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Ahead of his first Fed meeting, economists honestly don\u2019t know what to expect.", "source": "MarketWatch", "url": "https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-the-real-kevin-warsh-please-stand-up-ahead-of-his-first-fed-meeting-economists-honestly-dont-know-what-to-expect-6fa95c8c?mod=mw_rss_topstories", "datetime": 1781470800, "category": "general" }, { "headline": "Defaults in debt markets are starting again, warns Pimco. Here\u2019s the bond giant\u2019s game plan.", "source": "MarketWatch", "url": "https://www.marketwatch.com/story/defaults-in-debt-markets-are-starting-again-warns-pimco-heres-the-bond-giants-game-plan-16559c6d?mod=mw_rss_topstories", "datetime": 1781458440, "category": "general" }, { "headline": "The US and Iran have agreed a deal. 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"fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "07:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "MBA Mortgage Applications (06/13)", "prev": "10.8%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "07:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "MBA Mortgage Market Index (06/13)", "prev": "280.1", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "07:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (06/13)", "prev": "848.7", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "07:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "MBA Purchase Index (06/13)", "prev": "176.9", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Retail Sales Control Group MoM (May)", "prev": "0.5%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (May)", "prev": "0.7%", "fcast": "0.5%", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (May)", "prev": "0.5%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Retail Sales MoM (May)", "prev": "0.5%", "fcast": "0.5%", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "red", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Retail Sales YoY (May)", "prev": "4.9%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Business Inventories MoM (Apr)", "prev": "0.9%", "fcast": "0.5%", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Pending Home Sales MoM (May)", "prev": "1.4%", "fcast": "1.3%", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Pending Home Sales YoY (May)", "prev": "3.2%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM (Apr)", "prev": "0.4%", "fcast": "0.6%", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (06/13)", "prev": "0.525M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (06/13)", "prev": "-7.228M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (06/13)", "prev": "-0.801M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (06/13)", "prev": "0.024M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Distillate Stocks Change (06/13)", "prev": "-0.2M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Gasoline Production Change (06/13)", "prev": "0.296M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (06/13)", "prev": "0.186M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (06/13)", "prev": "-0.246M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "10:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (06/13)", "prev": "0.081M", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "11:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "17-Week Bill Auction", "prev": "3.665%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "14:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Fed Interest Rate Decision", "prev": "3.75%", "fcast": "3.75%", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "red", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "14:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "FOMC Economic Projections", "prev": "\u2014", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "red", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "14:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr", "prev": "3.1%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "14:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Interest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr", "prev": "3.1%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "14:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Interest Rate Projection - Current", "prev": "3.4%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "14:00", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Interest Rate Projection - Longer", "prev": "3.1%", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "time": "14:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Fed Press Conference", "prev": "\u2014", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "red", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-18", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Continuing Jobless Claims (06/06)", "prev": "1795K", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-18", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Initial Jobless Claims (06/13)", "prev": "229K", "fcast": "232K", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-18", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Jobless Claims 4-week Average (06/13)", "prev": "219K", "fcast": "\u2014", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" }, { "date": "2026-06-18", "time": "08:30", "ctry": "\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8", "ev": "Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun)", "prev": "-0.4", "fcast": "10", "act": "\u2014", "imp": "orange", "beat": null, "source": "finviz" } ], "policy_rates": { "US": 4.5, "Eurozone": 2.65, "UK": 4.5, "Japan": 0.5, "Switzerland": 0.25, "Canada": 2.75, "Australia": 3.85, "New Zealand": 3.5, "Sweden": 2.25, "Norway": 4.5 }, "macro": { "US": { "cpi": "2.8%", "cpiP": "3.0%", "gdp": "2.4%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "4.2%", "unempT": "Jun 2025", "stance": "Hawkish Hold", "last": "Hold 4.50%", "next": "Jul 30", "pricing": "1 cut by Sep" }, "Eurozone": { "cpi": "2.1%", "cpiP": "2.2%", "gdp": "1.0%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "6.3%", "unempT": "May 2025", "stance": "Dovish Easing", "last": "Cut to 2.65%", "next": "Jul 17", "pricing": "1 more cut 2025" }, "UK": { "cpi": "3.5%", "cpiP": "3.3%", "gdp": "1.3%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "4.4%", "unempT": "May 2025", "stance": "Cautious Hold", "last": "Hold 4.50%", "next": "Aug 7", "pricing": "1 cut by Nov" }, "Japan": { "cpi": "3.6%", "cpiP": "3.2%", "gdp": "-0.7%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "2.5%", "unempT": "May 2025", "stance": "Gradual Tightening", "last": "Hold 0.50%", "next": "Jul 31", "pricing": "Hike to 0.75% H2" }, "Switzerland": { "cpi": "0.6%", "cpiP": "0.3%", "gdp": "1.4%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "2.8%", "unempT": "Jun 2025", "stance": "Neutral", "last": "Cut to 0.25%", "next": "Sep 18", "pricing": "Hold through 2025" }, "Canada": { "cpi": "2.9%", "cpiP": "2.7%", "gdp": "1.7%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "6.7%", "unempT": "Jun 2025", "stance": "Easing", "last": "Cut to 2.75%", "next": "Jul 30", "pricing": "1 more cut 2025" }, "Australia": { "cpi": "2.4%", "cpiP": "2.8%", "gdp": "1.3%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "4.0%", "unempT": "May 2025", "stance": "Easing", "last": "Cut to 3.85%", "next": "Aug 5", "pricing": "1-2 cuts by Dec" }, "New Zealand": { "cpi": "2.5%", "cpiP": "2.2%", "gdp": "0.7%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "5.1%", "unempT": "Q1 2025", "stance": "Easing Cycle", "last": "Cut to 3.50%", "next": "Jul 9", "pricing": "2 more cuts 2025" }, "Sweden": { "cpi": "2.3%", "cpiP": "2.5%", "gdp": "1.1%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "8.9%", "unempT": "May 2025", "stance": "Dovish Hold", "last": "Hold 2.25%", "next": "Aug 20", "pricing": "Hold through 2025" }, "Norway": { "cpi": "2.7%", "cpiP": "2.8%", "gdp": "1.5%", "gdpT": "Q1 2025", "unemp": "4.1%", "unempT": "May 2025", "stance": "Hawkish Hold", "last": "Hold 4.50%", "next": "Aug 14", "pricing": "Cut Q4 2025" } }, "sentiment": {}, "scenarios": {}, "gov_bonds": {} }