mirror of
https://github.com/NicolasBohn/NexQuant.git
synced 2026-07-27 23:47:46 +00:00
22e638af86
- Add vbt_backtest.py as single source of truth for all metric formulas (Sharpe, drawdown, IC, transaction costs) — backtest_engine.py and strategy_orchestrator.py now delegate to it - Add LLMUnavailableError to exception.py; rd_loop.py catches it at the proposal stage and raises LoopResumeError to avoid corrupting trace history with None hypotheses - Guard record() against None exp/hypothesis so loop resets leave trace.hist in a consistent state - Refactor strategy_orchestrator and optuna_optimizer to use unified backtest path; remove duplicate metric calculation code - Add predix_rebacktest_unified.py script for offline re-evaluation - Update tests and README Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
443 lines
19 KiB
Python
443 lines
19 KiB
Python
"""
|
|
Quant (Factor & Model) workflow with session control
|
|
"""
|
|
|
|
import asyncio
|
|
import json
|
|
from pathlib import Path
|
|
from typing import Any
|
|
|
|
import fire
|
|
|
|
from rdagent.app.qlib_rd_loop.conf import QUANT_PROP_SETTING
|
|
from rdagent.components.workflow.conf import BasePropSetting
|
|
from rdagent.components.workflow.rd_loop import RDLoop
|
|
from rdagent.core.conf import RD_AGENT_SETTINGS
|
|
from rdagent.core.developer import Developer
|
|
from rdagent.core.exception import FactorEmptyError, LLMUnavailableError, ModelEmptyError
|
|
from rdagent.core.proposal import (
|
|
Experiment2Feedback,
|
|
ExperimentPlan,
|
|
Hypothesis2Experiment,
|
|
HypothesisFeedback,
|
|
HypothesisGen,
|
|
)
|
|
from rdagent.core.scenario import Scenario
|
|
from rdagent.core.utils import import_class
|
|
from rdagent.log import rdagent_logger as logger
|
|
from rdagent.scenarios.qlib.proposal.quant_proposal import QuantTrace
|
|
from rdagent.utils.qlib import ALPHA20
|
|
|
|
|
|
class QuantRDLoop(RDLoop):
|
|
skip_loop_error = (
|
|
FactorEmptyError,
|
|
ModelEmptyError,
|
|
LLMUnavailableError, # LLM timeout after all retries → skip loop, don't crash
|
|
)
|
|
|
|
def __init__(self, PROP_SETTING: BasePropSetting):
|
|
scen: Scenario = import_class(PROP_SETTING.scen)()
|
|
logger.log_object(scen, tag="scenario")
|
|
|
|
self.hypothesis_gen: HypothesisGen = import_class(PROP_SETTING.quant_hypothesis_gen)(scen)
|
|
logger.log_object(self.hypothesis_gen, tag="quant hypothesis generator")
|
|
|
|
self.factor_hypothesis2experiment: Hypothesis2Experiment = import_class(
|
|
PROP_SETTING.factor_hypothesis2experiment
|
|
)()
|
|
logger.log_object(self.factor_hypothesis2experiment, tag="factor hypothesis2experiment")
|
|
self.model_hypothesis2experiment: Hypothesis2Experiment = import_class(
|
|
PROP_SETTING.model_hypothesis2experiment
|
|
)()
|
|
logger.log_object(self.model_hypothesis2experiment, tag="model hypothesis2experiment")
|
|
|
|
self.factor_coder: Developer = import_class(PROP_SETTING.factor_coder)(scen)
|
|
logger.log_object(self.factor_coder, tag="factor coder")
|
|
self.model_coder: Developer = import_class(PROP_SETTING.model_coder)(scen)
|
|
logger.log_object(self.model_coder, tag="model coder")
|
|
|
|
self.factor_runner: Developer = import_class(PROP_SETTING.factor_runner)(scen)
|
|
logger.log_object(self.factor_runner, tag="factor runner")
|
|
self.model_runner: Developer = import_class(PROP_SETTING.model_runner)(scen)
|
|
logger.log_object(self.model_runner, tag="model runner")
|
|
|
|
self.factor_summarizer: Experiment2Feedback = import_class(PROP_SETTING.factor_summarizer)(scen)
|
|
logger.log_object(self.factor_summarizer, tag="factor summarizer")
|
|
