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Kalshi_Polymarket/data/pairs.json
T
Casey Judice 36dd29b549 Map XRP/ETH below-pairs + harden Kalshi quote handling 
Populate the XRP and ETH MINMON (below) pairs that were silently NO PAIR:
they were never mapped to Polymarket's "dip to" markets (and two ETH pairs
pointed at the now-resolved dip-to-2000). Map each to the nearest live Poly
strike; leave strikes with no comparable Poly market (ETH $250, below Poly's
$400 floor) as NO PAIR.

Also fix two correctness gaps surfaced while investigating:
- Settled/finalized Kalshi markets returned stale 1.0/0.0 sentinel prices and
  were scored as live; now reported as NO KALSHI (timely as month-end monthly
  contracts settle).
- A Kalshi ask of exactly $1.00 means "no resting offer" (real asks are 1-99c);
  it was treated as a tradeable quote, producing phantom BAD BASIS rows at
  -100%. Drop it at the source so no fake leg enters the arb math.
- When both venues are live but no opposite-side hedge can be built, report
  NO ARB instead of the misleading NO DATA.

No real arb affected (a $1.00 leg can never be profitable); ARB count holds
at 3 and phantom BAD BASIS rows dropped 16 to 9.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-29 17:44:43 -04:00

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[
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-6250",
"kalshi_strike": 62.5,
"poly_slug": null,
"poly_strike": null
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-6000",
"kalshi_strike": 60.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-52-in-may",
"poly_strike": 52.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-5750",
"kalshi_strike": 57.5,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-52-in-may",
"poly_strike": 52.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-5500",
"kalshi_strike": 55.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-52-in-may",
"poly_strike": 52.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-5250",
"kalshi_strike": 52.5,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-52-in-may",
"poly_strike": 52.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-5000",
"kalshi_strike": 50.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-52-in-may",
"poly_strike": 52.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-4750",
"kalshi_strike": 47.5,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-48-in-may",
"poly_strike": 48.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMAXMON-HYPE-26MAY31-4500",
"kalshi_strike": 45.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-reach-44-in-may",
"poly_strike": 44.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-4000",
"kalshi_strike": 40.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-38-in-may",
"poly_strike": 38.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-3750",
"kalshi_strike": 37.5,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-38-in-may",
"poly_strike": 38.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-3500",
"kalshi_strike": 35.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-38-in-may",
"poly_strike": 38.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-3250",
"kalshi_strike": 32.5,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-32-in-may",
"poly_strike": 32.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-3000",
"kalshi_strike": 30.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-32-in-may",
"poly_strike": 32.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-2750",
"kalshi_strike": 27.5,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-28-in-may",
"poly_strike": 28.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-2500",
"kalshi_strike": 25.0,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-24-in-may",
"poly_strike": 24.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "HYPE",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXHYPEMINMON-HYPE-26MAY31-2250",
"kalshi_strike": 22.5,
"poly_slug": "will-hyperliquid-dip-to-24-in-may",
"poly_strike": 24.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9750000",
"kalshi_strike": 97500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-95k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 95000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9500000",
"kalshi_strike": 95000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-95k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 95000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9250000",
"kalshi_strike": 92500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-95k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 95000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-9000000",
"kalshi_strike": 90000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-90k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 90000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8750000",
"kalshi_strike": 87500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-85k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 85000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8500000",
"kalshi_strike": 85000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-85k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 85000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MAY31-8250000",
"kalshi_strike": 82500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-reach-85k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 85000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7500000",
"kalshi_strike": 75000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-75k-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 75000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7250000",
"kalshi_strike": 72500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919",
"poly_strike": 70000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7000000",
"kalshi_strike": 70000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919",
"poly_strike": 70000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6750000",
"kalshi_strike": 67500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026-183-857-425",
"poly_strike": 65000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6500000",
"kalshi_strike": 65000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026-183-857-425",
"poly_strike": 65000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6250000",
"kalshi_strike": 62500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-may-2026-973-269",
"poly_strike": 60000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6000000",
"kalshi_strike": 60000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-may-2026-973-269",
"poly_strike": 60000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-5750000",
"kalshi_strike": 57500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-55k-in-may-2026-941",
"poly_strike": 55000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-425000",
"kalshi_strike": 4250.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-4000-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 4000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-400000",
"kalshi_strike": 4000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-4000-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 4000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-375000",
"kalshi_strike": 3750.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-3800-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 3800.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-350000",
"kalshi_strike": 3500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-3400-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 3400.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-325000",
"kalshi_strike": 3250.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-3200-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 3200.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-300000",
