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arb-alerts
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
{"rows":[{"asset":"BTC","kalshi_ticker":"KXBTCD-26JUL2504-T63999.99","kalshi_strike":63999.99,"poly_slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-july-25-2026-3am-et","poly_strike":64010.0,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.00015640627443851222,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.02,"kalshi_size":111448.65,"poly_price":0.76,"poly_size":0.57,"combined_cost":0.78,"kalshi_fee":0.0013720000000000002,"poly_fee":0.013132799999999998,"total_fee":0.014504799999999998,"worst_pnl":0.2054952,"best_pnl":1.2054951999999999,"mid_pnl":1.2054951999999999,"net_return":0.2634553846153846,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":0.57,"total_gain":0.11713226399999999,"poly_volume":15626.245155000015,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"LOW SIZE","kalshi_title":"Bitcoin price on Jul 25, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 4 AM EDT is above 63999.99 at 4 AM EDT on Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$64,000 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$64,000 or above","poly_question":"Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","implied_strike":64010.0,"binance_spot":64030.0,"cf_spot":63963.715,"divergence":0.0010362906532243085,"window_start":"03:00 ET","window_close":"04:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"ETH","kalshi_ticker":"KXETHD-26JUL2504-T1859.99","kalshi_strike":1859.99,"poly_slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-july-25-2026-3am-et","poly_strike":1858.55,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":0.0007741977107404097,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":5612.33,"poly_price":0.01,"poly_size":1942.26,"combined_cost":1.01,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":0.0007128,"total_fee":0.0007128,"worst_pnl":-0.0107128,"best_pnl":0.9892872,"mid_pnl":0.9892872,"net_return":-0.010606732673267326,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":1942.26,"total_gain":-20.807042927999998,"poly_volume":6105.134518999996,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Ethereum price at Jul 25, 2026 at 4am EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 4 AM EDT is above 1859.99 at 4 AM EDT on Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$1,860 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$1,860 or above","poly_question":"Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 3AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","implied_strike":1858.55,"binance_spot":1856.34,"cf_spot":1854.81,"divergence":0.0008248823329613129,"window_start":"03:00 ET","window_close":"04:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"SOL","kalshi_ticker":"KXSOLD-26JUL2504-T73.9999","kalshi_strike":73.9999,"poly_slug":"solana-up-or-down-july-25-2026-3am-et","poly_strike":74.03,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0004067573064288527,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":4770.38,"poly_price":0.001,"poly_size":1334.34,"combined_cost":1.001,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":7.1928e-05,"total_fee":7.1928e-05,"worst_pnl":-1.001071928,"best_pnl":-0.0010719279999999998,"mid_pnl":-1.001071928,"net_return":-1.0000718561438562,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":1334.34,"total_gain":-1335.7703164075199,"poly_volume":1412.1478780000002,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"SOL price on Jul 25, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 4 AM EDT is above $73.9999 at 4 AM EDT on Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$74 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$74 or above","poly_question":"Solana Up or Down - July 25, 3AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","implied_strike":74.03,"binance_spot":73.79,"cf_spot":73.745,"divergence":0.0006102108617533623,"window_start":"03:00 ET","window_close":"04:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"XRP","kalshi_ticker":"KXXRPD-26JUL2504-T1.0799","kalshi_strike":1.0799,"poly_slug":"xrp-up-or-down-july-25-2026-3am-et","poly_strike":1.0897,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.009074914343920555,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":0.01,"kalshi_size":0.0,"poly_price":0.01,"poly_size":1016.96,"combined_cost":0.02,"kalshi_fee":0.0006930000000000001,"poly_fee":0.0007128,"total_fee":0.0014058,"worst_pnl":-0.021405800000000003,"best_pnl":0.9785942000000001,"mid_pnl":-0.021405800000000003,"net_return":-1.0702900000000002,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":0.0,"total_gain":-0.0,"poly_volume":553.017235,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"Ripple price at Jul 25, 2026 at 4am EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 4 AM EDT is above 1.0799 at 4 AM EDT on Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$1.07991 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$1.07991 or above","poly_question":"XRP Up or Down - July 25, 3AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","implied_strike":1.0897,"binance_spot":1.0884,"cf_spot":1.0875,"divergence":0.0008275862068966648,"window_start":"03:00 ET","window_close":"04:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"DOGE","kalshi_ticker":"KXDOGED-26JUL2504-T0.0699999","kalshi_strike":0.0699999,"poly_slug":"dogecoin-up-or-down-july-25-2026-3am-et","poly_strike":0.06945,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":0.007855725508179381,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":1.0,"kalshi_size":0.0,"poly_price":0.02,"poly_size":20.0,"combined_cost":1.02,"kalshi_fee":0.0,"poly_fee":0.0014111999999999998,"total_fee":0.0014111999999999998,"worst_pnl":-0.021411200000000002,"best_pnl":0.9785888,"mid_pnl":0.9785888,"net_return":-0.02099137254901961,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":0.0,"total_gain":-0.0,"poly_volume":223.557499,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Dogecoin price on Jul 25, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 4 AM EDT is above 0.0699999 at 4 AM EDT on Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$0.07 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$0.07 or above","poly_question":"Dogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 3AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed a\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dogecoin-9ae840dfa3.png","implied_strike":0.06945,"binance_spot":0.06937,"cf_spot":0.06931,"divergence":0.0008656759486366253,"window_start":"03:00 ET","window_close":"04:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1},{"asset":"BNB","kalshi_ticker":"KXBNBD-26JUL2504-T564.99","kalshi_strike":564.99,"poly_slug":"bnb-up-or-down-july-25-2026-3am-et","poly_strike":565.02,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-5.309828492534861e-05,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.02,"kalshi_size":5.0,"poly_price":0.999,"poly_size":115.0,"combined_cost":1.019,"kalshi_fee":0.0013720000000000002,"poly_fee":7.192800000000006e-05,"total_fee":0.0014439280000000001,"worst_pnl":-0.020443928000000056,"best_pnl":0.9795560719999999,"mid_pnl":0.9795560719999999,"net_return":-0.020062736015701726,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":5.0,"total_gain":-0.10221964000000028,"poly_volume":184.19732700000003,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"BNB price on Jul 25, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 4 AM EDT is above $564.99 at 4 AM EDT on Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$565 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$565 or above","poly_question":"BNB Up or Down - July 25, 3AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bnb%20logo-247a9f7a39.png","implied_strike":565.02,"binance_spot":564.65,"cf_spot":null,"divergence":null,"window_start":"03:00 ET","window_close":"04:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":1}],"summary":{"total":6,"fetch_ms":3040,"ARB":0,"NO ARB":3,"BAD BASIS":2,"LOW SIZE":1,"NO DATA":0,"NO KALSHI":0,"max_divergence":0.0010362906532243085},"settings":{"kalshi_fee_rate":0.07,"poly_fee_rate":0.072,"min_net_return":0.001,"min_poly_volume":100.0,"min_contracts":1.0},"mode":"hourly","generated_at":"2026-07-25 07:59:16"}
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