self.model_summarizer: Experiment2Feedback = import_class(PROP_SETTING.model_summarizer)(scen)
|
|
logger.log_object(self.model_summarizer, tag="model summarizer")
|
|
|
|
self.plan: ExperimentPlan = {
|
|
"features": ALPHA20,
|
|
"feature_codes": {},
|
|
} # for user interaction
|
|
self.trace = QuantTrace(scen=scen)
|
|
super(RDLoop, self).__init__()
|
|
|
|
async def direct_exp_gen(self, prev_out: dict[str, Any]):
|
|
while True:
|
|
if self.get_unfinished_loop_cnt(self.loop_idx) < RD_AGENT_SETTINGS.get_max_parallel():
|
|
hypo = self._propose()
|
|
assert hypo.action in ["factor", "model"]
|
|
if hypo.action == "factor":
|
|
exp = self.factor_hypothesis2experiment.convert(hypo, self.trace)
|
|
else:
|
|
exp = self.model_hypothesis2experiment.convert(hypo, self.trace)
|
|
logger.log_object(exp.sub_tasks, tag="experiment generation")
|
|
exp.base_features = self.plan["features"]
|
|
exp.base_feature_codes = self.plan["feature_codes"]
|
|
if exp.based_experiments:
|
|
exp.based_experiments[-1].base_features = self.plan["features"]
|
|
exp.based_experiments[-1].base_feature_codes = self.plan["feature_codes"]
|
|
return {"propose": hypo, "exp_gen": exp}
|
|
await asyncio.sleep(1)
|
|
|
|
def coding(self, prev_out: dict[str, Any]):
|
|
exp = None
|
|
try:
|
|
direct = prev_out.get("direct_exp_gen")
|
|
if not direct:
|
|
# Loop was reset (LoopResumeError) while this step was already queued.
|
|
# Treat as empty so skip_loop_error skips this iteration cleanly.
|
|
raise FactorEmptyError("direct_exp_gen result missing after loop reset")
|
|
if direct["propose"].action == "factor":
|
|
exp = self.factor_coder.develop(direct["exp_gen"])
|
|
elif direct["propose"].action == "model":
|
|
exp = self.model_coder.develop(direct["exp_gen"])
|
|
logger.log_object(exp, tag="coder result")
|
|
except (FactorEmptyError, ModelEmptyError) as e:
|
|
logger.warning(f"Coding failed with {type(e).__name__}: {e}")
|
|
raise
|
|
except Exception as e:
|
|
logger.error(f"Unexpected coding error: {e}")
|
|
raise
|
|
finally:
|
|
# Always save results, even on partial failure
|
|
if exp is not None:
|
|
self._save_coder_results(exp)
|
|
|
|
return exp
|
|
|
|
def _save_coder_results(self, exp) -> None:
|
|
"""
|
|
Save CoSTEER-generated code and evaluation to results/ directory.
|
|
|
|
This ensures we have a record of generated factors even if
|
|
the full Qlib backtest pipeline fails or is skipped.
|
|
|
|
Parameters
|
|
----------
|
|
exp : Experiment
|
|
The experiment with generated code
|
|
"""
|
|
import json
|
|
from datetime import datetime
|
|
from pathlib import Path
|
|
|
|
try:
|
|
project_root = Path(__file__).parent.parent.parent.parent
|
|
results_dir = project_root / "results" / "runs"
|
|
results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
|
|
|
|
# Build result summary
|
|
summary = {
|
|
"timestamp": datetime.now().isoformat(),
|
|
"hypothesis": None,
|
|
"factors": [],
|
|
"status": "generated",
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
if hasattr(exp, "hypothesis") and exp.hypothesis is not None:
|
|
summary["hypothesis"] = getattr(exp.hypothesis, "hypothesis", None)
|
|
|
|
# Extract generated code from sub_workspace_list
|
|
if hasattr(exp, "sub_workspace_list") and exp.sub_workspace_list:
|
|
for i, ws in enumerate(exp.sub_workspace_list):
|
|
factor_info = {
|
|
"index": i,
|
|
"code": None,
|
|
"file_count": 0,
|
|
}
|
|
if hasattr(ws, "file_dict") and ws.file_dict:
|
|
factor_info["file_count"] = len(ws.file_dict)
|
|
factor_info["code"] = ws.file_dict.get("factor.py", None)
|
|
summary["factors"].append(factor_info)
|
|
|
|
# Check if experiment was accepted or rejected
|
|
