目标区间。不宜过早做更低温区间。",
note: locale === "en-US"
? crowded
? "Warmer side still has structural support, but price is no longer cheap. Wait for surface follow-through before adding."
: "Warmer side still has structural support and is not fully overcrowded yet. Fading lower buckets too early is risky."
: crowded
? "暖侧仍有结构支撑，但价格已经不算便宜，继续加仓前先等近地面兑现。"
: "暖侧仍有结构支撑，且还没有完全过热，过早去做更低温区间风险较高。",
summary:
locale === "en-US"
? "The combined upper-air, TAF, and market read still leans warmer. Do not fade lower buckets too early."
: "高空、TAF 和市场三层信号合并后仍偏暖侧，不宜过早做更低温区间。",
note:
locale === "en-US"
? `${reasons.slice(0, 2).join("; ")}.`
: `${reasons.slice(0, 2).join("；")}。`,
tone: "warm",
value: locale === "en-US" ? "Lean warmer" : "偏暖侧",
};
}
if (setup === "suppressed") {
if (score <= -1.5) {
return {
summary: locale === "en-US"
? crowded
? "Upper-air structure leans toward capping the high, and the target bucket is already crowded. Chasing higher buckets needs extra caution."
: "Upper-air structure leans toward capping the high. Be more careful chasing higher buckets."
: crowded
? "高空结构更偏向压住峰值，而且目标区间已经较拥挤。追更高温区间要更谨慎。"
: "高空结构更偏向压住峰值，追更高温区间要更谨慎。",
note: locale === "en-US"
? crowded
? "Both structure and crowding argue for caution on the hotter side."
: "The hotter side needs stronger surface confirmation before adding."
: crowded
? "结构和拥挤度都不利于继续追热。"
: "更高温区间需要更强的近地面确认后再考虑追价。",
summary:
locale === "en-US"
? "The combined upper-air, TAF, and market read leans more defensive. Be more careful chasing higher buckets."
: "高空、TAF 和市场三层信号合并后更偏防守，追更高温区间要更谨慎。",
note:
locale === "en-US"
? `${reasons.slice(0, 2).join("; ")}.`
: `${reasons.slice(0, 2).join("；")}。`,
tone: "cold",
value: locale === "en-US" ? "Lean cautious" : "偏谨慎",
};
}
return {
summary: locale === "en-US"
? crowded
? "Upper-air structure is neutral, while the target bucket is already crowded. Let surface structure and price action decide before taking a side."
: "Upper-air structure is neutral. Let surface structure and price action decide before taking a side."
: crowded
? "高空结构偏中性，但目标区间已经较拥挤。先看近地面结构和盘口变化，不急着继续站边。"
: "高空结构偏中性，先看近地面结构和盘口变化，不急着站边。",
note: locale === "en-US"
? crowded
? "There is no clean edge from the upper-air layer alone, and the market is already leaning. Wait for confirmation."
: "There is no clean edge from the upper-air layer alone. Wait for confirmation."
: crowded
? "单看高空层没有明确边，而且市场已经先站位，先等确认。"
: "单看高空层没有明确边，先等确认。",
summary:
locale === "en-US"
? "The combined upper-air, TAF, and market read is mixed. Let surface structure and price action decide before taking a side."
: "高空、TAF 和市场三层信号目前偏混合，先看近地面结构和盘口变化，不急着站边。",
note:
locale === "en-US"
? `${reasons.slice(0, 2).join("; ") || "No clean edge from the upper-air layer alone"}.`
: `${reasons.slice(0, 2).join("；") || "单看高空层还没有干净的交易边"}。`,
tone: "",
value: locale === "en-US" ? "Wait / confirm" : "先观察",
};
}, [
tafSignal.available,
tafSignal.disruption_level,
tafSignal.suppression_level,
marketScan?.signal_label,
hottestMatchesSettlement,
isToday,
locale,
numericEdge,
topBucketProbability,
upperAirSignal.heating_setup,
upperAirSignal.source,