3 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Casey Judice 757d0cb55d Distinguish NO POLY / NO KALSHI from generic NO DATA
calc.evaluate now reports NO POLY when the Kalshi side has data but the
Polymarket slug doesn't resolve (the common case: Polymarket renamed/
dropped a market while Kalshi still trades it). NO KALSHI is the reverse,
NO DATA only when both are missing. User caught this looking at BTC <70k
May: 20 of 118 pairs were silently NO-DATA when the real cause was Poly-
side absence — now visible as a dedicated NO POLY chip + filter button.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-29 17:06:43 -04:00
Casey Judice b1f18ca9f1 IBKR × Kalshi daily-BTC scanner (local-only)
- arb/ibkr.py: Client Portal Gateway client (localhost:5000 over self-
  signed SSL; auth_status, tickle, snapshot, secdef/search). Distinct
  NotConnected vs NotAuthed exceptions for graceful UI fallbacks.
- arb/daily.py: pairs each user-configured IBKR ForecastEx daily-BTC
  contract against the Kalshi KXBTCD market closing at the same UTC
  instant with nearest strike. Reuses arb.calc.evaluate for the worst-
  case arb math; IBKR slots into the 'pq' position. NO KALSHI status
  when no matching Kalshi market exists.
- data/ibkr_contracts.example.json: template (real file gitignored).
- /api/scan/daily route + 'IBKR × Kalshi' tab in the local UI. Tab
  shows a setup banner explaining what to do when Gateway/contracts
  aren't configured (vs crashing).
- Public Pages dashboard unchanged (positions + IBKR are local-only).

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-23 16:16:53 -04:00
Casey Judice 05c0441053 Initial commit: prediction-market arb scanner + GHA alerts
- Monthly + hourly Kalshi/Polymarket arb scanner (stdlib-only Python).
- Live positions tab w/ realized P&L history.
- GitHub Actions cron workflow texts SMS via Apps Script webhook on
  newly-detected arbs. State persisted in alerts_state.json.

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-20 19:48:50 -04:00