if hasattr(exp, "accepted_tasks"):
|
|
accepted = getattr(exp, "accepted_tasks", [])
|
|
summary["accepted_count"] = len(accepted)
|
|
summary["status"] = "accepted" if accepted else "rejected"
|
|
|
|
# Write JSON summary
|
|
timestamp = datetime.now().strftime("%Y%m%d_%H%M%S")
|
|
safe_name = (summary["hypothesis"] or "unknown_factor")[:80].replace("/", "_").replace(" ", "_")
|
|
json_path = results_dir / f"{timestamp}_{safe_name}.json"
|
|
|
|
with open(json_path, "w", encoding="utf-8") as f:
|
|
json.dump(summary, f, ensure_ascii=False, indent=2, default=str)
|
|
|
|
logger.info(f"CoSTEER result saved to {json_path}")
|
|
|
|
# Also write a consolidated log entry
|
|
log_dir = project_root / "results" / "logs"
|
|
log_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
|
|
today = datetime.now().strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
|
|
log_file = log_dir / f"coder_runs_{today}.jsonl"
|
|
|
|
with open(log_file, "a", encoding="utf-8") as f:
|
|
f.write(json.dumps(summary, ensure_ascii=False, default=str) + "\n")
|
|
|
|
except Exception as e:
|
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to save CoSTEER results: {e}")
|
|
|
|
def running(self, prev_out: dict[str, Any]):
|
|
if prev_out["direct_exp_gen"]["propose"].action == "factor":
|
|
exp = self.factor_runner.develop(prev_out["coding"])
|
|
if exp is None:
|
|
logger.error(f"Factor extraction failed.")
|
|
raise FactorEmptyError("Factor extraction failed.")
|
|
|
|
# Increment factor count for tracking
|
|
if hasattr(self, 'trace') and hasattr(self.trace, 'increment_factor_count'):
|
|
self.trace.increment_factor_count()
|
|
|
|
# Handle failed experiments gracefully (don't break the loop)
|
|
if getattr(exp, "failed", False):
|
|
reason = getattr(exp, "failure_reason", "unknown")
|
|
factor_name = "unknown"
|
|
if hasattr(exp, "hypothesis") and exp.hypothesis is not None:
|
|
factor_name = getattr(exp.hypothesis, "hypothesis", "unknown")
|
|
logger.warning(
|
|
f"Factor '{factor_name}' failed evaluation: {reason}. "
|
|
f"Continuing with next factor."
|
|
)
|
|
# Return exp anyway - loop will continue
|
|
elif prev_out["direct_exp_gen"]["propose"].action == "model":
|
|
exp = self.model_runner.develop(prev_out["coding"])
|
|
logger.log_object(exp, tag="runner result")
|
|
return exp
|
|
|
|
def feedback(self, prev_out: dict[str, Any]):
|
|
e = prev_out.get(self.EXCEPTION_KEY, None)
|
|
if e is not None:
|
|
feedback = HypothesisFeedback(
|
|
observations=str(e),
|
|
hypothesis_evaluation="",
|
|
new_hypothesis="",
|
|
reason="",
|
|
decision=False,
|
|
)
|
|
else:
|
|
# Handle cases where the experiment failed during execution (e.g., Docker error)
|
|
exp = prev_out.get("running")
|
|
if exp is not None and getattr(exp, "failed", False):
|
|
reason = getattr(exp, "failure_reason", "Unknown failure reason")
|
|
factor_name = "unknown"
|
|
if hasattr(exp, "hypothesis") and exp.hypothesis is not None:
|
|
factor_name = getattr(exp.hypothesis, "hypothesis", "unknown")
|
|
|
|
logger.warning(f"Skipping feedback for failed factor '{factor_name}'. Reason: {reason}")
|
|
feedback = HypothesisFeedback(
|
|
observations=f"Factor '{factor_name}' failed execution.",
|
|
hypothesis_evaluation="Failed",
|
|
new_hypothesis="Try a different approach.",
|
|
reason=reason,
|
|
decision=False,
|
|
)
|
|
else:
|
|
if prev_out["direct_exp_gen"]["propose"].action == "factor":
|
|
feedback = self.factor_summarizer.generate_feedback(prev_out["running"], self.trace)
|
|
elif prev_out["direct_exp_gen"]["propose"].action == "model":
|
|
feedback = self.model_summarizer.generate_feedback(prev_out["running"], self.trace)
