Files
All-in-one-Financial-Analysis/atlas-terminal/server/services/earnings_transcripts.py
T

174 lines
6.5 KiB
Python

"""Earnings-call transcript delta analysis.
This intentionally starts lightweight: deterministic phrase deltas are computed
locally, and the LLM narrative is best-effort so the feature still works without
an AI key.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import re
from collections import Counter
from dataclasses import dataclass
from datetime import date
from typing import Any, Dict, List, Optional
from server.services.fmp_client import fetch_earning_call_transcript, fmp_is_configured
_STOPWORDS = {
"about", "after", "again", "also", "and", "are", "because", "been", "but", "can", "could",
"did", "does", "for", "from", "have", "into", "just", "like", "more", "our", "out", "over",
"said", "should", "that", "the", "their", "then", "there", "these", "they", "this", "those",
"through", "was", "were", "what", "when", "where", "which", "while", "will", "with", "would",
"you", "your", "we", "us", "quarter", "year", "thank", "thanks", "operator", "question",
}
_POSITIVE = {"growth", "accelerate", "strong", "record", "improve", "expansion", "demand", "margin", "profitable"}
_NEGATIVE = {"decline", "pressure", "risk", "weak", "slower", "headwind", "inventory", "cost", "uncertain"}
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class Transcript:
ticker: str
year: int
quarter: int
content: str
source: str = "fmp"
def default_quarter_pair(today: date | None = None) -> tuple[tuple[int, int], tuple[int, int]]:
"""Return a reasonable current/previous quarter pair for transcript lookup."""
d = today or date.today()
current_q = ((d.month - 1) // 3) + 1
latest_q = current_q - 1
latest_year = d.year
if latest_q == 0:
latest_q = 4
latest_year -= 1
prev_q = latest_q - 1
prev_year = latest_year
if prev_q == 0:
prev_q = 4
prev_year -= 1
return (latest_year, latest_q), (prev_year, prev_q)
def _extract_content(row: Dict[str, Any]) -> str:
for key in ("content", "transcript", "text"):
value = row.get(key)
if isinstance(value, str) and value.strip():
return value.strip()
return ""
async def fetch_transcript(ticker: str, year: int, quarter: int) -> Optional[Transcript]:
if not fmp_is_configured():
return None
rows = await fetch_earning_call_transcript(ticker, year, quarter)
if not rows:
return None
content = _extract_content(rows[0])
if not content:
return None
return Transcript(ticker=ticker.upper(), year=year, quarter=quarter, content=content)
def tokenize_and_normalize(text: str) -> list[str]:
words = re.findall(r"[a-zA-Z][a-zA-Z\-']{1,}", text.lower())
normalized = [word.strip("-'") for word in words]
return [word for word in normalized if (len(word) > 2 or word == "ai") and word not in _STOPWORDS]
def _phrase_counts(text: str) -> Counter[str]:
tokens = tokenize_and_normalize(text)
phrases: Counter[str] = Counter(tokens)
for size in (2, 3):
for idx in range(0, max(0, len(tokens) - size + 1)):
phrase = " ".join(tokens[idx : idx + size])
phrases[phrase] += 1
return phrases
def _sentiment_score(counts: Counter[str]) -> float:
total = sum(counts.values()) or 1
pos = sum(counts[word] for word in _POSITIVE)
neg = sum(counts[word] for word in _NEGATIVE)
return round((pos - neg) / total * 100, 2)
def _top_new(curr: Counter[str], prev: Counter[str], limit: int = 10) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
rows = [
{"phrase": phrase, "count": count}
for phrase, count in curr.items()
if count >= 2 and prev.get(phrase, 0) == 0 and " " in phrase
]
return sorted(rows, key=lambda row: row["count"], reverse=True)[:limit]
def _top_removed(curr: Counter[str], prev: Counter[str], limit: int = 10) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
rows = [
{"phrase": phrase, "previous_count": count}
for phrase, count in prev.items()
if count >= 2 and curr.get(phrase, 0) == 0 and " " in phrase
]
return sorted(rows, key=lambda row: row["previous_count"], reverse=True)[:limit]
def _emphasis_shift(curr: Counter[str], prev: Counter[str], limit: int = 12) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
rows: list[dict[str, Any]] = []
for phrase in set(curr) | set(prev):
if " " not in phrase:
continue
curr_count = curr.get(phrase, 0)
prev_count = prev.get(phrase, 0)
delta = curr_count - prev_count
if abs(delta) < 2:
continue
rows.append({"phrase": phrase, "current_count": curr_count, "previous_count": prev_count, "delta": delta})
return sorted(rows, key=lambda row: abs(row["delta"]), reverse=True)[:limit]
def compute_delta(curr: Transcript, prev: Transcript) -> dict[str, Any]:
curr_counts = _phrase_counts(curr.content)
prev_counts = _phrase_counts(prev.content)
return {
"ticker": curr.ticker,
"available": True,
"current": {"year": curr.year, "quarter": curr.quarter},
"previous": {"year": prev.year, "quarter": prev.quarter},
"new_phrases": _top_new(curr_counts, prev_counts),
"removed_phrases": _top_removed(curr_counts, prev_counts),
"emphasis_shift": _emphasis_shift(curr_counts, prev_counts),
"tone_shift": {
"current_score": _sentiment_score(curr_counts),
"previous_score": _sentiment_score(prev_counts),
},
}
async def generate_delta_narrative(delta: dict[str, Any], ticker: str) -> dict[str, Any]:
fallback = {
"key_shifts": [row["phrase"] for row in delta.get("emphasis_shift", [])[:3]],
"what_it_means": "Transcript language changed, but AI narrative is unavailable. Review the phrase deltas for direction.",
"questions_to_ask": ["Which new phrases are one-off comments versus strategy?", "Are margin or capex terms increasing?"],
"variant_view": "Use phrase shifts as a prompt for deeper research, not as standalone evidence.",
}
try:
from server.services.gemini_service import generate_text
prompt = (
f"Analyze {ticker.upper()} earnings call transcript delta. Return concise JSON with keys "
"key_shifts, what_it_means, questions_to_ask, variant_view. Data:\n"
f"{delta}"
)
text = await generate_text(prompt)
import json
parsed = json.loads(text.strip().removeprefix("```json").removesuffix("```").strip())
if isinstance(parsed, dict):
return {**fallback, **parsed}
except Exception:
return fallback
return fallback