"kalshi_strike": 3000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-3000-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 3000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-275000",
"kalshi_strike": 2750.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-2800-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 2800.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26MAY31-250000",
"kalshi_strike": 2500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-reach-2600-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 2600.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-75000",
"kalshi_strike": 750.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-dip-to-800-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 800.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-50000",
"kalshi_strike": 500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-dip-to-400-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 400.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-25000",
"kalshi_strike": 250.0,
"poly_slug": null,
"poly_strike": null
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-200000",
"kalshi_strike": 2000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-dip-to-1800-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1800.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-175000",
"kalshi_strike": 1750.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-dip-to-1800-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1800.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-150000",
"kalshi_strike": 1500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-dip-to-1400-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1400.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-125000",
"kalshi_strike": 1250.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-dip-to-1200-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1200.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "ETH",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26MAY31-100000",
"kalshi_strike": 1000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-ethereum-dip-to-1000-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1000.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-9500",
"kalshi_strike": 95.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-100-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 100.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-9000",
"kalshi_strike": 90.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-90-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 90.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-12500",
"kalshi_strike": 125.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-130-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 130.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-12000",
"kalshi_strike": 120.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-120-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 120.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-11500",
"kalshi_strike": 115.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-120-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 120.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-11000",
"kalshi_strike": 110.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-110-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 110.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-10500",
"kalshi_strike": 105.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-100-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 100.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-10000",
"kalshi_strike": 100.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-reach-100-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 100.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-8000",
"kalshi_strike": 80.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-70-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 70.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-7500",
"kalshi_strike": 75.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-70-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 70.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-7000",
"kalshi_strike": 70.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-70-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 70.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-6500",
"kalshi_strike": 65.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-60-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 60.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-6000",
"kalshi_strike": 60.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-60-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 60.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-5500",
"kalshi_strike": 55.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-50-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 50.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-5000",
"kalshi_strike": 50.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-50-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 50.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "SOL",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26MAY31-4500",
"kalshi_strike": 45.0,
"poly_slug": "will-solana-dip-to-50-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 50.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-210",
"kalshi_strike": 2.1,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-reach-2-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 2.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-200",
"kalshi_strike": 2.0,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-reach-2-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 2.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-190",
"kalshi_strike": 1.9,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-reach-1pt8-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.8
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-180",
"kalshi_strike": 1.8,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-reach-1pt8-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.8
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-170",
"kalshi_strike": 1.7,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-reach-1pt6-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.6
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-160",
"kalshi_strike": 1.6,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-reach-1pt6-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.6
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMAXMON-XRP-26MAY31-150",
"kalshi_strike": 1.5,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-reach-1pt6-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.6
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-130",
"kalshi_strike": 1.3,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-dip-to-1pt2-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.2
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-120",
"kalshi_strike": 1.2,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-dip-to-1pt2-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.2
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-110",
"kalshi_strike": 1.1,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-dip-to-1-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-100",
"kalshi_strike": 1.0,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-dip-to-1-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 1.0
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-090",
"kalshi_strike": 0.9,
"poly_slug": "will-xrp-dip-to-0pt8-in-may-2026",
"poly_strike": 0.8
},
{
"active": true,
"asset": "XRP",
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