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arb-alerts
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
{"rows":[{"asset":"BTC","kalshi_ticker":"KXBTCD-26MAY2302-T75499.99","kalshi_strike":75499.99,"poly_slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-may-23-2026-1am-et","poly_strike":75539.77,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0005268874870049497,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":99453.38,"poly_price":0.01,"poly_size":3264.5,"combined_cost":1.01,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":0.0007128,"total_fee":0.0007128,"worst_pnl":-1.0107128,"best_pnl":-0.010712799999999967,"mid_pnl":-1.0107128,"net_return":-1.0007057425742576,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":3264.5,"total_gain":-3299.4719356,"poly_volume":16393.033920000005,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"Bitcoin price on May 23, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 2 AM EDT is above 75499.99 at 2 AM EDT on May 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$75,500 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$75,500 or above","poly_question":"Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","implied_strike":75539.77,"binance_spot":75479.7,"cf_spot":75388.905,"divergence":0.0012043549379049643,"window_start":"01:00 ET","window_close":"02:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"ETH","kalshi_ticker":"KXETHD-26MAY2302-T2059.99","kalshi_strike":2059.99,"poly_slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-may-23-2026-1am-et","poly_strike":2067.29,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.003543706522847287,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":0.01,"kalshi_size":1178.21,"poly_price":0.01,"poly_size":4374.7,"combined_cost":0.02,"kalshi_fee":0.0006930000000000001,"poly_fee":0.0007128,"total_fee":0.0014058,"worst_pnl":-0.021405800000000003,"best_pnl":0.9785942000000001,"mid_pnl":-0.021405800000000003,"net_return":-1.0702900000000002,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":1178.21,"total_gain":-25.220527618000006,"poly_volume":3142.7473289999994,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"Ethereum price at May 23, 2026 at 2am EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 2 AM EDT is above 2059.99 at 2 AM EDT on May 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$2,060 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$2,060 or above","poly_question":"Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","implied_strike":2067.29,"binance_spot":2064.84,"cf_spot":2062.385,"divergence":0.0011903694024151296,"window_start":"01:00 ET","window_close":"02:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"SOL","kalshi_ticker":"KXSOLD-26MAY2302-T83.9999","kalshi_strike":83.9999,"poly_slug":"solana-up-or-down-may-23-2026-1am-et","poly_strike":84.41,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.004882148669224606,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":40.57,"poly_price":0.08,"poly_size":26.15,"combined_cost":1.08,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":0.0052992,"total_fee":0.0052992,"worst_pnl":-0.0852992,"best_pnl":0.9147008000000001,"mid_pnl":0.9147008000000001,"net_return":-0.07898074074074074,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":26.15,"total_gain":-2.2305740800000002,"poly_volume":1770.6392509999996,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"SOL price on May 23, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 2 AM EDT is above $83.9999 at 2 AM EDT on May 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$84 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$84 or above","poly_question":"Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","implied_strike":84.41,"binance_spot":84.46,"cf_spot":84.355,"divergence":0.0012447394938058178,"window_start":"01:00 ET","window_close":"02:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"XRP","kalshi_ticker":"KXXRPD-26MAY2302-T1.3399","kalshi_strike":1.3399,"poly_slug":"xrp-up-or-down-may-23-2026-1am-et","poly_strike":1.3364,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":0.002612135233972728,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":0.0,"poly_price":0.001,"poly_size":4926.9,"combined_cost":1.001,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":7.1928e-05,"total_fee":7.1928e-05,"worst_pnl":-0.001071928,"best_pnl":0.998928072,"mid_pnl":0.998928072,"net_return":-0.001070857142857143,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":0.0,"total_gain":-0.0,"poly_volume":840.875797,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Ripple price at May 23, 2026 at 2am EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 2 AM EDT is above 1.3399 at 2 AM EDT on May 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$1.33991 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$1.33991 or above","poly_question":"XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","implied_strike":1.3364,"binance_spot":1.3315,"cf_spot":1.32985,"divergence":0.0012407414370041202,"window_start":"01:00 ET","window_close":"02:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"DOGE","kalshi_ticker":"KXDOGED-26MAY2302-T0.0999999","kalshi_strike":0.0999999,"poly_slug":"dogecoin-up-or-down-may-23-2026-1am-et","poly_strike":0.10152,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.015201015201015165,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":0.01,"kalshi_size":0.0,"poly_price":0.01,"poly_size":1290.63,"combined_cost":0.02,"kalshi_fee":0.0006930000000000001,"poly_fee":0.0007128,"total_fee":0.0014058,"worst_pnl":-0.021405800000000003,"best_pnl":0.9785942000000001,"mid_pnl":-0.021405800000000003,"net_return":-1.0702900000000002,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":0.0,"total_gain":-0.0,"poly_volume":533.612962,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"Dogecoin price on May 23, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 2 AM EDT is above 0.0999999 at 2 AM EDT on May 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$0.1 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$0.1 or above","poly_question":"Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 1AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed a\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dogecoin-9ae840dfa3.png","implied_strike":0.10152,"binance_spot":0.10124,"cf_spot":0.10109,"divergence":0.001483826293401893,"window_start":"01:00 ET","window_close":"02:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"BNB","kalshi_ticker":"KXBNBD-26MAY2302-T649.99","kalshi_strike":649.99,"poly_slug":"bnb-up-or-down-may-23-2026-1am-et","poly_strike":650.19,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.000307697041493016,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":0.0,"poly_price":0.01,"poly_size":1480.12,"combined_cost":1.01,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":0.0007128,"total_fee":0.0007128,"worst_pnl":-1.0107128,"best_pnl":-0.010712799999999967,"mid_pnl":-1.0107128,"net_return":-1.0007057425742576,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":0.0,"total_gain":-0.0,"poly_volume":23.296366,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"BNB price on May 23, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 2 AM EDT is above $649.99 at 2 AM EDT on May 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$650 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$650 or above","poly_question":"BNB Up or Down - May 23, 1AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bnb%20logo-247a9f7a39.png","implied_strike":650.19,"binance_spot":649.16,"cf_spot":null,"divergence":null,"window_start":"01:00 ET","window_close":"02:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1}],"summary":{"total":6,"fetch_ms":3270,"ARB":0,"NO ARB":2,"BAD BASIS":4,"LOW SIZE":0,"NO DATA":0,"NO KALSHI":0,"max_divergence":0.001483826293401893},"settings":{"kalshi_fee_rate":0.07,"poly_fee_rate":0.072,"min_net_return":0.002,"min_poly_volume":100.0,"min_contracts":1.0},"mode":"hourly","generated_at":"2026-05-23 05:59:21"}
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