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Refresh stale Polymarket slugs (BTC dip markets rediscovered)

Browse Source 
Polymarket appends random hash suffixes when re-publishing markets
(e.g. will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026 → ...-2026-438-356-919).
Our static pairs.json had the unsuffixed slugs from the original
spreadsheet snapshot, so every BTC 'below' pair silently fell through
to NO POLY despite both venues having liquid markets. User flagged
this looking at BTC <70k May.

- scripts/refresh_pairs.py: walks each asset's 'what-price-will-X-
  hit-in-may' multi-outcome event on Gamma, rebuilds the
  (asset, direction, strike) → slug map, rewrites data/pairs.json.
  Probes HYPE strikes individually since there's no container event
  for that asset. Has --dry-run.
- data/pairs.json: updated to current live slugs. Two BTC arbs that
  were previously hidden now surface (BTC <65k and <70k both ARB).

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Casey Judice
2026-05-29 17:12:05 -04:00
parent c3cf16bde3
commit 8cb8d4a9e4
2 changed files with 130 additions and 7 deletions
Download Patch File Download Diff File Expand all files Collapse all files
data/pairs.json
+7 -7
View File
@@ -196,7 +196,7 @@
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7250000",
"kalshi_strike": 72500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026",
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919",
"poly_strike": 70000.0
},
{
@@ -204,7 +204,7 @@
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7000000",
"kalshi_strike": 70000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026",
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-in-may-2026-438-356-919",
"poly_strike": 70000.0
},
{
@@ -212,7 +212,7 @@
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6750000",
"kalshi_strike": 67500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026",
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026-183-857-425",
"poly_strike": 65000.0
},
{
@@ -220,7 +220,7 @@
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6500000",
"kalshi_strike": 65000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026",
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-65k-in-may-2026-183-857-425",
"poly_strike": 65000.0
},
{
@@ -228,7 +228,7 @@
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6250000",
"kalshi_strike": 62500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-may-2026",
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-may-2026-973-269",
"poly_strike": 60000.0
},
{
@@ -236,7 +236,7 @@
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6000000",
"kalshi_strike": 60000.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-may-2026",
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-60k-in-may-2026-973-269",
"poly_strike": 60000.0
},
{
@@ -244,7 +244,7 @@
"asset": "BTC",
"kalshi_ticker": "KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-5750000",
"kalshi_strike": 57500.0,
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-55k-in-may-2026",
"poly_slug": "will-bitcoin-dip-to-55k-in-may-2026-941",
"poly_strike": 55000.0
},
{