|
|
|
|
# NOTE: DB save is handled by factor_runner.py _save_result_to_database()
|
|
# which runs immediately after Docker execution. No duplicate save needed here.
|
|
|
|
# Periodically build strategies using AI when enough factors are available
|
|
factor_count = self.trace.get_factor_count()
|
|
|
|
# Check for auto-strategies trigger
|
|
auto_strategies = getattr(self, '_auto_strategies', False)
|
|
auto_threshold = getattr(self, '_auto_strategies_threshold', 500)
|
|
|
|
if auto_strategies and factor_count > 0 and factor_count % auto_threshold == 0:
|
|
logger.info(
|
|
f"Auto-strategy trigger: {factor_count} factors evaluated. "
|
|
f"Suggesting strategy generation now..."
|
|
)
|
|
self._build_strategies_with_ai()
|
|
elif factor_count > 0 and factor_count % 50 == 0 and not auto_strategies:
|
|
# Standard periodic suggestion (every 50 factors)
|
|
logger.info(
|
|
f"Periodic check: {factor_count} factors evaluated. "
|
|
f"Consider running 'rdagent generate_strategies' for AI strategy generation."
|
|
)
|
|
|
|
feedback = self._interact_feedback(feedback)
|
|
logger.log_object(feedback, tag="feedback")
|
|
return feedback
|
|
|
|
def _build_strategies_with_ai(self) -> None:
|
|
"""
|
|
Build trading strategies using StrategyOrchestrator with Optuna optimization.
|
|
|
|
This method is called periodically during the factor generation loop
|
|
to convert accumulated factors into trading strategies.
|
|
|
|
Features:
|
|
- Uses improved LLM prompt (strategy_generation_v2.yaml)
|
|
- Forward-fills daily factors to 1-min OHLCV
|
|
- Realistic backtesting with real OHLCV data
|
|
- Optuna hyperparameter optimization
|
|
"""
|
|
try:
|
|
from rdagent.components.coder.strategy_orchestrator import StrategyOrchestrator
|
|
from pathlib import Path
|
|
import yaml
|
|
|
|
# Load improved prompt
|
|
project_root = Path(__file__).parent.parent.parent.parent
|
|
prompt_path = project_root / "prompts" / "strategy_generation_v2.yaml"
|
|
if prompt_path.exists():
|
|
with open(prompt_path) as f:
|
|
improved_prompt = yaml.safe_load(f)
|
|
else:
|
|
improved_prompt = None
|
|
|
|
# Load factors from results
|
|
results_dir = project_root / "results"
|
|
factors_dir = results_dir / "factors"
|
|
|
|
if not factors_dir.exists():
|
|
logger.debug("StrategyOrchestrator: No factors directory found. Skipping.")
|
|
return
|
|
|
|
# Load evaluated factors
|
|
factors = []
|
|
for f in factors_dir.glob("*.json"):
|
|
try:
|
|
with open(f) as fh:
|
|
data = json.load(fh)
|
|
if data.get("status") == "success" and data.get("ic") is not None:
|
|
factors.append(data)
|
|
except Exception:
|
|
continue
|
|
|
|
if len(factors) < 10:
|
|
logger.debug(f"StrategyOrchestrator: Only {len(factors)} factors available. Need at least 10. Skipping.")
|
|
return
|
|
|
|
# Sort by IC and take top 50
|
|
factors.sort(key=lambda x: abs(x.get("ic", 0) or 0), reverse=True)
|
|
top_factors = factors[:50]
|
|
|
|
logger.info(f"StrategyOrchestrator: Building strategies from {len(top_factors)} top factors...")
|
|
logger.info(f" - Using improved prompt: {improved_prompt is not None}")
|
|
logger.info(f" - Optuna optimization: enabled (20 trials)")
|
|
logger.info(f" - Real OHLCV backtest: enabled")
|
|
|
|
# Initialize orchestrator with Optuna
|
|
orchestrator = StrategyOrchestrator(
|
|
top_factors=20,
|
|
trading_style='swing',
|
|
min_sharpe=0.5,
|
|
max_drawdown=-0.20,
|
|
min_win_rate=0.40,
|
|
use_optuna=True,
|
|
optuna_trials=20,
|
|
)
|
|
|
|
# Override with improved prompt if available
|
|
if improved_prompt:
|
|
orchestrator.strategy_prompt = improved_prompt.get('strategy_generation', {})
|
|
|
|
# Generate 3 strategies per cycle
|
|
n_strategies = 3
|
|
logger.info(f"Generating {n_strategies} strategies...")
