body:"Dynamic Ensemble Blending (DEB) is the core prediction layer. It is not a simple average across ECMWF/GFS/ICON/GEM/JMA, but a dynamically weighted blend adjusted by recent model performance, current observations, and city bias.",
title:"DEB Dynamic Fusion",
},
{
body:"Settlement probability distribution is dynamically computed from DEB forecast and model spread. μ is the current distribution center and shifts with model updates, observations, and time.",
body:"Settlement source follows market rule by city: Milan (LIMC), Warsaw (EPWA), and Madrid (LEMD) settle on airport METAR, Hong Kong settles on HKO, and Taipei settles on CWA. METAR/MGM are still kept for intraday structure tracking with observation time vs receipt time separated.",
body:"Ankara does not follow the generic city path. LTAC / Esenboğa is the settlement station, with Turkish MGM network for leading signals. Ankara (Bölge/Center) is a key station and is not replaced by Etimesgut.",
body:"History reconciliation only uses settled samples. The web dashboard uses a rolling 15-day window and excludes same-day unsettled samples from hit-rate and MAE.",