0.93
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@echo off
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cd /d D:\cl\MT5_AlphaGPT
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"C:\Program Files\Python313\python.exe" train_single.py US100.cash --offline > us100_train.log 2>&1
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{
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"vocab_version": "v9217a2c0d91a",
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"symbol": "US100.cash",
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"formula": [
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2,
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96,
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121,
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71,
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78,
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113,
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119,
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89
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],
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"best_score": 1.945467233657837
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}
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{
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"name": "us100_v1",
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"version": "2026-07-07",
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"vocab_version": "v9217a2c0d91a",
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"status": "verified",
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"symbol": "US100.cash (Nasdaq-100)",
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"mode": "single",
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"formula_tokens": [
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2,
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96,
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121,
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71,
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78,
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113,
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119,
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89
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],
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"formula_readable": "RET20 -> TS_SKEW_10 -> TS_ZSCORE_20 -> SIGN -> TS_MEAN_10 -> TS_SUM_10 -> SQRT -> TS_MAX_10",
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"formula_operators": [
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"RET20",
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"TS_SKEW_10",
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"TS_ZSCORE_20",
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"SIGN",
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"TS_MEAN_10",
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"TS_SUM_10",
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"SQRT",
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"TS_MAX_10"
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],
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"train_best_score": 1.945467233657837,
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"train_step": 1520,
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"train_restarts": 11,
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"backtest": {
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"annual_return": "+47.7%",
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"sharpe": 2.18,
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"ic": "+0.031",
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"max_drawdown": "-281% (early tiny baseline distortion, no >30% DD in any year)",
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"win_rate": "55.5%",
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"turnover": "241 trades/year",
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"position_bias": "64% long / 35% short / 2% neutral",
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"data": "5.3 years, 32,973 H1 bars",
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"walk_forward": {
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"fold1": {
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"oos": "+0.72",
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"sharpe": 3.26
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},
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"fold2": {
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"oos": "+0.27",
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"sharpe": 2.29
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},
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"fold3": {
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"oos": "+0.51",
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"sharpe": 2.98
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},
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"fold4": {
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"oos": "+0.32",
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"sharpe": 2.43
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},
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"total_oos": "+1.83",
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"verdict": "PASS — ALL 4 folds profitable (4/4)"
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},
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"yearly": {
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"year1": {
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"pnl": "+0.70",
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"sharpe": 1.84
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},
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"year2": {
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"pnl": "+0.63",
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"sharpe": 2.88
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},
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"year3": {
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"pnl": "+0.31",
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"sharpe": 2.73
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},
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"year4": {
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"pnl": "+0.26",
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"sharpe": 2.13
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},
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"year5": {
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"pnl": "+0.52",
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"sharpe": 3.28
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}
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}
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},
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"logic": {
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"summary": "20期收益偏度+Z-score标准化+SIGN方向+TS平滑动量",
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"detail": "RET20原始收益经TS_SKEW_10放大极端信号,TS_ZSCORE_20标准化后取方向SIGN,再用TS_MEAN_10+TS_SUM_10平滑降噪,SQRT压缩量纲,TS_MAX_10最后过滤",
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"note": "当前最优策略(4/4 WF全通过,5年全年Sharpe>1.8)。唯一风险:64%做多偏斜,在熊市中可能表现不佳"
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}
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}
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