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arb-alerts
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
2 lines
11 KiB
JSON
{"rows":[{"asset":"BTC","kalshi_ticker":"KXBTCD-26JUL1111-T64199.99","kalshi_strike":64199.99,"poly_slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-july-11-2026-10am-et","poly_strike":64235.67,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0005557633264428903,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.59,"kalshi_size":28247.37,"poly_price":0.42,"poly_size":233.64,"combined_cost":1.01,"kalshi_fee":0.016933000000000004,"poly_fee":0.0175392,"total_fee":0.03447220000000001,"worst_pnl":-0.044472199999999906,"best_pnl":0.9555278000000001,"mid_pnl":0.9555278000000001,"net_return":-0.04403188118811872,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":233.64,"total_gain":-10.390484807999977,"poly_volume":6183.9499049999995,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Bitcoin price on Jul 11, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 11 AM EDT is above 64199.99 at 11 AM EDT on Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$64,200 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$64,200 or above","poly_question":"Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","implied_strike":64235.67,"binance_spot":64261.99,"cf_spot":64211.135,"divergence":0.0007919965906224197,"window_start":"10:00 ET","window_close":"11:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":51},{"asset":"ETH","kalshi_ticker":"KXETHD-26JUL1111-T1809.99","kalshi_strike":1809.99,"poly_slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-july-11-2026-10am-et","poly_strike":1802.61,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":0.0040773705932077575,"basis_favorable":false,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.05,"kalshi_size":1193.55,"poly_price":0.36,"poly_size":160.0,"combined_cost":0.41,"kalshi_fee":0.0033250000000000003,"poly_fee":0.0165888,"total_fee":0.019913800000000002,"worst_pnl":-0.4299138,"best_pnl":0.5700862000000001,"mid_pnl":-0.4299138,"net_return":-1.0485702439024391,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":160.0,"total_gain":-68.786208,"poly_volume":256.186011,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"BAD BASIS","kalshi_title":"Ethereum price at Jul 11, 2026 at 11am EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 11 AM EDT is above 1809.99 at 11 AM EDT on Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$1,810 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$1,810 or above","poly_question":"Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","implied_strike":1802.61,"binance_spot":1803.92,"cf_spot":1802.715,"divergence":0.0006684362198129791,"window_start":"10:00 ET","window_close":"11:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":51},{"asset":"SOL","kalshi_ticker":"KXSOLD-26JUL1111-T77.9999","kalshi_strike":77.9999,"poly_slug":"solana-up-or-down-july-11-2026-10am-et","poly_strike":78.17,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0021807720266308677,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.87,"kalshi_size":264.19,"poly_price":0.3,"poly_size":15.0,"combined_cost":1.17,"kalshi_fee":0.007917,"poly_fee":0.015119999999999998,"total_fee":0.023037,"worst_pnl":-0.19303700000000001,"best_pnl":0.8069629999999999,"mid_pnl":0.8069629999999999,"net_return":-0.1649888888888889,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":15.0,"total_gain":-2.8955550000000003,"poly_volume":270.227577,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"SOL price on Jul 11, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 11 AM EDT is above $77.9999 at 11 AM EDT on Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$78 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$78 or above","poly_question":"Solana Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","implied_strike":78.17,"binance_spot":78.31,"cf_spot":78.225,"divergence":0.0010866091403005172,"window_start":"10:00 ET","window_close":"11:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":51},{"asset":"XRP","kalshi_ticker":"KXXRPD-26JUL1111-T1.0999","kalshi_strike":1.0999,"poly_slug":"xrp-up-or-down-july-11-2026-10am-et","poly_strike":1.1088,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.008091644694972186,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.99,"kalshi_size":10.0,"poly_price":0.32,"poly_size":15.88,"combined_cost":1.31,"kalshi_fee":0.0006930000000000006,"poly_fee":0.015667199999999996,"total_fee":0.016360199999999995,"worst_pnl":-0.3263602000000001,"best_pnl":0.6736397999999999,"mid_pnl":0.6736397999999999,"net_return":-0.2491299236641222,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":10.0,"total_gain":-3.263602000000001,"poly_volume":122.476627,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Ripple price at Jul 11, 2026 at 11am EDT?