|
|
|
|
# Load top factors for generation
|
|
orch_factors = orchestrator.load_top_factors()
|
|
|
|
for i in range(n_strategies):
|
|
try:
|
|
# Select random factor combination
|
|
import random
|
|
n_factors = random.randint(2, min(5, len(orch_factors)))
|
|
factor_subset = random.sample(orch_factors, n_factors)
|
|
|
|
strategy_name = f"auto_gen_v{i+1}"
|
|
code = orchestrator.generate_strategy_code(factor_subset, strategy_name)
|
|
|
|
if code:
|
|
result = orchestrator.evaluate_strategy(code, strategy_name, factor_subset)
|
|
|
|
if result.get("status") == "accepted":
|
|
logger.info(f"✅ Strategy {strategy_name} accepted!")
|
|
logger.info(f" Sharpe: {result.get('sharpe_ratio', 0):.2f}")
|
|
logger.info(f" Max DD: {result.get('max_drawdown', 0):.4f}")
|
|
logger.info(f" Win Rate: {result.get('win_rate', 0):.4f}")
|
|
else:
|
|
logger.info(f"❌ Strategy {strategy_name} rejected: {result.get('reason', 'unknown')[:100]}")
|
|
except Exception as e:
|
|
logger.warning(f"Strategy generation failed for {strategy_name}: {e}")
|
|
|
|
logger.info("StrategyOrchestrator: Cycle complete.")
|
|
|
|
except ImportError as e:
|
|
logger.warning(f"StrategyOrchestrator: Import failed ({e}). Skipping strategy building.")
|
|
except Exception as e:
|
|
# Don't break the main loop for strategy building failures
|
|
logger.warning(f"StrategyOrchestrator: Unexpected error: {e}. Skipping strategy building.")
|
|
|
|
|
|
def main(
|
|
path=None,
|
|
step_n: int | None = None,
|
|
loop_n: int | None = None,
|
|
all_duration: str | None = None,
|
|
checkout: bool = True,
|
|
base_features_path: str | None = None,
|
|
auto_strategies: bool = False,
|
|
auto_strategies_threshold: int = 500,
|
|
**kwargs,
|
|
):
|
|
"""
|
|
Auto R&D Evolving loop for fintech factors.
|
|
You can continue running session by
|
|
.. code-block:: python
|
|
dotenv run -- python rdagent/app/qlib_rd_loop/quant.py $LOG_PATH/__session__/1/0_propose --step_n 1 # `step_n` is a optional paramter
|
|
|
|
Parameters
|
|
----------
|
|
auto_strategies : bool
|
|
Automatically generate strategies after factor threshold
|
|
auto_strategies_threshold : int
|
|
Number of factors before triggering strategy generation
|
|
"""
|
|
if path is None:
|
|
quant_loop = QuantRDLoop(QUANT_PROP_SETTING)
|
|
else:
|
|
quant_loop = QuantRDLoop.load(path, checkout=checkout)
|
|
quant_loop._init_base_features(base_features_path)
|
|
if "user_interaction_queues" in kwargs and kwargs["user_interaction_queues"] is not None:
|
|
quant_loop._set_interactor(*kwargs["user_interaction_queues"])
|
|
quant_loop._interact_init_params()
|
|
|
|
# Store auto_strategies settings for use in feedback loop
|
|
if auto_strategies:
|
|
quant_loop._auto_strategies = True
|
|
quant_loop._auto_strategies_threshold = auto_strategies_threshold
|
|
logger.info(
|
|
f"Auto-strategies enabled. Will trigger after {auto_strategies_threshold} factors."
|
|
)
|
|
else:
|
|
quant_loop._auto_strategies = False
|
|
quant_loop._auto_strategies_threshold = auto_strategies_threshold
|
|
|
|
asyncio.run(quant_loop.run(step_n=step_n, loop_n=loop_n, all_duration=all_duration))
|
|
|
|
|
|
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
|
fire.Fire(main)
|