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arb-alerts
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
{"rows":[{"asset":"BTC","kalshi_ticker":"KXBTCD-26MAY2918-T73699.99","kalshi_strike":73699.99,"poly_slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-may-29-2026-5pm-et","poly_strike":73673.62,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":0.0003578019481415112,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":0.97,"kalshi_size":38572.98,"poly_price":0.22,"poly_size":92.33,"combined_cost":1.19,"kalshi_fee":0.002037000000000002,"poly_fee":0.0123552,"total_fee":0.014392200000000003,"worst_pnl":-0.2043922,"best_pnl":0.7956078000000001,"mid_pnl":0.7956078000000001,"net_return":-0.1717581512605042,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":92.33,"total_gain":-18.871531826,"poly_volume":15497.012411999993,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 6 PM EDT is above 73699.99 at 6 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$73,700 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$73,700 or above","poly_question":"Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","implied_strike":73673.62,"binance_spot":73598.0,"cf_spot":73476.015,"divergence":0.0016602016317842031,"window_start":"17:00 ET","window_close":"18:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":16},{"asset":"ETH","kalshi_ticker":"KXETHD-26MAY2918-T2009.99","kalshi_strike":2009.99,"poly_slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-may-29-2026-5pm-et","poly_strike":2018.17,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.004069671988417884,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":0.21,"kalshi_size":2761.32,"poly_price":0.15,"poly_size":115.88,"combined_cost":0.36,"kalshi_fee":0.011613000000000002,"poly_fee":0.009179999999999999,"total_fee":0.020793,"worst_pnl":-0.380793,"best_pnl":0.6192070000000001,"mid_pnl":-0.380793,"net_return":-1.0577583333333334,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":115.88,"total_gain":-44.12629284,"poly_volume":3906.887479000002,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"Ethereum price at May 29, 2026 at 6pm EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 6 PM EDT is above 2009.99 at 6 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$2,010 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$2,010 or above","poly_question":"Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","implied_strike":2018.17,"binance_spot":2015.39,"cf_spot":2011.99,"divergence":0.0016898692339425599,"window_start":"17:00 ET","window_close":"18:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":16},{"asset":"SOL","kalshi_ticker":"KXSOLD-26MAY2918-T81.9999","kalshi_strike":81.9999,"poly_slug":"solana-up-or-down-may-29-2026-5pm-et","poly_strike":82.23,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0028061009830500686,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.5,"kalshi_size":43.83,"poly_price":0.87,"poly_size":7.84,"combined_cost":1.37,"kalshi_fee":0.0175,"poly_fee":0.0081432,"total_fee":0.0256432,"worst_pnl":-0.39564320000000003,"best_pnl":0.6043568,"mid_pnl":0.6043568,"net_return":-0.28879065693430656,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":7.84,"total_gain":-3.101842688,"poly_volume":899.1531650000002,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"SOL price on May 29, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 6 PM EDT is above $81.9999 at 6 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$82 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$82 or above","poly_question":"Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","implied_strike":82.23,"binance_spot":82.05,"cf_spot":81.9,"divergence":0.0018315018315017272,"window_start":"17:00 ET","window_close":"18:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":16},{"asset":"XRP","kalshi_ticker":"KXXRPD-26MAY2918-T1.3199","kalshi_strike":1.3199,"poly_slug":"xrp-up-or-down-may-29-2026-5pm-et","poly_strike":1.3226,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0020456095158723573,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.97,"kalshi_size":1.0,"poly_price":0.7,"poly_size":27.54,"combined_cost":1.67,"kalshi_fee":0.002037000000000002,"poly_fee":0.01512,"total_fee":0.017157000000000002,"worst_pnl":-0.6871569999999999,"best_pnl":0.31284300000000004,"mid_pnl":0.31284300000000004,"net_return":-0.4114712574850299,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":1.0,"total_gain":-0.6871569999999999,"poly_volume":534.807017,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Ripple price at May 29, 2026 at 6pm EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 6 PM EDT is above 1.3199 at 6 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$1.31991 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$1.31991 or above","poly_question":"XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","implied_strike":1.3226,"binance_spot":1.3216,"cf_spot":1.31955,"divergence":0.0015535599257323386,"window_start":"17:00 ET","window_close":"18:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":16},{"asset":"DOGE","kalshi_ticker":"KXDOGED-26MAY2918-T0.0999999","kalshi_strike":0.0999999,"poly_slug":"dogecoin-up-or-down-may-29-2026-5pm-et","poly_strike":0.10011,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0011010011010011197,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.68,"kalshi_size":91.0,"poly_price":0.51,"poly_size":5.44,"combined_cost":1.19,"kalshi_fee":0.015232,"poly_fee":0.017992799999999996,"total_fee":0.0332248,"worst_pnl":-0.2232248000000001,"best_pnl":0.7767751999999999,"mid_pnl":0.7767751999999999,"net_return":-0.1875838655462186,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":5.44,"total_gain":-1.2143429120000007,"poly_volume":48.183354,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Dogecoin price on May 29, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 6 PM EDT is above 0.0999999 at 6 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$0.1 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$0.1 or above","poly_question":"Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed a\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dogecoin-9ae840dfa3.png","implied_strike":0.10011,"binance_spot":0.10011,"cf_spot":0.099955,"divergence":0.0015506978140163309,"window_start":"17:00 ET","window_close":"18:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":16},{"asset":"BNB","kalshi_ticker":"KXBNBD-26MAY2918-T639.99","kalshi_strike":639.99,"poly_slug":"bnb-up-or-down-may-29-2026-5pm-et","poly_strike":642.21,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0034688042000656687,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":0.0,"poly_price":0.82,"poly_size":56.93,"combined_cost":1.8199999999999998,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":0.010627200000000002,"total_fee":0.010627200000000002,"worst_pnl":-1.8306272,"best_pnl":-0.8306271999999999,"mid_pnl":-1.8306272,"net_return":-1.0058391208791209,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":0.0,"total_gain":-0.0,"poly_volume":201.68282799999997,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"BNB price on May 29, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 6 PM EDT is above $639.99 at 6 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$640 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$640 or above","poly_question":"BNB Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bnb%20logo-247a9f7a39.png","implied_strike":642.21,"binance_spot":642.79,"cf_spot":null,"divergence":null,"window_start":"17:00 ET","window_close":"18:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":16}],"summary":{"total":6,"fetch_ms":2592,"ARB":0,"NO ARB":4,"BAD BASIS":2,"LOW SIZE":0,"NO DATA":0,"NO KALSHI":0,"max_divergence":0.0018315018315017272},"settings":{"kalshi_fee_rate":0.07,"poly_fee_rate":0.072,"min_net_return":0.001,"min_poly_volume":100.0,"min_contracts":1.0},"mode":"hourly","generated_at":"2026-05-29 21:44:16"}
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