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 11 AM EDT is above 1.0999 at 11 AM EDT on Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$1.09991 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$1.09991 or above","poly_question":"XRP Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","implied_strike":1.1088,"binance_spot":1.1099,"cf_spot":1.10885,"divergence":0.000946926996437947,"window_start":"10:00 ET","window_close":"11:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":51},{"asset":"DOGE","kalshi_ticker":"KXDOGED-26JUL1111-T0.0749999","kalshi_strike":0.0749999,"poly_slug":"dogecoin-up-or-down-july-11-2026-10am-et","poly_strike":0.07467,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":0.004398672531563297,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"NO+YES","kalshi_price":0.68,"kalshi_size":2.0,"poly_price":0.86,"poly_size":80.0,"combined_cost":1.54,"kalshi_fee":0.015232,"poly_fee":0.0086688,"total_fee":0.0239008,"worst_pnl":-0.5639008000000001,"best_pnl":0.4360991999999999,"mid_pnl":0.4360991999999999,"net_return":-0.3661693506493507,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":2.0,"total_gain":-1.1278016000000002,"poly_volume":10.0,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"Dogecoin price on Jul 11, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If there is a 60 second average of CF Benchmarks' Dogecoin Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI) before 11 AM EDT is above 0.0749999 at 11 AM EDT on Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$0.075 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$0.075 or above","poly_question":"Dogecoin Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed a\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dogecoin-9ae840dfa3.png","implied_strike":0.07467,"binance_spot":0.07499,"cf_spot":0.074905,"divergence":0.0011347707095654728,"window_start":"10:00 ET","window_close":"11:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":51},{"asset":"BNB","kalshi_ticker":"KXBNBD-26JUL1111-T579.99","kalshi_strike":579.99,"poly_slug":"bnb-up-or-down-july-11-2026-10am-et","poly_strike":581.21,"direction":"Above","basis_pct":-0.0021034845428369925,"basis_favorable":true,"best_side":"YES+NO","kalshi_price":0.84,"kalshi_size":4.0,"poly_price":0.34,"poly_size":150.0,"combined_cost":1.18,"kalshi_fee":0.009408000000000003,"poly_fee":0.016156799999999995,"total_fee":0.0255648,"worst_pnl":-0.2055648,"best_pnl":0.7944352,"mid_pnl":0.7944352,"net_return":-0.17420745762711864,"annualized":null,"max_contracts":4.0,"total_gain":-0.8222592,"poly_volume":16.348771000000003,"days_to_expiry":null,"status":"NO ARB","kalshi_title":"BNB price on Jul 11, 2026?","kalshi_rules":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 11 AM EDT is above $579.99 at 11 AM EDT on Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","kalshi_yes_label":"$580 or above","kalshi_no_label":"$580 or above","poly_question":"BNB Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET","poly_description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close \u00ab C \u00bb and open \u00ab O \u00bb displayed at t\u2026","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bnb%20logo-247a9f7a39.png","implied_strike":581.21,"binance_spot":581.8,"cf_spot":null,"divergence":null,"window_start":"10:00 ET","window_close":"11:00 ET","minutes_to_resolve":51}],"summary":{"total":6,"fetch_ms":2215,"ARB":0,"NO ARB":5,"BAD BASIS":1,"LOW SIZE":0,"NO DATA":0,"NO KALSHI":0,"max_divergence":0.0011347707095654728},"settings":{"kalshi_fee_rate":0.07,"poly_fee_rate":0.072,"min_net_return":0.001,"min_poly_volume":100.0,"min_contracts":1.0},"mode":"hourly","generated_at":"2026-07-11 14:09:13"}
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